New Mexico at Boise State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (9:00 PM EST)
Boise State -27.5 (48.0)
Boise State 37 - New Mexico: 0 (Mountain West)

Lobos (3 - 9) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (4 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNM 2nd straight Road Game
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
BSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -16.5 (SP+ BSU -28)
Projected Score: UNM: 25 - BSU: 30 (55)
BSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UNM Travel: 780 miles

Broncos (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Andy Avalos (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	New Mexico vs Houston Christian	-25.5	66.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/11	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-19.5	55.5	W 34 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/18	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+30.5	49.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/25	New Mexico at UTEP	-2.5	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico vs Air Force	+11.5	46.0	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	New Mexico at San Diego State	+19.5	42.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+13.0	44.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/23	New Mexico at Wyoming	+20.0	41.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico vs UNLV	-1.5	45.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico at Fresno State	+24.0	51.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/26	New Mexico vs Utah State	+17.0	48.0	L 10 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Boise State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Boise State at UCF	+6.5	67.0	L 31 - 36	U	Y
Fri 9/10	Boise State vs UTEP	-25.0	56.0	W 54 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Boise State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	58.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Boise State at Utah State	-9.5	69.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Boise State vs Nevada	-3.5	59.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/9	Boise State at BYU	+6.0	58.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Boise State vs Air Force	-3.0	52.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Boise State at Colorado State	-2.0	51.5	W 28 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Boise State at Fresno State	+4.0	61.5	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/12	Boise State vs Wyoming	-14.0	49.0	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	48.0	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Boise State at San Diego State	-3.0	44.0	L 16 - 27	U	N
Fri 12/31	Boise State vs Central Michigan	-7.5	55.5

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	.11	40%	27.1	46%	3.14	196	33%	198	2.75	.25	45%	22.3	46%	43%	3.39	57.7	1.3	1.9
BSU	.21	46%	29.9	46%	2.68	106	47%	242	4.02	.18	36%	24.1	37%	35%	4.09	48	1	0.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	7	27.1	27.5	40%	2.75	1.3	22	394	196	198	4.7	55%	45%	46%	33%	16%	.11
BSU Defense	7	24.1	22.3	36.2%	4.09	0.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	37%	35%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	7	22.3	26.3	44.6%	3.39	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	15%	.25
BSU Offense	7	29.9	41.3	46.4%	4.02	1	18	348	106	242	3.2	48%	52%	46%	47%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	7	30:23	21.7	43%	25%	6	57.7	1.3	1.9	4.7	2	0	35.3
Boise State	7	29:30	18.4	44%	57%	4.9	48	1	0.3	7.3	2.6	4	31.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	7	55%	46%	41.3	195.7	4.7	12	.16	3.14	59%	10%	1.04
BSU Defense	7	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.9	68%	12%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	7	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.19	62%	10%	1.01
BSU Offense	7	48%	46%	32.9	105.9	3.2	13	.05	2.68	83%	11%	0.77

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	7	45%	33%	17.4	30.7	198	6.5	11.4	8	6	.04	1.5	30%	30%	.22	5%	1.8
BSU Defense	7	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.24	1.7	36%	23%	.24	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	7	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.38	1.7	28%	30%	.55	5%	2.5
BSU Offense	7	52%	47%	19.9	31.6	241.9	7.7	12.2	12	3	.36	1.5	31%	34%	.32	5%	1.9

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #121
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.6 #131
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: Boise State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.6 Boise State: 9.4

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #69
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #23

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 30
New Mexico 25

Projected Total Points: 55

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Boise State	41	New Mexico	25	Boise State -14.5	Boise State	58.5	Over
2023	11/11	Boise State	42	New Mexico	14	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	58.5	Under
2022	09/09	New Mexico	14	Boise State	31	Boise State -17	NA	43.5	Over
2021	11/20	Boise State	37	New Mexico	0	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	48.0	Under
2019	11/16	Boise State	42	New Mexico	9	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	59.0	Under
2018	11/16	New Mexico	14	Boise State	45	Boise State -21	Boise State	61.0	Under
2017	09/14	Boise State	28	New Mexico	14	Boise State -16	New Mexico	56.5	Under
2016	10/07	New Mexico	21	Boise State	49	Boise State -16.5	Boise State	61.5	Over
2015	11/14	Boise State	24	New Mexico	31	Boise State -29.5	New Mexico	57.0	Under
2014	11/08	New Mexico	49	Boise State	60	Boise State -14.5	New Mexico	0
2013	11/30	Boise State	45	New Mexico	17	Boise State -35	New Mexico	0
2012	09/29	New Mexico	29	Boise State	32
2011	12/03	Boise State	45	New Mexico	0
2000	09/01	New Mexico	14	Boise State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	13	6	3 Overs
New Mexico	1	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	5 - 5	4 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 7	5 - 5	2 - 1	3 - 4

(#) UNM at (#) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNM	BSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#41
Perf GradeGrade	#127	#42
OffenseOff	#132	#77
DefenseDef	#111	#32
Spec TeamsST	#110	#66
TalentTal	#112	#70
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	BSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#136	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#26

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#86	#112
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#77	#111
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#61	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#105	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#109	#82
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Boise State -27.5 (48.0)
Boise State won vs New Mexico this year (37-0)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat New Mexico last year (41-25)
Boise State beat New Mexico in 2023 (42-14)

UNM's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD