Boise State at New Mexico - 2022 Matchup Preview

Friday, September 9th 2022 (9:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -17 (43.5)
Boise State 31 - New Mexico: 14 (Mountain West)

Broncos (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Andy Avalos (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BSU 2nd straight Road Game
UNM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -14 (SP+ BSU -32.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 23 - UNM: 26 (49)
BSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BSU Travel: 780 miles

Lobos (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Danny Gonzales (5 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boise State at Oregon State	+2.0	55.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Fri 9/9	Boise State at New Mexico	-17.0	43.5	W 31 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/17	Boise State vs UT Martin	-24.5	53.5	W 30 - 7	U	N
Fri 9/23	Boise State at UTEP	-16.0	44.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/30	Boise State vs San Diego State	-6.0	38.0	W 35 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.0	45.0	W 40 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boise State at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Boise State vs Colorado State	-25.0	42.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Boise State vs BYU	-9.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Boise State at Nevada	-21.0	47.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Boise State at Wyoming	-14.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/25	Boise State vs Utah State	-17.0	51.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Boise State vs Fresno State	-3.0	54.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 12/17	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0	63.0	W 35 - 32	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	New Mexico vs Maine	-6.0	42.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Fri 9/9	New Mexico vs Boise State	+17.0	43.5	L 14 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico vs UTEP	+2.0	38.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	New Mexico at LSU	+31.5	44.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
Fri 9/30	New Mexico at UNLV	+14.0	44.0	L 20 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	New Mexico vs Wyoming	+3.0	37.0	L 14 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	New Mexico at New Mexico State	-7.0	38.5	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	New Mexico vs Fresno State	+9.5	40.0	L 9 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	New Mexico at Utah State	+14.5	42.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	New Mexico at Air Force	+21.0	37.5	L 3 - 35	O	N
Fri 11/18	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+15.0	36.0	L 10 - 34	O	N
Fri 11/25	New Mexico at Colorado State	+7.5	36.0	L 0 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.19	43%	29.9	41%	2.75	122	44%	261	3.99	.13	38%	24.1	40%	37%	3.26	49.6	1.3	1.9
UNM	-.08	28%	27.1	31%	2.25	120	25%	114	2.15	.22	42%	22.3	45%	40%	3.92	57.1	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	12	29.9	19.8	43%	3.99	1.3	22	383	122	261	3.2	47%	53%	41%	44%	15%	.19
UNM Defense	12	22.3	18.7	42.4%	3.92	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	45%	40%	16%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	12	24.1	23.8	38.5%	3.26	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	37%	17%	.13
UNM Offense	12	27.1	28.3	28.4%	2.15	1.7	14	234	120	114	3.1	59%	41%	31%	25%	21%	-.08

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	12	29:57	22	44%	38%	5	49.6	1.3	1.9	5.5	2.3	4	29.8
New Mexico	12	29:51	13.8	25%	33%	6.9	57.1	1.7	1.2	5.2	2.1	1	25.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	12	47%	41%	38.3	122.2	3.2	15	.05	2.75	69%	10%	0.84
UNM Defense	12	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.05	69%	10%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	12	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	67%	11%	0.93
UNM Offense	12	59%	31%	38.8	119.5	3.1	5	-.08	2.25	57%	18%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	12	53%	44%	21.2	34.2	260.6	7.6	12.3	20	10	.31	1.5	32%	34%	.45	5%	2
UNM Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	33%	29%	.35	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	12	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.22	1.7	34%	26%	.22	6%	2.2
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.9	21.7	114.1	5.3	9.6	10	8	-.03	1.6	37%	15%	-.02	4%	2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #52
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: New Mexico: -10.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 5.7 New Mexico: -26.9

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -10.95 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.9 #132
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 6.0 #133
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 26
Boise State 23

Projected Total Points: 49

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Boise State	41	New Mexico	25	Boise State -14.5	Boise State	58.5	Over
2023	11/11	Boise State	42	New Mexico	14	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	58.5	Under
2022	09/09	New Mexico	14	Boise State	31	Boise State -17	NA	43.5	Over
2021	11/20	Boise State	37	New Mexico	0	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	48.0	Under
2019	11/16	Boise State	42	New Mexico	9	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	59.0	Under
2018	11/16	New Mexico	14	Boise State	45	Boise State -21	Boise State	61.0	Under
2017	09/14	Boise State	28	New Mexico	14	Boise State -16	New Mexico	56.5	Under
2016	10/07	New Mexico	21	Boise State	49	Boise State -16.5	Boise State	61.5	Over
2015	11/14	Boise State	24	New Mexico	31	Boise State -29.5	New Mexico	57.0	Under
2014	11/08	New Mexico	49	Boise State	60	Boise State -14.5	New Mexico	0
2013	11/30	Boise State	45	New Mexico	17	Boise State -35	New Mexico	0
2012	09/29	New Mexico	29	Boise State	32
2011	12/03	Boise State	45	New Mexico	0
2000	09/01	New Mexico	14	Boise State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	1	4	3 Overs
Boise State	13	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	5 - 5	4 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 7	5 - 5	2 - 1	3 - 4

(#) BSU at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#132
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#134
OffenseOff	#47	#136
DefenseDef	#17	#117
Spec TeamsST	#61	#71
TalentTal	#73	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#117
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#6	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#47	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#42	#131
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#133	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#132	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#123	#80
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Boise State 17.0 (43.5)
Boise State won at New Mexico this year (31-14)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat New Mexico last year (41-25)
Boise State beat New Mexico in 2023 (42-14)

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC Derek Warehime (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD