Boise State at Baylor - 2016 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo   Boise State Broncos vs Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Tuesday, December 27th 2016 (10:25 PM EST)
Boise State -10 (71.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 31 - Boise State: 12  (MOTEL 6 CACTUS BOWL)

 
Broncos (10 - 3) (3 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bears (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Boise State at Louisiana-18.064.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Boise State vs Washington State-12.074.5W 31 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Boise State at Oregon State-14.060.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/1 Boise State vs Utah State-19.560.5W 21 - 10UN
Fri 10/7 Boise State at New Mexico-16.561.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 10/15 Boise State vs Colorado State-25.559.5W 28 - 23UN
Thu 10/20 Boise State vs BYU-9.558.0W 28 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Boise State at Wyoming-12.562.5L 28 - 30UN
Fri 11/4 Boise State vs San José State-26.558.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-16.562.5W 52 - 16OY
Fri 11/18 Boise State vs UNLV-26.563.0W 42 - 25ON
Fri 11/25 Boise State at Air Force-9.063.5L 20 - 27UN
Tue 12/27 Boise State vs Baylor-10.071.0L 12 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Baylor's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Baylor vs Northwestern State-48.5
Sat 9/10 Baylor vs SMU-28.572.0W 40 - 13UN
Fri 9/16 Baylor at Rice-27.566.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/24 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-10.073.5W 35 - 24UY
Sat 10/1 Baylor at Iowa State-17.062.0W 45 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Baylor vs Kansas-35.065.0W 49 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Baylor at Texas-3.575.5L 34 - 35UN
Sat 11/5 Baylor vs TCU-9.065.0L 22 - 62ON
Sat 11/12 Baylor at Oklahoma+15.578.0L 24 - 45UN
Sat 11/19 Baylor vs Kansas State+2.058.5L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/25 Baylor vs Texas Tech-2.583.0L 35 - 54ON
Sat 12/3 Baylor at West Virginia+14.569.0L 21 - 24UY
Tue 12/27 Baylor vs Boise State+10.071.0W 31 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU.1847%29.946%2.819145%3103.79.0734%24.132%34%2.5953.21.72.4
BAY.3651%31.153%3.4732747%2904.53.1542%32.643%40%3.5780.222
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1329.919.846.6%3.791.7265021913104.544%53%46%45%2%.18
BAY Defense1332.627.942.3%3.572 - - - - - 54%45%43%40%2%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1324.123.833.8%2.592.4 - - - - - 48%51%32%34%2%.07
BAY Offense1331.129.651%4.53229616327290662%38%53%47%2%.36

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1331:5226.541%63%6.353.21.72.400232.3
Baylor1327:5129.447%70%9.180.22200030.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1344%46%42.5191.44.536.152.875%0%1.03
BAY Defense1354%43% - - - - .032.7875%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1348%32% - - - - .032.2958%0%1.19
BAY Offense1362%53%54.9326.7641.293.4780%0%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1353%45%25.740.5310.27.712.12412.231.531%38%.282%1.7
BAY Defense1345%40% - - - - - - 14.31.834%34%.322%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1351%34% - - - - - - 22.141.838%26%.252%2.2
BAY Offense1338%47%17.629.9289.59.716.44413.481.926%32%.412%2.3

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5  #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #28
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #42

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State:    Baylor: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 11.5   Baylor: 11.3




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 5.65 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2016 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3  #32
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #27
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 27
Baylor 27

Projected Total Points: 54
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201612/27Baylor31Boise State12Boise State -10Baylor71.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor110 Overs
Boise State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

Boise State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Cactus Bowl Boise State vs Baylor-10.071.0L 12 - 31
2015Poinsettia Bowl Boise State vs Northern Illinois-8.0W 55 - 7
2014N/A Boise State vs Arizona+2.566.0W 38 - 30
2013I Bowl Boise State vs Oregon State+4.066.5L 23 - 38
2012Maaco Bowl Boise State vs Washington  W 28 - 26
2011Maaco Bowl Boise State vs Arizona State  W 56 - 24
2010Maaco Bowl Boise State vs Utah  W 26 - 3
Baylor Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Cactus Bowl Baylor vs Boise State+10.071.0W 31 - 12
2015Athletic Bowl Baylor vs North Carolina-3.5W 49 - 38
2014Cotton Bowl Baylor vs Michigan State-3.068.0L 41 - 42
2013Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs UCF-17.074.0L 42 - 52
2012Holiday Bowl Baylor vs UCLA  W 49 - 26
2011Alamo Bowl Baylor vs Washington  W 67 - 56
2010Texas Bowl Baylor vs Illinois  L 14 - 38
  
(#) BSU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #32
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #57 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCat
BSU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffBSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #42
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Chase Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Boise State 10.0 (71.0)
Baylor won vs Boise State this year (31-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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BSU's DC ()
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BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BAY's DC ()
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