Boise State at Washington - 2025 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos vs Washington Huskies

Saturday, December 13th 2025 (8:00 PM EST)
Washington -9.5 (55.5) (-320) Open: -8.5 | 51.5
Washington 38 - Boise State: 10 (Bucked Up LA Bowl)

Broncos (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Washington -13.5 (SP+ WASH -15)
Projected Score: BSU: 20 - WASH: 34 (54)
WASH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BSU Travel: 677 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
BSU Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Boise State at South Florida	-8.5	63.5	L 7 - 34	U	N
Fri 9/5	Boise State vs Eastern Washington	-33.5	60.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Boise State at Air Force	-10.5	51.5	W 49 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Boise State vs App State	-16.5	59.5	W 47 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Boise State at Notre Dame	+21.5	63.5	L 7 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-14.5	58.5	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Boise State vs UNLV	-12.5	60.5	W 56 - 31	O	Y
Fri 10/24	Boise State at Nevada	-20.5	51.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Boise State vs Fresno State	-17.5	47.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Boise State at San Diego State	+1.5	41.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/22	Boise State vs Colorado State	-17.5	46.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/28	Boise State at Utah State	-1.5	54.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Fri 12/5	Boise State vs UNLV	-6.0	60.0	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/13	Boise State vs Washington	+9.5	55.5	L 10 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Washington's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Washington vs Colorado State	-20.5	52.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/6	Washington vs UC Davis	-28.0	54.0	W 70 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Washington at Washington State	-21.0	51.5	W 59 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Washington vs Ohio State	+9.5	52.5	L 6 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/4	Washington at Maryland	-5.5	52.5	W 24 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/10	Washington vs Rutgers	-9.5	62.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Washington at Michigan	+4.5	50.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/25	Washington vs Illinois	-3.5	54.5	W 42 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Washington at Wisconsin	-10.5	44.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/15	Washington vs Purdue	-14.5	51.5	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Washington at UCLA	-10.5	51.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Washington vs Oregon	+6.5	51.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Sat 12/13	Washington vs Boise State	-9.5	55.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)	29.9	49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)	24.1	39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)	34.1	46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)	18.7	48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	29.9	19.8	48.3%	4.83	0.6	22	437	234	204	6.5	55%	44%	49%	48%	12%	.36
WASH Defense	13	18.7	19.7	43.1%	4.04	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	48%	38%	14%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	24.1	23.8	38.2%	3.33	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	39%	37%	20%	.16
WASH Offense	13	34.1	36.7	47%	3.52	0.8	19	355	122	233	4.1	46%	54%	46%	48%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	29:25	21.6	49%	71%	4.5	39.8	0.6	1.1	7.4	3.6	3	30.1
Washington	13	27:50	19.1	36%	46%	5.5	48.7	0.8	1.2	3.3	1.5	0	27.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	55% (31)	49% (17)	36.2	233.5	6.5	42 (3)	.32 (6)	3.22 (39)	86% (3)	7% (10)	1.22 (5)
WASH Defense	13	52% (79)	48% (116)	-	-	-	-	.19 (106)	3.3 (114)	68% (36)	7% (131)	0.89 (31)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	43% (3)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.13 (72)	2.8 (34)	62% (12)	15% (3)	1.1 (113)
WASH Offense	13	46% (100)	46% (36)	29.5	121.6	4.1	13 (105)	.12 (78)	3.29 (28)	77% (43)	11% (101)	0.83 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	44% (103)	48% (12)	17	27.1	203.9	7.5	12	22 (46)	4 (1)	.41 (12)	1.5 (119)	29% (23)	35% (28)	.37 (55)	6% (58)	1.9 (111)
WASH Defense	13	48% (58)	38% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.09 (13)	1.5 (40)	30% (95)	33% (98)	.35 (90)	7% (32)	2 (57)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	57% (133)	37% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.18 (42)	1.7 (96)	36% (10)	30% (62)	.41 (105)	6% (83)	2.3 (124)
WASH Offense	13	54% (38)	48% (13)	21.2	29.6	232.9	7.9	11	18 (68)	7 (26)	.37 (22)	1.5 (117)	27% (6)	34% (44)	.35 (62)	5% (35)	1.8 (121)

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 0.57 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.41 #68
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.84 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 0.57 Washington: 15.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.1 Washington: 18.4

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.09 #35
Washington's Offense Rating: 18.70 #35
Washington's Defense Rating: 6.92 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #20
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 34
Boise State 20

Projected Total Points: 54

Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/13	Washington	38	Boise State	10	Washington -9.5	Washington	55.5	Under
2023	09/02	Washington	56	Boise State	19	Washington -14	Washington	59.0	Over
2019	12/21	Washington	38	Boise State	7	Washington -4	Washington	48.0	Under
2015	09/04	Boise State	16	Washington	13	Boise State -11	Washington	53.0	Under
2013	08/31	Washington	38	Boise State	6	Washington -2.5	Washington	0
2012	12/22	Boise State	28	Washington	26
2007	09/08	Washington	24	Boise State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	5	5	1 Overs
Boise State	2	0	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 0	4 - 1	4 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 7	1 - 4	0 - 0	1 - 4

Boise State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	La Bowl	Boise State vs Washington	+9.5	55.5	L 10 - 38
2024	CFP Quarterfinal	Boise State vs Penn State	+11.5	54.5	L 14 - 31
2023	La Bowl	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35
2022	Frisco Bowl	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0	63.0	W 35 - 32
2019	Vegas Bowl	Boise State vs Washington	+4.0	48.0	L 7 - 38

Washington Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	La Bowl	Washington vs Boise State	-9.5	55.5	W 38 - 10
2024	Sun Bowl	Washington vs Louisville	-1.0	50.5	L 34 - 35
2023	CFP Nat'l Title	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34
2023	CFP Semifinal	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31
2022	Alamo Bowl	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	67.0	W 27 - 20
2019	Vegas Bowl	Washington vs Boise State	-4.0	48.0	W 38 - 7

(#67) BSU at (#35) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	WASH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#35
SP+SP+	#64	#13
Perf GradeGrade	#86	#15
OffenseOff	#81	#19
DefenseDef	#77	#31
Spec TeamsST	#54	#68
TalentTal	#77	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#27

Boise State Notes(12/13) Could not physically compete with Washington & ND
(12/6) MWC champs after beating UNLV
(12/6) RB duo of Riley & Gaines proved incredible late
(12/6) HC Danielson won MWC in every year he coached
(11/28) Cutforth 340 yds, Run Off ok in W over Utah St
(11/28) Run Def has been bad, Utah St 221 yds, 6.5 ypc
(11/3) QB1 Maddux Madsen carted off in Fresno loss
(11/3) QB2 Max Cutforth awful vs Fresno (< 50%, 2 Int)
(10/4) TE M Lauter out vs ND. Huge loss
(9/20) RB Dylan Riley 255 yds, 5 TD vs AFA. Def still bad
(8/29) Pass Def bad, Run Off worse in loss at USF
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
Boise State Injury Report

Washington Notes(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report

Boise State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	WASH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#81	#31
SuccessSuc	#12	#83
ExplosiveExp	#37	#17
PPAPPA	#3	#54
PowerPwr	#68	#30
SP+SP+	#55	#9
Pts POPPO	#4	#95
HavocHav	#20	#107

Boise State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#23	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	#17	#116
Run ExplRExp	#5	#31
PPAExp	#6	#106
Run BlockR Blk	#39	-
OL YdsOLY	#39	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#58	#123
TackleTak	-	#14

Boise State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	#12	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#119	#40
PPAExp	#12	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#116	#36
F7 HavocF7	#10	#131
DB HavocDB	#58	#32

Washington on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#19	#77
SuccessSuc	#21	#27
ExplosiveExp	#119	#119
PPAPPA	#32	#59
PowerPwr	#35	#61
SP+SP+	#20	#60
Pts POPPO	#102	#24
HavocHav	#74	#7

Washington Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#13	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	#36	#33
Run ExplRExp	#123	#113
PPAExp	#78	#72
Run BlockR Blk	#28	-
OL YdsOLY	#28	#34
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#21
TackleTak	-	#134

Washington Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#41	#19
Pass SuccessPSuc	#13	#29
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#96
PPAExp	#22	#42
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#62	#82
F7 HavocF7	#101	#3
DB HavocDB	#35	#83

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in SoFi Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Washington -9.5 (55.5)
Washington won vs Boise State this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Boise State last year (38-10)
Washington beat Boise State in 2023 (56-19)

BSU's OC Nate Potter (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maddux Madsen	176	302	58%	2333	18	9	7.7
Max Cutforth	95	167	57%	1059	4	5	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Riley	195	1125	10	5.8	77
Sire Gaines	161	812	8	5.0	46
Malik Sherrod (Tr)	85	418	4	4.9	44
Maddux Madsen	57	81	4	1.4	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Latrell Caples	51	616	3	12.1	34
Chris Marshall	30	574	2	19.1	46
Chase Penry	30	394	1	13.1	46
Matt Lauter	37	330	2	8.9	20

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Benefield	105	9	0	1	3
Marco Notarainni	77	6	3	8	2
Zion Washington	66	3	1	1	2
Boen Phelps	66	4	1	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Jayden Virgin	56	13	6	12
Braxton Fely	24	7	6	5
Sterling Lane	6	3	3	1
Malakai Williams (Tr)	11	4	3	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Earby	60	2	1	0	9
Sherrod Smith	14	1	0	0	6
Jaden Mickey (Tr)	38	7	1	1	5

WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Demond Williams Jr.	246	354	70%	3065	25	8	8.7
Kai Horton (Tr)	7	13	54%	98	0	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	156	758	15	4.9	38
Demond Williams Jr.	143	612	6	4.3	42
Adam Mohammed	106	523	5	4.9	25
Jordan Washington	27	233	1	8.6	68

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Denzel Boston	62	881	11	14.2	78
Dezmen Roebuck	42	560	7	13.3	59
Decker DeGraaf	32	360	2	11.3	30
Jonah Coleman	31	354	2	11.4	45

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)	94	3	0	0	6
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)	70	6	1	2	3
Deven Bryant	62	2	0	1	2
Makell Esteen	51	2	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Lane	40	8	4	1	2
Zach Durfee	37	5	4	5	1
Bryce Butler	20	4	3	3	0
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)	19	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ephesians Prysock	48	1	0	0	7
DeShawn Lynch	19	4	1	1	7
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)	94	3	0	0	6