Nevada Wolf Pack at Boise State Broncos
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Boise State -23.5 (60.5) (-4000) Open: -25.0 | 60.5
Boise State 28 - Nevada: 21 (Mountain West)
Wolf Pack (3 - 10) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Choate (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 10 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jeff Choate (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 10 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
NEV is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -29 (SP+ BSU -25)
Projected Score: NEV: 15 - BSU: 44 (56)
BSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
NEV Travel: 337 miles, 1 hrs behind
NEV is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -29 (SP+ BSU -25)
Projected Score: NEV: 15 - BSU: 44 (56)
BSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
NEV Travel: 337 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
| Nevada's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | Nevada vs SMU | +28.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 29 | U | Y | |
| Sat 8/31 | Nevada at Troy | +7.5 | 44.5 | W 28 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Nevada vs Georgia Southern | -1.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Nevada at Minnesota | +17.5 | 44.5 | L 0 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Nevada vs Eastern Washington | -13.5 | 54.5 | W 49 - 16 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Nevada at San José State | +7.0 | 51.5 | L 31 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Nevada vs Oregon State | +3.0 | 47.0 | W 42 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/18 | Nevada vs Fresno State | +3.0 | 50.0 | L 21 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Nevada at Hawai'i | +2.5 | 42.0 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Nevada vs Colorado State | +2.0 | 45.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Nevada at Boise State | +23.5 | 60.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Nevada vs Air Force | -3.0 | 44.5 | L 19 - 22 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Nevada at UNLV | +17.5 | 54.5 | L 14 - 38 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
| Boise State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Boise State at Georgia Southern | -13.0 | 57.5 | W 56 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Boise State at Oregon | +17.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Boise State vs Portland State | -43.0 | 69.5 | W 56 - 14 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Boise State vs Washington State | -6.5 | 66.0 | W 45 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Boise State vs Utah State | -28.0 | 66.5 | W 62 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Boise State at Hawai'i | -21.0 | 60.0 | W 28 - 7 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/25 | Boise State at UNLV | -4.0 | 64.0 | W 29 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/1 | Boise State vs San Diego State | -24.5 | 55.5 | W 56 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Boise State vs Nevada | -23.5 | 60.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Boise State at San José State | -14.5 | 62.0 | W 42 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Boise State at Wyoming | -22.0 | 54.0 | W 17 - 13 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Boise State vs Oregon State | -17.5 | 58.5 | W 34 - 18 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/6 | Boise State vs UNLV | -3.5 | 57.5 | W 21 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Boise State vs Penn State | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 14 - 31 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | #128 (.04) | 35% (129) | 23.1 | 39% (116) | 2.67 (127) | 125 | 32% (132) | 175 | 2.54 (132) | #101 (.24) | 46% (122) | 28.8 | 47% (110) | 47% (126) | 3.83 (71) | 58.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| BSU | #19 (.3) | 47% (21) | 37.3 | 51% (10) | 3.46 (9) | 215 | 42% (69) | 221 | 4.2 (38) | #90 (.22) | 41% (59) | 22.6 | 44% (79) | 40% (42) | 4.04 (90) | 32 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| BSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 12 | 23.1 | 17.8 | 35.4% | 2.54 | 1.7 | 17 | 300 | 125 | 175 | 3.4 | 55% | 45% | 39% | 32% | 22% | .04 |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 22.6 | 19.7 | 41.3% | 4.04 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 44% | 40% | 17% | .22 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 12 | 28.8 | 31.3 | 46.5% | 3.83 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 14% | .24 |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 37.3 | 43.1 | 46.6% | 4.2 | 1.5 | 21 | 436 | 215 | 221 | 5.4 | 57% | 42% | 51% | 42% | 14% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 12 | 30:19 | 16.7 | 30% | 43% | 6.8 | 58.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 | 3 | 26.8 |
| Boise State | 14 | 31:11 | 21.4 | 46% | 82% | 3.7 | 32 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 29.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 12 | 55% (33) | 39% (116) | 36.9 | 124.8 | 3.4 | 14 (106) | .08 (107) | 2.67 (127) | 55% (132) | 16% (133) | 0.98 (78) |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 46% (24) | 44% (79) | - | - | - | - | .19 (95) | 3.08 (59) | 66% (29) | 11% (34) | 1.09 (108) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 12 | 51% (81) | 47% (110) | - | - | - | - | .19 (97) | 3.28 (107) | 67% (30) | 9% (99) | 1.07 (104) |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 57% (19) | 51% (10) | 40 | 214.9 | 5.4 | 34 (7) | .3 (6) | 3.46 (9) | 84% (6) | 8% (34) | 1.07 (31) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 12 | 45% (102) | 32% (132) | 15.9 | 28.8 | 175.2 | 6.1 | 11 | 6 (133) | 12 (85) | .02 (132) | 1.5 (88) | 34% (107) | 26% (109) | .06 (132) | 6% (89) | 1.7 (130) |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 53% (112) | 40% (42) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .28 (72) | 1.7 (91) | 33% (48) | 32% (91) | .37 (95) | 6% (72) | 2.1 (80) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 12 | 48% (52) | 47% (126) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (87) | .32 (99) | 1.6 (83) | 30% (102) | 30% (68) | .28 (50) | 5% (99) | 2 (37) |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 42% (117) | 42% (69) | 15.4 | 26.6 | 221.3 | 8.3 | 14.3 | 20 (70) | 13 (97) | .38 (29) | 1.8 (12) | 29% (16) | 34% (38) | .38 (56) | 6% (66) | 2.1 (57) |
Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -13.37 #109
Nevada's Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Nevada's Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
2024 Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Nevada's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Nevada's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Nevada's Power Rating: -13.37 #109
Nevada's Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Nevada's Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
2024 Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Nevada's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Nevada's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -13.37 Boise State: 14.725
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.2 Boise State: 10.1
Nevada: -13.37 Boise State: 14.725
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.2 Boise State: 10.1
Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Boise State's Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Boise State's Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
2024 Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Boise State's Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Boise State's Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Boise State's Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
2024 Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3
Nevada's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3
Nevada's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 44
Nevada 15
Projected Total Points: 56
Boise State 44
Nevada 15
Projected Total Points: 56
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7
Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7
Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | Boise State | 28 | Nevada | 21 | Boise State | Boise State -23.5 | Nevada | 60.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Nevada | 3 | Boise State | 41 | Boise State | Boise State -21 | Boise State | 47.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/02 | Boise State | 31 | Nevada | 41 | Nevada | Boise State -3.5 | Nevada | 59.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Nevada | 27 | Boise State | 31 | Boise State | Boise State -15 | Nevada | 59.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Boise State | 41 | Nevada | 14 | Boise State | Boise State -20.5 | Boise State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Nevada | 46 | Boise State | 51 | Boise State | Boise State -1.5 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | Boise State | 34 | Nevada | 17 | Boise State | Boise State -21.5 | Nevada | 0 | |
| 2012 | 12/01 | Nevada | 21 | Boise State | 27 | Boise State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/01 | Boise State | 30 | Nevada | 10 | Boise State | ||||
| 2010 | 11/26 | Nevada | 34 | Boise State | 31 | Nevada | ||||
| 2009 | 11/27 | Boise State | 44 | Nevada | 33 | Boise State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | Nevada | 34 | Boise State | 41 | Boise State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/14 | Boise State | 69 | Nevada | 67 | Boise State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Nevada | 7 | Boise State | 38 | Boise State | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Boise State | 49 | Nevada | 14 | Boise State | ||||
| 2004 | 11/27 | Nevada | 21 | Boise State | 58 | Boise State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/29 | Boise State | 56 | Nevada | 3 | Boise State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | Boise State | 49 | Nevada | 7 | Boise State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 16 | 3 | 1 Overs |
| Nevada | 2 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 8 | 2 - 5 | 1 - 3 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 10 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 3 - 1 |
(#109) Nevada Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.37 #109
Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Nevada Notes
(10/19) 2nd H vs Fresno, 4 Punts, 2 loss of downs
(10/19) Rgame abysmal, 84 yds (2.2 ypc) vs Fresno in L
(10/19) QB Lewis benched for Purdy in Fresno game
(10/12) QB Lewis/RB Red almost 300 rush yds over Oreg St
(9/23) Choate a huge upgrade over prev staff
(9/1) QB Lewis v mobile, better passer than anticipated
(9/1) Played w/ SMU, W @ Troy. Nev vastly improved TY
(7/30) Worst team in CFB in '23, fired everyone
(7/30) Off near worst in '23, QB Purdy (Neb)?, WR ?
(7/30) OL has 3 back, RB actually decent. Lost AA Kicker
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.37 #109
Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Nevada Notes
(10/19) 2nd H vs Fresno, 4 Punts, 2 loss of downs
(10/19) Rgame abysmal, 84 yds (2.2 ypc) vs Fresno in L
(10/19) QB Lewis benched for Purdy in Fresno game
(10/12) QB Lewis/RB Red almost 300 rush yds over Oreg St
(9/23) Choate a huge upgrade over prev staff
(9/1) QB Lewis v mobile, better passer than anticipated
(9/1) Played w/ SMU, W @ Troy. Nev vastly improved TY
(7/30) Worst team in CFB in '23, fired everyone
(7/30) Off near worst in '23, QB Purdy (Neb)?, WR ?
(7/30) OL has 3 back, RB actually decent. Lost AA Kicker
Power #109
#16Off #46
#10Def #108
#22Talent #112
#69SP+ #117
#29SP+ Off #106
#17SP+ Def #113
#50Rematch from Week 11
Boise State -23.5 (60.5)
Boise State won vs Nevada this year (28-21)
Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Nevada last year (28-21)
Boise State beat Nevada in 2022 (41-3)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45°
Team Information
Injuries: NEV | BSU
Depth Chart: NEV | BSU
Rosters: NEV | BSU
(#16) Boise State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Boise State Notes
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)
(8/11) Top 5/6 WR return along with good TE
(7/30) One of best G5 backfields + 3/5 of OL back.
(7/30) HC Danielson 1st full year, OC is Dirk Koetter
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Boise State Notes
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)
(8/11) Top 5/6 WR return along with good TE
(7/30) One of best G5 backfields + 3/5 of OL back.
(7/30) HC Danielson 1st full year, OC is Dirk Koetter
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendon Lewis | 211 | 312 | 68% | 2290 | 16 | 7 | 7.3 |
| Chubba Purdy (Tr) | 18 | 25 | 72% | 239 | 1 | 1 | 9.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendon Lewis | 157 | 775 | 8 | 4.9 | 67 |
| Savion Red (Tr) | 119 | 687 | 8 | 5.8 | 69 |
| Pat Garwo III | 55 | 246 | 5 | 4.5 | 25 |
| Sean Dollars | 47 | 165 | 0 | 3.5 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Smith | 62 | 849 | 7 | 13.7 | 62 |
| Cortez Braham | 56 | 724 | 4 | 12.9 | 57 |
| Marcus Bellon | 39 | 522 | 4 | 13.4 | 63 |
| Caleb Ramseur | 8 | 106 | 1 | 13.3 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitan Crawford (Tr) | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Drue Watts | 65 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Tongiaki Mateialona | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Stone Combs | 58 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ikahihifo | 43 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Kristopher Ross | 29 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Tongiaki Mateialona | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jonathan Maldonado | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Coats Jr. | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Kitan Crawford (Tr) | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Chad Brown | 47 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 247 | 396 | 62% | 3018 | 23 | 6 | 7.6 |
| Malachi Nelson (Tr) | 12 | 17 | 71% | 128 | 0 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 57 | 221 | 5 | 3.9 | 49 |
| Sire Gaines | 20 | 156 | 1 | 7.8 | 38 |
| Dylan Riley | 22 | 135 | 2 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Jambres Dubar | 25 | 99 | 2 | 4.0 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Camper (Tr) | 58 | 903 | 4 | 15.6 | 53 |
| Matt Lauter | 48 | 629 | 7 | 13.1 | 53 |
| Latrell Caples | 38 | 473 | 5 | 12.4 | 36 |
| Prince Strachan | 25 | 304 | 1 | 12.2 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Benefield | 82 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Zion Washington | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Marco Notarainni | 60 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| A'Marion McCoy | 60 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Virgin | 40 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| Braxton Fely | 24 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Marco Notarainni | 60 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Max Stege | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'Marion McCoy | 60 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| Zion Washington | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jeremiah Earby (Tr) | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |