Boise State at Oregon State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -2 (55.5)
Oregon State 34 - Boise State: 17

Broncos (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Andy Avalos (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (23 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -7 (SP+ ORST -9)
Projected Score: BSU: 23 - ORST: 25 (48)
ORST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BSU Travel: 358 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Beavers (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (16 - 28)
Avg Score : 32 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boise State at Oregon State	+2.0	55.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Fri 9/9	Boise State at New Mexico	-17.0	43.5	W 31 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/17	Boise State vs UT Martin	-24.5	53.5	W 30 - 7	U	N
Fri 9/23	Boise State at UTEP	-16.0	44.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/30	Boise State vs San Diego State	-6.0	38.0	W 35 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.0	45.0	W 40 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boise State at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Boise State vs Colorado State	-25.0	42.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Boise State vs BYU	-9.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Boise State at Nevada	-21.0	47.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Boise State at Wyoming	-14.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/25	Boise State vs Utah State	-17.0	51.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Boise State vs Fresno State	-3.0	54.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 12/17	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0	63.0	W 35 - 32	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Oregon State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon State vs Boise State	-2.0	55.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Oregon State at Fresno State	+1.0	59.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Oregon State vs Montana State	-16.5	56.5	W 68 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon State vs USC	+5.5	70.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Oregon State at Utah	+10.5	54.0	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon State at Stanford	-4.5	53.0	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	Oregon State vs Washington State	-3.0	51.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Oregon State vs Colorado	-23.0	47.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Oregon State at Washington	+4.5	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon State vs California	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Oregon State at Arizona State	-7.5	53.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon State vs Oregon	-1.0	57.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Oregon State vs Florida	-7.5	52.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.23	43%	29.5	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	19.5	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5
ORST	.25	48%	32.2	51%	3.42	196	46%	200	4.47	.1	39%	20	44%	36%	3.09	54.7	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)		49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)		39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	29.5	23	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23
ORST Defense	13	20	16.2	38.8%	3.09	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	44%	36%	18%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	19.5	18.2	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09
ORST Offense	13	32.2	31.7	48.5%	4.47	1.4	22	396	196	200	4.9	59%	40%	51%	46%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2
Oregon State	13	31:57	22.2	44%	70%	6	54.7	1.4	1.6	4.9	1.6	4	33.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97
ORST Defense	13	42%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3	78%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94
ORST Offense	13	59%	51%	40.2	196.5	4.9	36	.23	3.42	78%	7%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2
ORST Defense	13	57%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.06	1.4	35%	28%	.27	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3
ORST Offense	13	40%	46%	15.5	24.8	199.5	8	12.9	16	13	.36	1.6	27%	33%	.36	5%	1.9

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #52
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: Oregon State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 5.7 Oregon State: 14.3

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #22
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #41
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #24

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

Boise State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 25
Boise State 23

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 24
Boise State 23

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Oregon State 26
Boise State 22

Total Points: 48

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.2

Oregon State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	Boise State	34	Oregon State	18	Boise State -17.5	Oregon State	58.5	Under
2022	09/03	Oregon State	34	Boise State	17	Oregon State -2	Oregon State	55.5	Under
2016	09/24	Oregon State	24	Boise State	38	Boise State -14	NA	60.0	Over
2013	12/24	Oregon State	38	Boise State	23	Oregon State -4	Oregon State	66.5	Under
2010	09/25	Boise State	37	Oregon State	24
2006	09/07	Boise State	42	Oregon State	14
2005	09/10	Oregon State	30	Boise State	27
2004	09/10	Boise State	53	Oregon State	34
2003	09/20	Oregon State	26	Boise State	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	4	3	1 Overs
Boise State	5	0	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 8	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#) BSU at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#10
OffenseOff	#47	#8
DefenseDef	#17	#32
Spec TeamsST	#61	#33
TalentTal	#73	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#6	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#47	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#42	#115
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#18	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#80
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Oregon State -2.0 (55.5)
Oregon State won vs Boise State this year (34-17)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Oregon State last year (34-18)
Oregon State beat Boise State in 2022 (34-17)

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD