Colorado State at Boise State Game Matchup

Colorado State Rams at Boise State Broncos

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID (Mountain West)

Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

CSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Boise State -21.5 (SP+ BSU -18)
Projected Score: CSU: 18 - BSU: 39 (56)
BSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
CSU Travel: 606 miles

Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Colorado State at Washington	+18.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-14
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Colorado State vs UTSA	+8
Sat 9/27	Colorado State vs Washington State	-3
Sat 10/4	Colorado State at San Diego State	-0
Sat 10/11	Colorado State vs Fresno State	+1
Sat 10/18	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-4
Sat 10/25	Colorado State at Wyoming	-1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Colorado State vs UNLV	+2
Sat 11/15	Colorado State at New Mexico	-4
Sat 11/22	Colorado State at Boise State	+21.5
Sat 11/29	Colorado State vs Air Force	-4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Boise State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Boise State at South Florida	-9.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Boise State vs Eastern Washington	-33
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Boise State at Air Force	-19
Sat 9/27	Boise State vs App State	-26.5
Sat 10/4	Boise State at Notre Dame	+19
Sat 10/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-28.5
Sat 10/18	Boise State vs UNLV	-17
Sat 10/25	Boise State at Nevada	-24.5
Sat 11/1	Boise State vs Fresno State	-18.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Boise State at San Diego State	-19.5
Sat 11/22	Boise State vs Colorado State	-21.5
Sat 11/29	Boise State at Utah State	-23

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)	24.4	43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)	25.8	42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)	37.3	49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)	22.6	39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	13	24.4	22.4	42.2%	3.56	1.2	16	354	162	192	4.9	55%	45%	43%	41%	15%	.16
BSU Defense	14	22.6	19.7	38.2%	3.33	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	39%	37%	20%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	13	25.8	30.6	42.4%	4	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	42%	43%	17%	.16
BSU Offense	14	37.3	43.1	48.3%	4.83	0.6	22	437	234	204	6.5	55%	44%	49%	48%	12%	.36

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	13	28:44	16.5	35%	64%	5.8	47.3	1.2	1.5	4.2	1.1	2	27.8
Boise State	14	29:25	21.6	49%	71%	4.5	39.8	0.6	1.1	7.4	3.6	3	30.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	13	55% (30)	43% (80)	33.4	161.8	4.9	19 (73)	.03 (115)	2.88 (96)	55% (133)	9% (46)	0.92 (87)
BSU Defense	14	43% (3)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.13 (72)	2.8 (34)	62% (12)	15% (3)	1.1 (113)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	13	49% (51)	42% (59)	-	-	-	-	.1 (55)	3.01 (70)	69% (45)	9% (91)	1.02 (88)
BSU Offense	14	55% (31)	49% (17)	36.2	233.5	6.5	42 (3)	.32 (6)	3.22 (39)	86% (3)	7% (10)	1.22 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	13	45% (102)	41% (81)	16.2	26.4	191.8	7.3	11.8	15 (98)	8 (40)	.31 (43)	1.7 (25)	32% (75)	34% (37)	.42 (33)	7% (98)	2 (92)
BSU Defense	14	57% (133)	37% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.18 (42)	1.7 (96)	36% (10)	30% (62)	.41 (105)	6% (83)	2.3 (124)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	13	51% (85)	43% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.22 (59)	1.4 (16)	30% (105)	30% (64)	.27 (49)	8% (22)	1.9 (35)
BSU Offense	14	44% (103)	48% (12)	17	27.1	203.9	7.5	12	22 (46)	4 (1)	.41 (12)	1.5 (119)	29% (23)	35% (28)	.37 (55)	6% (58)	1.9 (111)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -11.10 #96
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 11.27 #86
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 534.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -11.10 Boise State: 11.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -8.3 Boise State: 9.2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 11.99 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 22.10 #24
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.32 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 712.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #15
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 39
Colorado State 18

Projected Total Points: 56

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Colorado State	31	Boise State	30	Colorado State	Boise State -7.5	Colorado State	60.0	Over
2022	10/29	Boise State	49	Colorado State	10	Boise State	Boise State -25	Boise State	42.5	Over
2021	10/30	Colorado State	19	Boise State	28	Boise State	Boise State -2	Boise State	51.5	Under
2020	11/12	Boise State	52	Colorado State	21	Boise State	Boise State -14.5	Boise State	62.0	Over
2019	11/29	Colorado State	24	Boise State	31	Boise State	Boise State -13.5	Colorado State	56.5	Under
2018	10/19	Boise State	56	Colorado State	28	Boise State	Boise State -24	Boise State	63.5	Over
2017	11/11	Colorado State	52	Boise State	59	Boise State	Boise State -6.5	Boise State	59.0	Over
2016	10/15	Boise State	28	Colorado State	23	Boise State	Boise State -25.5	Colorado State	59.5	Under
2015	10/10	Colorado State	10	Boise State	41	Boise State	Boise State -12	Boise State	60.0	Under
2014	09/06	Boise State	37	Colorado State	24	Boise State	Boise State -8	Boise State	0
2013	11/02	Colorado State	30	Boise State	42	Boise State	Boise State -10	Boise State	0
2012	11/17	Boise State	42	Colorado State	14	Boise State
2011	10/15	Colorado State	13	Boise State	63	Boise State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	12	8	5 Overs
Colorado State	1	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	6 - 7	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4

(#96) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.10 #96
Offense Rating: 11.27 #86
Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98
Talent Rating: 534.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Colorado State Notes
(4/29) WR rebuild, so far not much here. TE decent
(3/24) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG+. Depth inexp'd
(3/24) RB Marshall good #2 LY. Depth looks v light
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 8 portal adds
(3/24) New DC Summers from WKU (DC), HC exp

Colorado State Ratings Matchup Boise State

Power #96

#37

Off #86

#24

Def #106

#56

Talent #102

#70

SP+ #97

#33

SP+ Off #95

#15

SP+ Def #98

#53

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Boise State in 2023 (31-30)
Boise State beat Colorado State in 2022 (49-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CSU | BSU
Depth Chart: CSU | BSU
Rosters: CSU | BSU

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.99 #37
Offense Rating: 22.10 #24
Defense Rating: 12.32 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #53
Talent Rating: 712.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Boise State Notes
(5/26) #2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
(5/8) QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
(5/2) TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
(3/22) RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
(3/22) WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
(3/22) OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
(3/22) Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
(3/22) DE Vergin-Morgan, CB McCoy, S Benefield good
(3/22) OC Potter promoted after Koetter retired
(3/22) HC Danielson lost 1 game outside of bowls

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	227	374	61%	2755	14	8	7.4
Jackson Brousseau	3	6	50%	15	0	1	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Marshall	156	767	4	4.9	42
Lloyd Avant (Tr)	76	259	1	3.4	16
Keegan Holles	15	97	1	6.5	18
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	43	80	4	1.9	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Armani Winfield	38	341	2	9.0	62
Petey Tucker (Tr)	30	324	0	10.8	29
Jordan Ross	15	218	1	14.5	36
Tommy Maher	4	99	1	24.8	53

View Colorado State's Full Roster

Colorado State's DC Tyson Summers

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Long	44	1	0	0	2
Jacob Ellis (Tr)	41	5	1	2	0
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	0	6
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji	35	6	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji	35	6	3	5	1
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	0	6
Kennedy McDowell	8	2	2	2	0
Jacob Ellis (Tr)	41	5	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	6
Dylan Phelps	24	0	0	4
Jahari Rogers (Tr)	3	0	0	3

Boise State's OC Nate Potter

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maddux Madsen	247	396	62%	3018	23	6	7.6
Max Cutforth	2	2	100%	13	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Maddux Madsen	57	221	5	3.9	49
Malik Sherrod (Tr)	60	196	4	3.3	48
Sire Gaines	20	156	1	7.8	38
Dylan Riley	22	135	2	6.1	64

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matt Lauter	48	629	7	13.1	53
Latrell Caples	38	473	5	12.4	36
Austin Bolt	16	196	4	12.3	44
Chase Penry	14	164	0	11.7	42

View Boise State's Full Roster

Boise State's DC Erik Chinander

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Benefield	82	5	0	1	3
Zion Washington	67	4	0	0	6
A'Marion McCoy	60	2	0	1	12
Marco Notarainni	60	8	4	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Virgin	40	16	10	5	0
Braxton Fely	24	9	6	1	0
Marco Notarainni	60	8	4	3	3
Max Stege	14	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A'Marion McCoy	60	2	1	12
Jeremiah Earby	34	1	0	6
Zion Washington	67	4	0	6