New Mexico at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (10:00 PM EST)
Boise State -27.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 42 - New Mexico: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (22 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -19.5   (SP+ BSU -24)

Projected Score: UNM: 19 - BSU: 39 (58)
BSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UNM Travel: 780 miles
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18OY
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19OY
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)27.350% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)35.150% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
BSU#19 (.3)47% (21)32.151% (10)3.46 (9)21542% (69)2214.2 (38)#90 (.22)41% (59)25.644% (79)40% (42)4.04 (90)321.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)49% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)39% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1227.322.248.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31
BSU Defense1425.617.241.3%4.041.4 - - - - - 46%53%44%40%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1235.135.248.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
BSU Offense1432.132.346.6%4.21.5214362152215.457%42%51%42%14%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Boise State1431:1121.446%82%3.7321.51.45.92.5029.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)
BSU Defense1446% (24)44% (79) - - - - .19 (95)3.08 (59)66% (29)11% (34)1.09 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
BSU Offense1457% (19)51% (10)40214.95.434 (7).3 (6)3.46 (9)84% (6)8% (34)1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)
BSU Defense1453% (112)40% (42) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (72)1.7 (91)33% (48)32% (91).37 (95)6% (72)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
BSU Offense1442% (117)42% (69)15.426.6221.38.314.320 (70)13 (97).38 (29)1.8 (12)29% (16)34% (38).38 (56)6% (66)2.1 (57)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.50 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.50   Boise State: 8.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -16.8   Boise State: 7.4




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 39
New Mexico 19


Total Points: 58

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Boise State42New Mexico14Boise StateBoise State -27.5Boise State58.5Under
202209/09New Mexico14Boise State31Boise StateBoise State -17NA43.5Over
202111/20Boise State37New Mexico0Boise StateBoise State -27.5Boise State48.0Under
201911/16Boise State42New Mexico9Boise StateBoise State -27.5Boise State59.0Under
201811/16New Mexico14Boise State45Boise StateBoise State -21Boise State61.0Under
201709/14Boise State28New Mexico14Boise StateBoise State -16New Mexico56.5Under
201610/07New Mexico21Boise State49Boise StateBoise State -16.5Boise State61.5Over
201511/14Boise State24New Mexico31New MexicoBoise State -29.5New Mexico57.0Under
201411/08New Mexico49Boise State60Boise StateBoise State -14.5New Mexico0
201311/30Boise State45New Mexico17Boise StateBoise State -35New Mexico0
201209/29New Mexico29Boise State32Boise State
201112/03Boise State45New Mexico0Boise State
200009/01New Mexico14Boise State31Boise State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State1252 Overs
New Mexico146 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 74 - 53 - 31 - 2
Road Teams7 - 65 - 42 - 13 - 3

(#94) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -5.50 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


New Mexico has lost 2 straight
New Mexico has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico Secondary is very good (#131)

New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico does not Sack the QB (#122)
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBSUUNM
OverallOver#41#100
OffenseOff#23#27
DefenseDef#84#109
Special TeamsST#52#109
PassingPass#80#65
RushingRush#3#16
Run BlockRBLK#23#10
Pass BlockPBLK#67#26
Route RunningWR Rt#47#39
TacklingTkl#112#117
Run DefenseR Def#96#117
Pass Rush DefPRush#83#101
Coverage DefCov#76#108

Rematch from Week 11
Boise State -27.5 (58.5)
Boise State won vs New Mexico this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat New Mexico in 2023 (42-14)
Boise State beat New Mexico in 2022 (31-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | BSU
Depth Chart: UNM | BSU
Rosters: UNM | BSU
(#37) Boise State Info
Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90


Boise State has lost 1 straight
Boise State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (5 - 0 - 1 vs Spread)

Boise State Highlights
Boise State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Boise State has Really Good Running Game (#72)
Boise State offense is efficent (#42)
Boise State has a top Offensive Line (#71)
Boise State offense is good on 3rd downs
Boise State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Boise State commits very few Penalties (#38)

Boise State Deficiencies
Boise State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#136)


  
New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Hopkins (Tr)15728256%20741197.4
Devon Dampier406463%525608.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacory Merritt1891185176.355
Andrew Henry (Tr)5235036.764
Devon Dampier5933345.637
Sherod White3715514.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Medford (Tr)30551218.459
Jeremiah Hixon39482512.459
D.J. Washington29336311.635
Andrew Erickson20263113.252

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alec Marenco644123
Christian Ellis580004
Dereck Moore510000
Syaire Riley484120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyler Drake256410
Gabriel Lopez (Tr)274210
Hunter Rapolla194211
Mihalis Santorineos203200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Morris332007
Donte Martin232006
Christian Ellis580004

Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green12121257%17521198.3
Maddux Madsen8113261%1191939.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty2211351146.168
George Holani13374475.675
Taylen Green7843695.670
Jambres Dubar6233525.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister47873518.683
Ashton Jeanty43569513.275
Billy Bowens28383113.752
Prince Strachan12274222.874

View Boise State's Full Roster
Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alexander Teubner793005
Andrew Simpson6516752
Seyi Oladipo609214
Rodney Robinson542012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmed Hassanein50171370
Andrew Simpson6516752
Ty Benefield435335
Braxton Fely155340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Clark522018
Alexander Teubner793005
Ty Benefield435335