Boise State at Washington - 2025 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo Boise State Broncos vs Washington HuskiesWashington logo
Saturday, December 13th 2025 (8:00 PM EST)
Washington -9.5 (55.5) (-320)  Open: -8.5 | 51.5
Washington 38 - Boise State: 10  (Bucked Up LA Bowl)

 
Broncos (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Washington -15.5  (SP+ WASH -12)

Projected Score: BSU: 18 - WASH: 34 (52)
WASH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BSU Travel: 406 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Boise State at South Florida-8.563.5L 7 - 34UN
Fri 9/5 Boise State vs Eastern Washington-33.560.5W 51 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Boise State at Air Force-10.551.5W 49 - 37OY
Sat 9/27 Boise State vs App State-16.559.5W 47 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Boise State at Notre Dame+21.563.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-14.558.5W 41 - 25OY
Sat 10/18 Boise State vs UNLV-12.560.5W 56 - 31OY
Fri 10/24 Boise State at Nevada-20.551.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/1 Boise State vs Fresno State-17.547.5L 7 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Boise State at San Diego State+1.541.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/22 Boise State vs Colorado State-17.546.5W 49 - 21OY
Fri 11/28 Boise State at Utah State-1.554.5W 25 - 24UN
Fri 12/5 Boise State vs UNLV-6.060.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 12/13 Boise State vs Washington+9.555.5L 10 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-14.551.5W 49 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-10.551.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6.551.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 12/13 Washington vs Boise State-9.555.5W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#52 (.2)42% (84)29.942% (84)3.1 (39)17940% (87)2453.7 (67)#52 (.12)36% (13)24.141% (53)33% (7)4.14 (111)59.41.51.6
WASH#19 (.28)49% (9)34.149% (14)3.16 (30)16751% (7)2444.58 (17)#22 (.07)39% (34)18.738% (21)40% (57)2.99 (18)55.31.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)49% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)39% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1429.919.841.5%3.71.5224241792454.651%48%42%40%14%.2
WASH Defense1318.719.738.9%2.991.5 - - - - - 45%54%38%40%14%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1424.123.836.4%4.141.6 - - - - - 52%46%41%33%17%.12
WASH Offense1334.136.749.2%4.581.1224111672444.751%48%49%51%14%.28

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1432:5122.146%51%6.959.41.51.662330.6
Washington1329:2822.551%55%6.255.31.11.54.21.8228.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1451% (56)42% (84)39.3179.44.629 (30).15 (49)3.1 (39)79% (23)8% (34)1 (56)
WASH Defense1345% (13)38% (21) - - - - -.03 (8)2.87 (66)67% (33)8% (123)0.77 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1452% (95)41% (53) - - - - .19 (119)2.98 (90)67% (39)11% (26)1.22 (134)
WASH Offense1351% (58)49% (14)35.4166.54.730 (11).25 (13)3.16 (30)77% (34)10% (82)1.04 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1448% (79)40% (87)19.633.7244.97.312.523 (22)14 (88).25 (65)1.6 (46)33% (102)31% (62).26 (84)6% (67)1.8 (126)
WASH Defense1354% (124)40% (57) - - - - - - 14 (38).19 (43)1.5 (50)34% (30)30% (77).28 (66)7% (31)2 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1446% (42)33% (7) - - - - - - 14 (22).08 (7)1.7 (117)37% (6)28% (46).21 (32)6% (81)2.1 (87)
WASH Offense1348% (77)51% (7)19.628.5244.48.612.526 (75)8 (34).37 (31)1.4 (114)28% (18)36% (18).44 (22)4% (10)2.1 (38)

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 0.70  #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 8.28  #70
Boise State's Defense Rating: 7.58  #66
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #55
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #56
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #47

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 0.70   Washington: 18.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 4.7   Washington: 16.3




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 18.225  #16
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.50  #20
Washington's Defense Rating: -0.65  #28
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.3  #18
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #28
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 34
Boise State 18


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 26
Boise State 20

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Washington 30
Boise State 22

Total Points: 52
Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/13Washington38Boise State10Washington -9.5Washington55.5Under
202309/02Washington56Boise State19Washington -14Washington59.0Over
201912/21Washington38Boise State7Washington -4Washington48.0Under
201509/04Boise State16Washington13Boise State -11Washington53.0Under
201308/31Washington38Boise State6Washington -2.5Washington0
201212/22Boise State28Washington26
200709/08Washington24Boise State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington551 Overs
Boise State203 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 04 - 14 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 71 - 40 - 01 - 4

Boise State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025La Bowl Boise State vs Washington+9.555.5L 10 - 38
2024CFP Quarterfinal Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31
2023La Bowl Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35
2022Frisco Bowl Boise State vs North Texas-12.063.0W 35 - 32
2019Vegas Bowl Boise State vs Washington+4.048.0L 7 - 38
Washington Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025La Bowl Washington vs Boise State-9.555.5W 38 - 10
2024Sun Bowl Washington vs Louisville-1.050.5L 34 - 35
2023CFP Nat'l Title Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34
2023CFP Semifinal Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31
2022Alamo Bowl Washington vs Texas+3.067.0W 27 - 20
2019Vegas Bowl Washington vs Boise State-4.048.0W 38 - 7
  
(#67) BSU at (#16) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUWASH
Power RatePwr #67 #16
SP+SP+ #55 #18
Perf GradeGrade #83 #23
OffenseOff #80 #23
DefenseDef #73 #40
Spec TeamsST #64 #49
TalentTal #77 #23
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #27
Boise State Notes
(12/13) Could not physically compete with Washington & ND
(12/6) MWC champs after beating UNLV
(12/6) RB duo of Riley & Gaines proved incredible late
(12/6) HC Danielson won MWC in every year he coached
(11/28) Cutforth 340 yds, Run Off ok in W over Utah St
(11/28) Run Def has been bad, Utah St 221 yds, 6.5 ypc
(11/3) QB1 Maddux Madsen carted off in Fresno loss
(11/3) QB2 Max Cutforth awful vs Fresno (< 50%, 2 Int)
(10/4) TE M Lauter out vs ND. Huge loss
(9/20) RB Dylan Riley 255 yds, 5 TD vs AFA. Def still bad
(8/29) Pass Def bad, Run Off worse in loss at USF
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
Boise State Injury Report
Washington Notes
(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report
Boise State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWASH Def
Perf GradePerf #80 #40
SuccessSuc #84 #34
ExplosiveExp #49 #33
PPAPPA #52 #22
PowerPwr #70 #28
SP+SP+ #56 #14
Pts POPPO #67 #18
HavocHav #48 #100
Boise State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #27 #57
Run SuccessRSuc #84 #21
Run ExplRExp #56 #3
PPAExp #49 #8
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLY #39 #66
Stuff RateStuff #34 #114
TackleTak -  #17
Boise State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #97 #57
Pass SuccessPSuc #87 #57
Pass ExplPExl #46 #50
PPAExp #65 #43
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #119 #51
F7 HavocF7 #34 #123
DB HavocDB #67 #31
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatWASH OffBSU Def
Perf GradePerf #23 #73
SuccessSuc #9 #13
ExplosiveExp #79 #128
PPAPPA #19 #52
PowerPwr #20 #66
SP+SP+ #28 #47
Pts POPPO #17 #111
HavocHav #41 #50
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffBSU Def
Run GameRun #14 #125
Run SuccessRSuc #14 #53
Run ExplRExp #42 #134
PPAExp #13 #119
Run BlockR Blk #26 -
OL YdsOLY #30 #90
Stuff RateStuff #50 #66
TackleTak -  #132
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatWASH OffBSU Def
Pass GamePass #71 #19
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #7
Pass ExplPExl #114 #117
PPAExp #31 #7
Pass Block/RushP Blk #65 #83
F7 HavocF7 #82 #26
DB HavocDB #10 #81
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in SoFi Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Washington -9.5 (55.5)
Washington won vs Boise State this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Boise State in 2023 (56-19)

  
BSU's OC Nate Potter (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen17630258%23331897.7
Max Cutforth9516757%1059456.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Riley1961125105.777
Sire Gaines16181485.146
Malik Sherrod (Tr)8441645.044
Maddux Madsen578141.425
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Latrell Caples51616312.134
Chris Marshall30574219.146
Chase Penry30394113.146
Matt Lauter3733028.920

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield1059013
Marco Notarainni787482
Boen Phelps664150
Zion Washington653112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braxton Fely247650
Jayden Virgin55125120
Marco Notarainni787482
Sterling Lane63310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Earby602109
Sherrod Smith131006
Jaden Mickey (Tr)387115

WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.24635470%30642588.7
Kai Horton (Tr)71354%98007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman156759154.938
Demond Williams Jr.14361264.342
Adam Mohammed10652354.925
Jordan Washington2723318.668
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston628801114.278
Dezmen Roebuck42560713.359
Decker DeGraaf32360211.330
Jonah Coleman31354211.445

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)933006
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)706122
Deven Bryant622012
Makell Esteen522101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane408412
Zach Durfee375451
Bryce Butler204330
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)194211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock491007
DeShawn Lynch194117
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)933006