Wyoming at Boise State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 12th 2021 (9:00 PM EST)
Boise State -14 (49.0)
Boise State 23 - Wyoming: 13 (Mountain West)

Cowboys (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (41 - 44)
Avg Score : 25 - 24 (28 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WYO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ BSU -9)
Projected Score: WYO: 21 - BSU: 25 (46)
BSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
WYO Travel: 564 miles

Broncos (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Andy Avalos (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Wyoming vs Montana State	-19.0	45.0	W 19 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Wyoming at Northern Illinois	-7.0	44.0	W 50 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/18	Wyoming vs Ball State	-6.5	53.5	W 45 - 12	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Wyoming at UConn	-31.5	53.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Wyoming at Air Force	+5.5	46.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/16	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+3.0	53.5	L 0 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/23	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-20.0	41.0	L 3 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/30	Wyoming at San José State	+3.0	40.0	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/6	Wyoming vs Colorado State	+3.0	41.5	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/12	Wyoming at Boise State	+14.0	49.0	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Wyoming at Utah State	+6.0	52.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.0	48.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Tue 12/21	Wyoming vs Kent State	-3.0	61.0	W 52 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Boise State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Boise State at UCF	+6.5	67.0	L 31 - 36	U	Y
Fri 9/10	Boise State vs UTEP	-25.0	56.0	W 54 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Boise State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	58.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Boise State at Utah State	-9.5	69.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Boise State vs Nevada	-3.5	59.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/9	Boise State at BYU	+6.0	58.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Boise State vs Air Force	-3.0	52.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Boise State at Colorado State	-2.0	51.5	W 28 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Boise State at Fresno State	+4.0	61.5	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/12	Boise State vs Wyoming	-14.0	49.0	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	48.0	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Boise State at San Diego State	-3.0	44.0	L 16 - 27	U	N
Fri 12/31	Boise State vs Central Michigan	-7.5	55.5

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	.22	44%	25.4	47%	3.26	212	40%	163	3.79	.17	41%	23.7	42%	41%	3.2	44.9	1.4	1.4
BSU	.19	43%	29.2	41%	2.75	122	44%	261	3.99	.13	38%	19	40%	37%	3.26	49.6	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)		49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)		39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	13	25.4	27.7	44.3%	3.79	1.4	19	374	212	163	5.1	61%	39%	47%	40%	14%	.22
BSU Defense	12	19	18.7	38.5%	3.26	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	37%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	13	23.7	26	41.2%	3.2	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	42%	41%	13%	.17
BSU Offense	12	29.2	30.3	43%	3.99	1.3	22	383	122	261	3.2	47%	53%	41%	44%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	13	29:56	18.5	43%	35%	5.1	44.9	1.4	1.4	4.4	1.8	4	28.1
Boise State	12	29:57	22	44%	38%	5	49.6	1.3	1.9	5.5	2.3	4	29.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	13	61%	47%	41.8	211.7	5.1	24	.23	3.26	77%	9%	1.04
BSU Defense	12	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	67%	11%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	13	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	72%	7%	1
BSU Offense	12	47%	41%	38.3	122.2	3.2	15	.05	2.75	69%	10%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	13	39%	40%	12.5	22.8	162.7	7.1	13.1	15	12	.21	1.6	30%	28%	.35	6%	2.1
BSU Defense	12	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.22	1.7	34%	26%	.22	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	13	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.22	1.6	33%	31%	.3	6%	1.8
BSU Offense	12	53%	44%	21.2	34.2	260.6	7.6	12.3	20	10	.31	1.5	32%	34%	.45	5%	2

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: NR
Wyoming's Offense Rating: NR
Wyoming's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wyoming's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wyoming's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6 #76
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #87
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #41

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: Boise State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: 0.6 Boise State: 9.4

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #69
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #23

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.7
Defense: 23.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Wyoming's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 25
Wyoming 21

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 23
Wyoming 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 28
Wyoming 23

Total Points: 51

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Boise State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Wyoming	13	Boise State	17	Boise State -22	Wyoming	54.0	Under
2023	10/28	Boise State	32	Wyoming	7	Boise State -4.5	Boise State	48.5	Under
2022	11/19	Wyoming	17	Boise State	20	Boise State -14.5	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2021	11/12	Boise State	23	Wyoming	13	Boise State -14	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2020	12/12	Wyoming	9	Boise State	17	Boise State -9	Wyoming	47.0	Under
2019	11/09	Boise State	20	Wyoming	17	Boise State -16	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2018	09/29	Wyoming	14	Boise State	34	Boise State -15.5	Boise State	47.5	Over
2017	10/21	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14	Boise State -15	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2016	10/29	Wyoming	30	Boise State	28	Boise State -12.5	Wyoming	62.5	Under
2015	10/24	Boise State	34	Wyoming	14	Boise State -34	Wyoming	60.0	Under
2014	11/22	Wyoming	14	Boise State	63	Boise State -16	Boise State	0
2013	11/16	Boise State	48	Wyoming	7	Boise State -20	Boise State	0
2012	10/27	Wyoming	14	Boise State	45
2011	11/26	Boise State	36	Wyoming	14
2010	09/18	Wyoming	6	Boise State	51
2007	09/15	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14
2006	09/16	Wyoming	10	Boise State	17
2003	09/27	Boise State	33	Wyoming	17
2002	09/14	Wyoming	13	Boise State	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	18	4	1 Overs
Wyoming	1	8	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 10	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2

(#) WYO at (#) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	BSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#41
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#42
OffenseOff	#38	#77
DefenseDef	#19	#32
Spec TeamsST	#123	#66
TalentTal	#120	#70
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wyoming Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#29	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#27	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#26

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#118	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#37	#112
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#77	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#61	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#105	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#81

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#109	#55
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 49° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Boise State -14.0 (49.0)
Boise State won vs Wyoming this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Wyoming last year (17-13)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2023 (32-7)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2022 (20-17)

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD