Memphis at Boise State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo   Memphis Tigers at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#80)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Boise State -4  (SP+ MEM -4.5)
Projected Score: MEM: 27 - BSU: 31 (57)
BSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 1510 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (24 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 3.5 (#33)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Memphis's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Memphis at Boise State+4

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Boise State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Boise State at Oregon+26.5
Sat 9/12 Boise State vs Memphis-4
Sat 9/19 Boise State vs South Dakota-26.5
Sat 9/26 Boise State at Western Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/3 Boise State vs Utah State-12.5
Sat 10/10 Boise State at Fresno State-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Boise State at Washington State-1
Sat 10/31 Boise State vs Texas State-5
Sat 11/7 Boise State at Colorado State-13.5
Sat 11/14 Boise State vs Oregon State-20.5
Fri 11/20 Boise State vs San Diego State-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#24 (.26)45% (40)32.549% (12)3.33 (11)18342% (70)2284.41 (23)#92 (.19)42% (66)23.239% (32)45% (110)4 (100)48.10.91.5
BSU#44 (.2)42% (77)29.943% (80)3.11 (39)17941% (83)2453.66 (73)#53 (.12)36% (14)24.141% (50)33% (6)4.14 (111)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1332.53544.9%4.410.9234121832285.148%50%49%42%14%.26
BSU Defense1424.122.336.5%4.141.6 - - - - - 52%46%41%33%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.220.841.6%41.5 - - - - - 50%49%39%45%17%.19
BSU Offense1429.941.341.8%3.661.5224241792454.651%47%43%41%14%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1331:3822.742%56%5.548.10.91.561.6329.4
Boise State1432:5022.146%51%6.959.41.51.662330.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1348% (79)49% (12)36.2183.25.134 (1).3 (5)3.33 (11)75% (47)10% (98)1.17 (7)
BSU Defense1452% (93)41% (50) - - - - .2 (120)2.98 (88)67% (39)11% (28)1.22 (134)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1350% (71)39% (32) - - - - .04 (32)2.57 (13)73% (87)11% (28)0.98 (81)
BSU Offense1451% (51)43% (80)39.3179.44.629 (30).16 (46)3.11 (39)79% (22)8% (33)1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1350% (60)42% (70)21.431.7228.47.210.717 (86)9 (88).23 (80)1.5 (95)32% (83)32% (42).34 (55)4% (14)2.1 (43)
BSU Defense1446% (45)33% (6) - - - - - - 14 (22).08 (7)1.7 (116)37% (4)28% (49).22 (33)6% (81)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1349% (72)45% (110) - - - - - - 12 (6).37 (118)1.6 (105)32% (62)30% (77).37 (105)6% (47)2.1 (113)
BSU Offense1447% (83)41% (83)19.633.7244.97.312.523 (22)14 (88).27 (62)1.6 (43)33% (91)31% (58).28 (74)6% (65)1.8 (124)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: -4.64  #78
Memphis's Offense Rating: 10.31  #76
Memphis's Defense Rating: 19.95  #90
2026 Talent Rating: 760.00  #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #66
Memphis's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Memphis's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6  #39
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #21
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 542.43
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: -4.64   Boise State: 5.285

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.6   Boise State: 3.1




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.285  #59
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.36  #54
Boise State's Defense Rating: 15.89  #62
2026 Talent Rating: 702.00  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #99
Boise State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 3.5
Boise State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 31
Memphis 27

Projected Total Points: 57
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Memphis35Boise State32Memphis -3Push58.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State001 Overs
Memphis100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#78) MEM at (#59) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #78 #59
SP+SP+ #39 #64
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #65 #74
Blue ChipsBC% #66 #99
Memphis Notes
(2/2) HC Huff good hire, OC Decker (ODU) great hire
Memphis Injury Report
Memphis on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #40 #14
ExplosiveExp #31 #129
PPAPPA #24 #53
PowerPwr #76 #62
SP+SP+ #21 #60
Pts POPPO #23 #111
HavocHav #49 #50
Memphis Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #12 #50
Run ExplRExp #7 #134
PPAExp #5 #120
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #11 #88
Stuff RateStuff #75 #61
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #6
Pass ExplPExl #95 #116
PPAExp #80 #7
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98 #28
DB HavocDB #14 #81
Boise State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatBSU OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #77 #66
ExplosiveExp #47 #104
PPAPPA #44 #92
PowerPwr #54 #90
SP+SP+ #55 #75
Pts POPPO #73 #100
HavocHav #49 #30
Boise State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #80 #32
Run ExplRExp #55 #81
PPAExp #46 #32
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #39 #13
Stuff RateStuff #33 #29
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatBSU OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #83 #110
Pass ExplPExl #43 #105
PPAExp #62 #118
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #33 #28
DB HavocDB #65 #47
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Boise State in 2023 (35-32)

  
MEM's OC Kevin Decker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Air Noland (Tr)2367%13004.3
Brady Kluse11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dallan Hayden (Tr)7032614.742
Manny Covey (Tr)2719417.236
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)112012.012
Air Noland (Tr)1404.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)24444318.550
Hunter Tipton (Tr)39411210.537
Brady Kluse22240210.925
Justin Hughes9132014.733

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Lance Guidry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Ahmere Foster (Tr)471012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Taylor Burton112112
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Richard271008
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302

BSU's OC Nate Potter (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen17630258%23331897.7
Max Cutforth9516757%1059456.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Riley1951125105.877
Sire Gaines16181285.046
Juelz Goff (Tr)6927053.917
Harry Stewart III (Tr)219814.715
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Bates18307117.144
Matt Wagner23246110.728
Dylan Riley1514929.975
Quinton Brown5120224.066

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boen Phelps664150
Jayden Virgin56136120
Jake Ripp433030
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin56136120
Sterling Lane63310
Boen Phelps664150
David Latu93100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
Sherrod Smith141006
Jaden Mickey387115