UNLV at Boise State Game Matchup
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
BSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -17   (SP+ BSU -13)
Projected Score: UNLV: 21 - BSU: 38 (58)
BSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
UNLV Travel: 517 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UNLV at Sam Houston-13.50.0
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+5.5
Sat 9/13 UNLV vs Idaho State-18.5
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-5.5
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-9
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-13.5
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-2
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-13
Sat 11/22 UNLV vs Hawai'i-8.5
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Boise State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Boise State at South Florida-9.50.0
Sat 9/6 Boise State vs Eastern Washington-33
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Boise State at Air Force-19
Sat 9/27 Boise State vs App State-26.5
Sat 10/4 Boise State at Notre Dame+19
Sat 10/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-28.5
Sat 10/18 Boise State vs UNLV-17
Sat 10/25 Boise State at Nevada-24.5
Sat 11/1 Boise State vs Fresno State-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Boise State at San Diego State-19.5
Sat 11/22 Boise State vs Colorado State-21.5
Sat 11/29 Boise State at Utah State-23

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)35.443% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)21.340% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)37.349% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)22.639% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1435.428.841.7%4.260.6214202481735.761%39%43%40%14%.21
BSU Defense1422.619.738.2%3.331.1 - - - - - 43%57%39%37%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1421.321.737.4%4.051.6 - - - - - 44%56%40%36%19%.11
BSU Offense1437.343.148.3%4.830.6224372342046.555%44%49%48%12%.36

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1429:5921.140%70%5.649.20.61.66.32.6434.7
Boise State1429:2521.649%71%4.539.80.61.17.43.6330.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1461% (8)43% (83)43.5247.85.729 (18).23 (23)3.36 (16)73% (71)9% (58)1.16 (9)
BSU Defense1443% (3)39% (33) - - - - .13 (72)2.8 (34)62% (12)15% (3)1.1 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1444% (8)40% (39) - - - - .11 (63)2.63 (19)73% (65)10% (55)1.08 (108)
BSU Offense1455% (31)49% (17)36.2233.56.542 (3).32 (6)3.22 (39)86% (3)7% (10)1.22 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1439% (127)40% (90)12.722.1172.67.813.625 (31)6 (10).2 (94)1.7 (32)30% (43)29% (93).26 (97)5% (25)2.1 (58)
BSU Defense1457% (133)37% (29) - - - - - - 7 (104).18 (42)1.7 (96)36% (10)30% (62).41 (105)6% (83)2.3 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1456% (128)36% (14) - - - - - - 17 (5).13 (25)1.5 (47)36% (17)25% (7).19 (24)8% (9)2.2 (106)
BSU Offense1444% (103)48% (12)1727.1203.97.51222 (46)4 (1).41 (12)1.5 (119)29% (23)35% (28).37 (55)6% (58)1.9 (111)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -7.07 #86
UNLV's Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
UNLV's Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -7.07   Boise State: 11.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -3.3   Boise State: 9.2




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 11.99 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 22.10 #24
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.32 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 712.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #15
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 38
UNLV 21

Projected Total Points: 58
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/25UNLV24Boise State29Boise StateBoise State -4.0Boise State64.0Under
202412/06Boise State21UNLV7Boise StateBoise State -3.5Boise State57.5Under
202312/02UNLV20Boise State44Boise StateBoise State -2.5Boise State58.0Over
201910/05UNLV13Boise State38Boise StateBoise State -24Boise State57.0Under
201611/18Boise State42UNLV25Boise StateBoise State -26.5UNLV63.0Over
201510/31UNLV27Boise State55Boise StateBoise State -21Boise State53.5Over
201210/20Boise State32UNLV7Boise State
201111/05UNLV21Boise State48Boise State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State853 Overs
UNLV013 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 51 - 51 - 10 - 4
Road Teams5 - 35 - 14 - 01 - 1

(#86) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.07 #86
Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89
Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UNLV Notes
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's
(3/29) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 6 portals. Good LY
(3/29) Def good LY, replace almost all. 17 portal adds
(3/29) New HC Mullen interesting hire.
(3/29) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach
UNLV     Ratings Matchup     Boise State
Power #86
#37
Off #94
#24
Def #81
#56
Talent #80
#70
SP+ #75
#33
SP+ Off #61
#15
SP+ Def #89
#53

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat UNLV last year (21-7)
Boise State beat UNLV in 2023 (44-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | BSU
Depth Chart: UNLV | BSU
Rosters: UNLV | BSU
(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.99 #37
Offense Rating: 22.10 #24
Defense Rating: 12.32 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #53
Talent Rating: 712.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Boise State Notes
(5/26) #2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
(5/8) QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
(5/2) TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
(3/22) RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
(3/22) WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
(3/22) OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
(3/22) Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
(3/22) DE Vergin-Morgan, CB McCoy, S Benefield good
(3/22) OC Potter promoted after Koetter retired
(3/22) HC Danielson lost 1 game outside of bowls


  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)19832062%212513116.6
Alex Orji (Tr)264953%151323.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)12827722.235
Alex Orji (Tr)5726914.729
Keyvone Lee (Tr)2914014.818
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)15189112.640
Jaden Bradley9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929
Kayden McGee397132.349

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie468214
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)421112
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)232220
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie468214
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)232220
Jalen Dixon122210
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)63210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Marsel McDuffie468214
Denver Harris (Tr)171003

Boise State's OC Nate Potter
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen24739662%30182367.6
Max Cutforth22100%13006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Maddux Madsen5722153.949
Malik Sherrod (Tr)6019643.348
Sire Gaines2015617.838
Dylan Riley2213526.164
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matt Lauter48629713.153
Latrell Caples38473512.436
Austin Bolt16196412.344
Chase Penry14164011.742

View Boise State's Full Roster
Boise State's DC Erik Chinander
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield825013
Zion Washington674006
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Marco Notarainni608433
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin40161050
Braxton Fely249610
Marco Notarainni608433
Max Stege145300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Jeremiah Earby341006
Zion Washington674006