Boise State at Colorado State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Canvas Stadium - Fort Collins, CO (Pac-12)

Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (24 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 3.5 (#33)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

CSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -13.5 (SP+ BSU -18.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 31 - CSU: 17 (48)
BSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
BSU Travel: 606 miles

Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#68)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Boise State at Oregon	+26.5
Sat 9/12	Boise State vs Memphis	-4
Sat 9/19	Boise State vs South Dakota	-26.5
Sat 9/26	Boise State at Western Michigan	-5.5
Sat 10/3	Boise State vs Utah State	-12.5
Sat 10/10	Boise State at Fresno State	-4.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Boise State at Washington State	-1
Sat 10/31	Boise State vs Texas State	-5
Sat 11/7	Boise State at Colorado State	-13.5
Sat 11/14	Boise State vs Oregon State	-20.5
Fri 11/20	Boise State vs San Diego State	-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Colorado State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Colorado State vs Wyoming	-1
Sat 9/12	Colorado State vs Southern Utah	-10.5
Sat 9/19	Colorado State vs BYU	+26.5
Sat 9/26	Colorado State at UTSA	+13.5
Sat 10/3	Colorado State vs Oregon State	-4.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15	Colorado State at Texas State	+15.5
Sat 10/24	Colorado State vs San Diego State	+11
Sat 10/31	Colorado State at Utah State	+8
Sat 11/7	Colorado State vs Boise State	+13.5
Sat 11/14	Colorado State at Washington State	+15
Sat 11/21	Colorado State at Fresno State	+11.5
Sat 11/28	Colorado State vs TBD	-10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	#44 (.2)	42% (77)	29.9	43% (80)	3.11 (39)	179	41% (83)	245	3.66 (73)	#53 (.12)	36% (14)	24.1	41% (50)	33% (6)	4.14 (111)	59.4	1.5	1.6
CSU	#95 (.13)	40% (98)	18.5	44% (66)	2.97 (63)	108	38% (110)	216	3.52 (87)	#117 (.24)	45% (118)	30.8	46% (106)	46% (116)	4.03 (103)	56.3	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	29.9	19.8	41.8%	3.66	1.5	22	424	179	245	4.6	51%	47%	43%	41%	14%	.2
CSU Defense	12	30.8	27.1	45.3%	4.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	46%	46%	13%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	24.1	23.8	36.5%	4.14	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	41%	33%	17%	.12
CSU Offense	12	18.5	19.9	40.3%	3.52	1.7	18	324	108	216	3.6	45%	54%	44%	38%	19%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	32:50	22.1	46%	51%	6.9	59.4	1.5	1.6	6	2	3	30.6
Colorado State	12	26:50	18.3	33%	47%	5.8	56.3	1.7	1.3	3.8	1.3	1	26

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	51% (51)	43% (80)	39.3	179.4	4.6	29 (30)	.16 (46)	3.11 (39)	79% (22)	8% (33)	1 (55)
CSU Defense	12	57% (131)	46% (106)	-	-	-	-	.17 (105)	3.26 (123)	77% (109)	7% (129)	0.94 (59)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	52% (93)	41% (50)	-	-	-	-	.2 (120)	2.98 (88)	67% (39)	11% (28)	1.22 (134)
CSU Offense	12	45% (107)	44% (66)	30.3	108.3	3.6	13 (70)	.09 (79)	2.97 (63)	59% (132)	12% (121)	0.9 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	47% (83)	41% (83)	19.6	33.7	244.9	7.3	12.5	23 (22)	14 (88)	.27 (62)	1.6 (43)	33% (91)	31% (58)	.28 (74)	6% (65)	1.8 (124)
CSU Defense	12	42% (7)	46% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (31)	.38 (120)	1.7 (123)	27% (129)	35% (125)	.34 (94)	6% (57)	1.9 (31)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	46% (45)	33% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (22)	.08 (7)	1.7 (116)	37% (4)	28% (49)	.22 (33)	6% (81)	2.1 (87)
CSU Offense	12	54% (29)	38% (110)	20.3	32.8	215.9	6.6	10.7	15 (103)	12 (7)	.2 (97)	1.5 (91)	35% (126)	28% (87)	.25 (89)	7% (110)	2 (85)

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 2.47 #59
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.36 #54
Boise State's Defense Rating: 15.89 #62
2026 Talent Rating: 702.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Boise State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 3.5
Boise State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 2.47 Colorado State: -10.62

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.1 Colorado State: -15.6

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -10.62 #100
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 6.87 #94
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.51 #111
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #59
Colorado State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Colorado State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #124
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #120
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 31
Colorado State 17

Projected Total Points: 48

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Boise State	49	Colorado State	21	Boise State -17.5	Boise State	46.5	Over
2023	10/14	Colorado State	31	Boise State	30	Boise State -7.5	Colorado State	60.0	Over
2022	10/29	Boise State	49	Colorado State	10	Boise State -25	Boise State	42.5	Over
2021	10/30	Colorado State	19	Boise State	28	Boise State -2	Boise State	51.5	Under
2020	11/12	Boise State	52	Colorado State	21	Boise State -14.5	Boise State	62.0	Over
2019	11/29	Colorado State	24	Boise State	31	Boise State -13.5	Colorado State	56.5	Under
2018	10/19	Boise State	56	Colorado State	28	Boise State -24	Boise State	63.5	Over
2017	11/11	Colorado State	52	Boise State	59	Boise State -6.5	Boise State	59.0	Over
2016	10/15	Boise State	28	Colorado State	23	Boise State -25.5	Colorado State	59.5	Under
2015	10/10	Colorado State	10	Boise State	41	Boise State -12	Boise State	60.0	Under
2014	09/06	Boise State	37	Colorado State	24	Boise State -8	Boise State	0
2013	11/02	Colorado State	30	Boise State	42	Boise State -10	Boise State	0
2012	11/17	Boise State	42	Colorado State	14
2011	10/15	Colorado State	13	Boise State	63

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	1	3	6 Overs
Boise State	13	9	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	7 - 5	5 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	6 - 8	5 - 7	4 - 2	1 - 5

(#59) BSU at (#100) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#59	#100
SP+SP+	#64	#124
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#74	#78
Blue ChipsBC%	#99	#59

Boise State Injury Report

Colorado State Notes(2/4) New staff under Mora, OC Tracy was PGC (UConn)
(2/4) QB1 Curry (PT LY) vs Farrar (UConn transfer)
(2/4) RB could get huge boost if D. Robinson is healthy
(2/4) WR has 4 guys with exp but none very productive
(2/4) OL huge ? only 4 have any exp, 5 portal adds
(2/4) DL took 5 portals, run def grades are awful
(2/4) LBs decent unit. Diomande (UConn) huge add
(2/4) DBs 5 portals, decent parts to work with
(2/4) Roster TO w 37 portals in/38 out + 22 croots
Colorado State Injury Report

Boise State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#77	#118
ExplosiveExp	#47	#77
PPAPPA	#44	#117
PowerPwr	#54	#111
SP+SP+	#55	#105
Pts POPPO	#73	#103
HavocHav	#49	#116

Boise State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#80	#106
Run ExplRExp	#55	#59
PPAExp	#46	#105
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#39	#123
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#121
TackleTak	-	NR

Boise State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#83	#116
Pass ExplPExl	#43	#123
PPAExp	#62	#120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#33	#129
DB HavocDB	#65	#57

Colorado State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#98	#14
ExplosiveExp	#98	#129
PPAPPA	#95	#53
PowerPwr	#94	#62
SP+SP+	#120	#60
Pts POPPO	#87	#111
HavocHav	#125	#50

Colorado State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#66	#50
Run ExplRExp	#96	#134
PPAExp	#79	#120
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#88
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#61
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#110	#6
Pass ExplPExl	#91	#116
PPAExp	#97	#7
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#121	#28
DB HavocDB	#110	#81

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Colorado State last year (49-21)
Colorado State beat Boise State in 2023 (31-30)

BSU's OC Nate Potter (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maddux Madsen	176	302	58%	2333	18	9	7.7
Max Cutforth	95	167	57%	1059	4	5	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Riley	195	1125	10	5.8	77
Sire Gaines	161	812	8	5.0	46
Juelz Goff (Tr)	69	270	5	3.9	17
Harry Stewart III (Tr)	21	98	1	4.7	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Bates	18	307	1	17.1	44
Matt Wagner	23	246	1	10.7	28
Dylan Riley	15	149	2	9.9	75
Quinton Brown	5	120	2	24.0	66

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Boen Phelps	66	4	1	5	0
Jayden Virgin	56	13	6	12	0
Jake Ripp	43	3	0	3	0
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)	43	2	1	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Jayden Virgin	56	13	6	12
Sterling Lane	6	3	3	1
Boen Phelps	66	4	1	5
David Latu	9	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)	43	2	1	0	10
Sherrod Smith	14	1	0	0	6
Jaden Mickey	38	7	1	1	5

CSU's OC Pryce Tracy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darius Curry	70	107	65%	740	5	7	6.9
Ksaan Farrar (Tr)	11	18	61%	84	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Brown	32	262	2	8.2	49
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman	23	138	1	6.0	17
Terrence Smith Jr. (Tr)	14	75	1	5.4	21
Durell Robinson (Tr)	3	57	1	19.0	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tommy Maher	32	358	0	11.2	35
Javonte Vereen (Tr)	21	305	5	14.5	50
Lavon Brown	22	244	0	11.1	31
Jordan Mosley (Tr)	8	168	1	21.0	75

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)	116	8	5	5	1
Jace Bellah	58	1	0	2	0
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)	52	1	0	0	2
Jaseim Mitchell	29	3	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)	116	8	5	5	1
Stephon Wright (Tr)	28	4	2	3	2
Robby Harrison (Tr)	16	2	1	1	0
DeAndre Gill	12	2	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Blocker	23	0	1	3
AJ Noland	19	0	4	2
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)	52	1	0	2