Oklahoma State at Boise State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (9:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -3.5 (58.5)
Oklahoma State 21 - Boise State: 20

 
Cowboys (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Mike Gundy (140 - 67)
Avg Score : 31 - 18 (24 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.4 MPH
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ OKST -8)
Projected Score: OKST: 25 - BSU: 25 (50)
BSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OKST Travel: 1135 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Broncos (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Andy Avalos (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oklahoma State vs Missouri State-38.055.0W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/11 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-11.551.0W 28 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Oklahoma State at Boise State+3.558.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 9/25 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State-6.047.5W 31 - 20OY
Sat 10/2 Oklahoma State vs Baylor-3.547.0W 24 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Oklahoma State at Texas+3.061.0W 32 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+7.547.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/30 Oklahoma State vs Kansas-28.554.5W 55 - 3OY
Sat 11/6 Oklahoma State at West Virginia-3.548.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Oklahoma State vs TCU-11.053.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech-10.055.0W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma-4.050.0W 37 - 33ON
Sat 12/4 Oklahoma State vs Baylor-7.045.0L 16 - 21UN
Sat 1/1 Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5W 37 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Boise State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Boise State at UCF+6.567.0L 31 - 36UY
Fri 9/10 Boise State vs UTEP-25.056.0W 54 - 13OY
Sat 9/18 Boise State vs Oklahoma State-3.558.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Boise State at Utah State-9.569.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 10/2 Boise State vs Nevada-3.559.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 10/9 Boise State at BYU+6.058.0W 26 - 17UY
Sat 10/16 Boise State vs Air Force-3.052.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Boise State at Colorado State-2.051.5W 28 - 19UY
Sat 11/6 Boise State at Fresno State+4.061.5W 40 - 14UY
Fri 11/12 Boise State vs Wyoming-14.049.0W 23 - 13UN
Sat 11/20 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.548.0W 37 - 0UY
Fri 11/26 Boise State at San Diego State-3.044.0L 16 - 27UN
Fri 12/31 Boise State vs Central Michigan-7.555.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST.1642%31.141%2.7218644%2323.87.0536%18.134%38%3.0555.81.41.5
BSU.1943%29.241%2.7512244%2613.99.1338%1940%37%3.2649.61.31.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)49% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)39% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1431.124.242.4%3.871.4244171862324.254%46%41%44%16%.16
BSU Defense121918.738.5%3.261.9 - - - - - 55%45%40%37%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1418.114.236%3.051.5 - - - - - 44%56%34%38%23%.05
BSU Offense1229.230.343%3.991.3223831222613.247%53%41%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1430:5223.643%54%655.81.41.58.44.1431
Boise State1229:572244%38%549.61.31.95.52.3429.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1454%41%44.3185.54.227.042.7265%11%0.87
BSU Defense1255%40% - - - - .12.9367%11%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1444%34% - - - - -.032.3547%16%0.93
BSU Offense1247%41%38.3122.23.215.052.7569%10%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1446%44%19.631.9231.97.311.92313.321.531%29%.266%2
BSU Defense1245%37% - - - - - - 13.221.734%26%.226%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1456%38% - - - - - - 9.131.535%25%.126%1.9
BSU Offense1253%44%21.234.2260.67.612.32010.311.532%34%.455%2

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oklahoma State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2  #12
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State:    Boise State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 17.2   Boise State: 9.4




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #69
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #23

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.2

Oklahoma State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma State 25
Boise State 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma State 28
Boise State 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Oklahoma State 23
Boise State 23

Total Points: 46
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Boise State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Boise State20Oklahoma State21Boise State -3.5Oklahoma State58.5Under
201809/15Oklahoma State44Boise State21Boise State -2Oklahoma State65.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State000 Overs
Oklahoma State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) OKST at (#) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #41
Perf GradeGrade #13 #42
OffenseOff #49 #77
DefenseDef #4 #32
Spec TeamsST #8 #66
TalentTal #54 #70
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oklahoma State on Offense
CategoryCat
OKST OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #32
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #23
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma State Run Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffBSU Def
Run GameRun #77 #51
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #26
Oklahoma State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffBSU Def
Pass GamePass #20 #10
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #44 #112
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCatBSU OffOKST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #77 #4
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #61 #7
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #52
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCatBSU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #34 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #109 #36
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 65° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Boise State -3.5 (58.5)
Oklahoma State won at Boise State this year (21-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD