San Diego State at Boise State - 2022 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at Boise State Broncos

Friday, September 30th 2022 (8:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -6 (38.0)
Boise State 35 - San Diego State: 13 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (16 - 6)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BSU is playing their 5th straight game
SDSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ BSU -10)
Projected Score: SDSU: 23 - BSU: 26 (49)
BSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
SDSU Travel: 749 miles, 1 hrs behind

Broncos (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Andy Avalos (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	San Diego State vs Arizona	-6.0	46.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/10	San Diego State vs Idaho State	-33.5	50.5	W 38 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/17	San Diego State at Utah	+21.5	48.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/24	San Diego State vs Toledo	+2.5	44.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/30	San Diego State at Boise State	+6.0	38.0	L 13 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/8	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-23.5	48.5	W 16 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	San Diego State at Nevada	-7.5	36.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/29	San Diego State at Fresno State	+10.0	43.5	L 28 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/5	San Diego State vs UNLV	-5.0	47.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/12	San Diego State vs San José State	+2.5	41.0	W 43 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/18	San Diego State at New Mexico	-15.0	36.0	W 34 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	San Diego State vs Air Force	+2.0	43.5	L 3 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/24	San Diego State vs Middle Tennessee	-7.0	47.0	L 23 - 25	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Boise State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boise State at Oregon State	+2.0	55.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Fri 9/9	Boise State at New Mexico	-17.0	43.5	W 31 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/17	Boise State vs UT Martin	-24.5	53.5	W 30 - 7	U	N
Fri 9/23	Boise State at UTEP	-16.0	44.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/30	Boise State vs San Diego State	-6.0	38.0	W 35 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.0	45.0	W 40 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boise State at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Boise State vs Colorado State	-25.0	42.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Boise State vs BYU	-9.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Boise State at Nevada	-21.0	47.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Boise State at Wyoming	-14.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/25	Boise State vs Utah State	-17.0	51.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Boise State vs Fresno State	-3.0	54.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 12/17	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0	63.0	W 35 - 32	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.15	40%	26.4	40%	3	175	39%	168	3.57	.07	36%	15.4	33%	38%	3.46	67.9	1	1.9
BSU	.19	43%	29.9	41%	2.75	122	44%	261	3.99	.13	38%	24.1	40%	37%	3.26	49.6	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	18.2	39.7%	3.57	1	19	343	175	168	4.3	56%	43%	40%	39%	15%	.15
BSU Defense	12	24.1	22.3	38.5%	3.26	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	37%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	18.3	35.8%	3.46	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	33%	38%	20%	.07
BSU Offense	12	29.9	41.3	43%	3.99	1.3	22	383	122	261	3.2	47%	53%	41%	44%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	14	32:04	18.6	32%	63%	7.4	67.9	1	1.9	6.8	2.9	5	30.5
Boise State	12	29:57	22	44%	38%	5	49.6	1.3	1.9	5.5	2.3	4	29.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	14	56%	40%	40.8	174.9	4.3	26	.17	3	76%	10%	1.14
BSU Defense	12	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	67%	11%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	14	39%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.61	65%	12%	0.84
BSU Offense	12	47%	41%	38.3	122.2	3.2	15	.05	2.75	69%	10%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	14	43%	39%	14.9	25.8	167.9	6.5	11.3	16	5	.17	1.4	33%	28%	.24	5%	1.9
BSU Defense	12	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.22	1.7	34%	26%	.22	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	14	61%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.18	1.5	36%	26%	.19	8%	1.9
BSU Offense	12	53%	44%	21.2	34.2	260.6	7.6	12.3	20	10	.31	1.5	32%	34%	.45	5%	2

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2022 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #85
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #124
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Boise State: 5.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -4.4 Boise State: 5.7

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.35 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #52
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 26
San Diego State 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	San Diego State	17	Boise State	7	San Diego State -1.5	San Diego State	41.5	Under
2024	11/01	Boise State	56	San Diego State	24	Boise State -24.5	Boise State	55.5	Over
2023	09/22	San Diego State	31	Boise State	34	Boise State -6.5	San Diego State	46.0	Over
2022	09/30	Boise State	35	San Diego State	13	Boise State -6	Boise State	38.0	Over
2021	11/26	San Diego State	27	Boise State	16	Boise State -3	San Diego State	44.0	Under
2018	10/06	Boise State	13	San Diego State	19	Boise State -13.5	San Diego State	50.0	Under
2017	10/14	San Diego State	14	Boise State	31	San Diego State -5.5	Boise State	47.0	Under
2014	11/15	Boise State	38	San Diego State	29	Boise State -15	San Diego State	0
2013	11/23	San Diego State	34	Boise State	31	Boise State -6	San Diego State	0
2012	11/03	Boise State	19	San Diego State	21
2011	11/19	San Diego State	35	Boise State	52

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	6	3	3 Overs
San Diego State	5	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	6 - 3	3 - 3	3 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 6	3 - 6	0 - 3	3 - 3

(#) SDSU at (#) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	BSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#52
Perf GradeGrade	#80	#21
OffenseOff	#121	#47
DefenseDef	#35	#17
Spec TeamsST	#45	#61
TalentTal	#115	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	BSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#121	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#95	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#80
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#35
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#35
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#6	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#47	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#42	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Boise State -6.0 (38.0)
Boise State won vs San Diego State this year (35-13)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Boise State last year (17-7)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2024 (56-24)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2023 (34-31)

SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD