Boise State at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo   Boise State Broncos at Washington Huskies  Washington logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Washington -14 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Washington 56 - Boise State: 19

 
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Andy Avalos (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Washington -13.5  (SP+ WASH -11)
Projected Score: BSU: 21 - WASH: 35 (56)
WASH Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BSU Travel: 406 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18OY
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19OY
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Washington's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Washington vs Boise State-14.059.0W 56 - 19OY
Sat 9/9 Washington vs Tulsa-34.066.5W 43 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Washington at Michigan State-14.557.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Washington vs California-21.055.5W 59 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Washington at Arizona-20.066.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Washington vs Oregon-3.067.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 10/21 Washington vs Arizona State-28.059.5W 15 - 7UN
Sat 10/28 Washington at Stanford-27.562.0W 42 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Washington at USC-3.076.0W 52 - 42OY
Sat 11/11 Washington vs Utah-9.548.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 11/18 Washington at Oregon State+1.562.5W 22 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Washington vs Washington State-16.068.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 12/1 Washington vs Oregon+9.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Mon 1/1 Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31OY
Mon 1/8 Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU.2343%29.946%3.3419739%1894.07.0935%24.139%30%3.3847.41.21.5
WASH.3752%34.151%3.3214652%3704.82.2444%18.747%43%3.9760.10.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1429.919.842.9%4.071.220386197189556%44%46%39%16%.23
WASH Defense1318.719.744.3%3.971 - - - - - 47%53%47%43%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1424.123.834.6%3.381.5 - - - - - 56%43%39%30%18%.09
WASH Offense1334.136.751.7%4.820.8275151463704.738%62%51%52%9%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1430:5019.540%59%5.647.41.21.55.12.1231.2
Washington1331:2027.257%55%6.860.10.815.52.8030.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1456%46%39.2196.5527.23.3476%9%0.97
WASH Defense1347%47% - - - - .153.2271%10%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1456%39% - - - - .112.9376%12%0.94
WASH Offense1338%51%30.9145.64.733.33.3275%4%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1444%39%16.427.5189.26.911.6209.321.731%32%.457%2.2
WASH Defense1353%43% - - - - - - 7.361.732%34%.454%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1443%30% - - - - - - 15.121.935%19%.096%2.3
WASH Offense1362%52%28.744.2369.88.412.9329.441.429%45%.595%1.9

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.57  #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76  #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84  #58
2023 Talent Rating: 579.88  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #70

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 4.57   Washington: 19.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 7.4   Washington: 18.6




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 19.37  #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07  #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39  #52
2023 Talent Rating: 751.12  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 33  #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6  #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5  #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 35
Boise State 21

Projected Total Points: 56
Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/13Washington38Boise State10Washington -9.5Washington55.5Under
202309/02Washington56Boise State19Washington -14Washington59.0Over
201912/21Washington38Boise State7Washington -4Washington48.0Under
201509/04Boise State16Washington13Boise State -11Washington53.0Under
201308/31Washington38Boise State6Washington -2.5Washington0
201212/22Boise State28Washington26
200709/08Washington24Boise State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington551 Overs
Boise State203 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 04 - 14 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 71 - 40 - 01 - 4

(#37) BSU at (#12) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUWASH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #37 #12
SP+SP+ #41 #11
Perf GradeGrade #51 #13
OffenseOff #26 #4
DefenseDef #111 #42
Spec TeamsST #64 #15
TalentTal #72 #26
Blue ChipsBC% #69 #23
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCat
BSU OffWASH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #26 #42
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #28 #52
SP+SP+ #29 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #3 #80
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #109
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #95 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #77 #27
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Washington on Offense
CategoryCatWASH OffBSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #111
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #5 #58
SP+SP+ #4 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Washington Run Game
CategoryCat
WASH OffBSU Def
Run GameRun #39 #113
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #40 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Washington Pass Game
CategoryCatWASH OffBSU Def
Pass GamePass #3 #94
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #17 #109
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Washington -14.0 (59.0)
Washington won vs Boise State this year (56-19)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Boise State last year (38-10)
Washington beat Boise State in 2023 (56-19)

  
BSU's OC Bush Hamdan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green12121257%17521198.3
Maddux Madsen8113261%1191939.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty2211351146.168
George Holani13374475.675
Taylen Green7843695.670
Jambres Dubar6233525.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister47873518.683
Ashton Jeanty43569513.275
Billy Bowens28383113.752
Prince Strachan12274222.874

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alexander Teubner793005
Andrew Simpson6516752
Seyi Oladipo609214
Rodney Robinson542012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmed Hassanein50171370
Andrew Simpson6516752
Ty Benefield435335
Braxton Fely155340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Clark522018
Alexander Teubner793005
Ty Benefield435335

WASH's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Penix Jr.36355665%490336118.8
Dylan Morris91464%2241116.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)2331195165.153
Will Nixon3320116.121
Tybo Rogers4418404.222
Germie Bernard (Tr)134323.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rome Odunze9216401317.852
Ja'Lynn Polk691159916.892
Jalen McMillan45559512.445
Jack Westover4643349.428

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC William Inge (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominique Hampton980006
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Carson Bruener802013
Alphonzo Tuputala642201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralen Trice46117152
Zion Tupuola-Fetui295420
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Dominique Hampton980006
Mishael Powell383026