Boise State at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at Washington Huskies

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Washington -14 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington 56 - Boise State: 19

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Washington -13.5 (SP+ WASH -11)
Projected Score: BSU: 21 - WASH: 35 (54)
WASH Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BSU Travel: 406 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (29 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.23	43%	37.3	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	22.6	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5
WASH	.37	52%	23.4	51%	3.32	146	52%	370	4.82	.24	44%	23.8	47%	43%	3.97	60.1	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	37.3	34.3	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23
WASH Defense	13	23.8	12.3	44.3%	3.97	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	43%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	22.6	24.5	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09
WASH Offense	13	23.4	28.8	51.7%	4.82	0.8	27	515	146	370	4.7	38%	62%	51%	52%	9%	.37

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2
Washington	13	31:20	27.2	57%	55%	6.8	60.1	0.8	1	5.5	2.8	0	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97
WASH Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.22	71%	10%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94
WASH Offense	13	38%	51%	30.9	145.6	4.7	33	.3	3.32	75%	4%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2
WASH Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.36	1.7	32%	34%	.45	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3
WASH Offense	13	62%	52%	28.7	44.2	369.8	8.4	12.9	32	9	.44	1.4	29%	45%	.59	5%	1.9

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 4.57 Washington: 19.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 7.4 Washington: 18.6

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 35
Boise State 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.3

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Washington	56	Boise State	19	Washington	Washington -14	Washington	59.0	Over
2019	12/21	Washington	38	Boise State	7	Washington	Washington -4	Washington	48.0	Under
2015	09/04	Boise State	16	Washington	13	Boise State	Boise State -11	Washington	53.0	Under
2013	08/31	Washington	38	Boise State	6	Washington	Washington -2.5	Washington	0
2012	12/22	Boise State	28	Washington	26	Boise State
2007	09/08	Washington	24	Boise State	10	Washington

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	4	4	1 Overs
Boise State	2	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 0	3 - 1	3 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 6	1 - 3	0 - 0	1 - 3

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Boise State Ratings Matchup Washington

Power #37

#12

Off #28

Def #58

#52

Talent #77

#41

SP+ #41

#11

SP+ Off #29

SP+ Def #70

#45

Rematch from Week 1
Washington -14.0 (59.0)
Washington won vs Boise State this year (56-19)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Boise State in 2023 (56-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 79°

Team Information
Injuries: BSU | WASH
Depth Chart: BSU | WASH
Rosters: BSU | WASH

(#12) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10

Team Profile

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Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Jeanty	374	2601	29	7.0	77
Taylen Green	156	602	8	3.9	41
Tyler Crowe	28	129	3	4.6	13
Jonah Dalmas	1	-2	0	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric McAlister	39	762	5	19.5	84
Ashton Jeanty	23	138	1	6.0	18
Tyler Crowe	3	15	0	5.0	7

View Boise State's Full Roster

Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2
Sheldon Newton (Tr)	19	2	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2

Washington's OC Ryan Grubb

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Mack	2	3	67%	39	1	0	13.0
Dylan Morris	1	1	100%	6	0	0	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Nixon	19	76	0	4.0	12
Germie Bernard (Tr)	4	37	1	9.3	13
Giles Jackson	4	16	1	4.0	6
Daniyel Ngata (Tr)	4	9	0	2.3	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43
Will Nixon	4	44	0	11.0	20

View Washington's Full Roster

Washington's DC William Inge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Austin Harnetiaux	44	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Davon Banks	35	6	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	38	1	0	0	10
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5