UCLA at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
UCLA -6.5 (46.0) (-135) Open: -2.5 | 50.5
UCLA 35 - Boise State: 22 (Starco Brands LA Bowl)

Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: UCLA -1 (SP+ UCLA -0.5)
Projected Score: UCLA: 26 - BSU: 25 (52)
UCLA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UCLA Travel: 661 miles, 1 hrs behind

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UCLA Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UCLA vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	66.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	UCLA at San Diego State	-13.0	49.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UCLA vs North Carolina Central	-35.0	60.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCLA at Utah	+3.0	50.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UCLA vs Washington State	-3.0	60.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	UCLA at Oregon State	+3.5	53.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/21	UCLA at Stanford	-17.0	52.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCLA vs Colorado	-14.0	60.0	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/4	UCLA at Arizona	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCLA vs Arizona State	-14.0	45.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/18	UCLA at USC	+6.0	65.5	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCLA vs California	-9.5	50.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/16	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	.37	54%	18.4	57%	3.73	238	52%	265	4.5	.23	47%	25.3	48%	46%	4.21	52.5	1.5	1.8
BSU	.23	43%	37.3	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	22.6	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	13	18.4	20.8	54%	4.5	1.5	26	504	238	265	6	51%	49%	57%	52%	12%	.37
BSU Defense	14	22.6	19.7	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	13	25.3	26.2	46.8%	4.21	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	48%	46%	12%	.23
BSU Offense	14	37.3	43.1	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	13	27:21	25.8	51%	58%	6.5	52.5	1.5	1.8	4.3	2.2	1	29.4
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	13	51%	57%	39.5	238.4	6	36	.39	3.73	85%	8%	1.04
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	13	44%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.33	84%	8%	0.89
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	13	49%	52%	22.4	32.2	265.2	8.2	11.9	29	12	.38	1.5	26%	41%	.48	5%	2
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.3	1.4	29%	31%	.37	5%	2.2
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 6.08 #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 6.08 Boise State: 5.985

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 7.9 Boise State: 7.4

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.985 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UCLA 26
Boise State 25

Projected Total Points: 52

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/16	Boise State	22	UCLA	35	UCLA	UCLA -6.5	UCLA	46.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	0	0	1 Overs
UCLA	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

UCLA Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	La Bowl	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22
2022	Sun Bowl	UCLA vs Pittsburgh	-9.0	55.0	L 35 - 37
2017	Cactus Bowl	UCLA vs Kansas State	+6.5	59.0	L 17 - 35

Boise State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	La Bowl	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35
2022	Frisco Bowl	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0	63.0	W 35 - 32
2019	Vegas Bowl	Boise State vs Washington	+4.0	48.0	L 7 - 38
2017	Vegas Bowl	Boise State vs Oregon	+7.0	63.0	W 38 - 28

(#33) UCLA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.08 #33
Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #26
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Team Profile

,
,

UCLA has played in 2 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 1)
UCLA has played in 16 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 10)

UCLA Ratings Matchup Boise State

Power #33

#37

Off #103

#28

Def #11

#58

Talent #65

#77

SP+ #38

#41

SP+ Off #56

#29

SP+ Def #16

#70

Rematch from Week 1
UCLA 6.5 (46.0)
UCLA won at Boise State this year (35-22)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat Boise State in 2023 (35-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in SoFi Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 65°

Team Information
Injuries: UCLA | BSU
Depth Chart: UCLA | BSU
Rosters: UCLA | BSU

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.985 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

,
,

Boise State has played in 1 CFP Playoff Games (0 - 1)
Boise State has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 3)
Boise State has played in 21 Bowls since 2000 (12 - 9)

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Garbers	235	363	65%	2727	16	11	7.5
Collin Schlee (Tr)	28	55	51%	414	3	1	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keegan Jones	47	179	1	3.8	22
Collin Schlee (Tr)	41	143	2	3.5	18
Ethan Garbers	83	137	1	1.7	57
Dante Moore	1	6	0	6.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Moliki Matavao (Tr)	41	506	2	12.3	35
Kyle Ford (Tr)	26	317	3	12.2	41
Keegan Jones	19	201	1	10.6	67
Carsen Ryan	10	113	1	11.3	25

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	57	14	5	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	57	14	5	6	2
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4
Devin Kirkwood	24	1	1	0	4

Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Jeanty	374	2601	29	7.0	77
Taylen Green	156	602	8	3.9	41
Tyler Crowe	28	129	3	4.6	13
Jonah Dalmas	1	-2	0	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric McAlister	39	762	5	19.5	84
Ashton Jeanty	23	138	1	6.0	18
Tyler Crowe	3	15	0	5.0	7

View Boise State's Full Roster

Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2
Sheldon Newton (Tr)	19	2	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2