Boise State Broncos at Air Force Falcons 
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -10.5 (51.5) (-380) Open: -8.5
Boise State 49 - Air Force: 37 (Mountain West)
Broncos (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
BSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Boise State -4.5 (SP+ BSU -6.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 28 - AFA: 24 (52)
BSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
BSU Travel: 669 miles
Our Line: Boise State -4.5 (SP+ BSU -6.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 28 - AFA: 24 (52)
BSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
BSU Travel: 669 miles
Falcons (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
| Boise State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Boise State at South Florida | -8.5 | 63.5 | L 7 - 34 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Boise State vs Eastern Washington | -33.5 | 60.5 | W 51 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Boise State at Air Force | -10.5 | 51.5 | W 49 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Boise State vs App State | -16.5 | 59.5 | W 47 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Boise State at Notre Dame | +21.5 | 63.5 | L 7 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | Boise State vs New Mexico | -14.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/18 | Boise State vs UNLV | -12.5 | 60.5 | W 56 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/24 | Boise State at Nevada | -20.5 | 51.5 | W 24 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Boise State vs Fresno State | -17.5 | 47.5 | L 7 - 30 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Boise State at San Diego State | +1.5 | 41.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Boise State vs Colorado State | -17.5 | 46.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/28 | Boise State at Utah State | -1.5 | 54.5 | W 25 - 24 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/5 | Boise State vs UNLV | -6.0 | 60.0 | W 38 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/13 | Boise State vs Washington | +9.5 | 55.5 | L 10 - 38 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Air Force's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Air Force vs Bucknell | -31.0 | 54.5 | W 49 - 13 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Air Force at Utah State | -4.0 | 51.5 | L 30 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Air Force vs Boise State | +10.5 | 51.5 | L 37 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Air Force vs Hawai'i | -7.0 | 52.5 | L 35 - 44 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Air Force at Navy | +13.5 | 50.5 | L 31 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | Air Force at UNLV | +7.0 | 65.5 | L 48 - 51 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/18 | Air Force vs Wyoming | -4.0 | 56.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Air Force vs Army | +1.5 | 48.5 | L 17 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/8 | Air Force at San José State | +6.0 | 67.5 | W 26 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/15 | Air Force at UConn | +7.5 | 64.5 | L 16 - 26 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Air Force vs New Mexico | +3.5 | 53.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/28 | Air Force at Colorado State | -2.5 | 47.5 | W 42 - 21 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU | #3 (.36) | 48% (12) | 29.9 | 49% (17) | 3.22 (39) | 234 | 48% (12) | 204 | 4.83 (4) | #59 (.16) | 38% (27) | 24.1 | 39% (33) | 37% (29) | 3.33 (24) | 39.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 29.8 | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 30.3 | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| AFA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 14 | 29.9 | 19.8 | 48.3% | 4.83 | 0.6 | 22 | 437 | 234 | 204 | 6.5 | 55% | 44% | 49% | 48% | 12% | .36 |
| AFA Defense | 12 | 30.3 | 27.8 | 41.7% | 3.97 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 41% | 43% | 15% | .2 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 14 | 24.1 | 23.8 | 38.2% | 3.33 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 57% | 39% | 37% | 20% | .16 |
| AFA Offense | 12 | 29.8 | 27.5 | 42.1% | 4.02 | 1.3 | 18 | 314 | 225 | 90 | 4 | 82% | 18% | 45% | 31% | 12% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 14 | 29:25 | 21.6 | 49% | 71% | 4.5 | 39.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 3 | 30.1 |
| Air Force | 12 | 33:58 | 17.9 | 42% | 64% | 3 | 28 | 1.3 | 1 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 28.6 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 14 | 55% (31) | 49% (17) | 36.2 | 233.5 | 6.5 | 42 (3) | .32 (6) | 3.22 (39) | 86% (3) | 7% (10) | 1.22 (5) |
| AFA Defense | 12 | 56% (120) | 41% (47) | - | - | - | - | .1 (56) | 3.02 (73) | 66% (28) | 10% (63) | 1.07 (101) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 14 | 43% (3) | 39% (33) | - | - | - | - | .13 (72) | 2.8 (34) | 62% (12) | 15% (3) | 1.1 (113) |
| AFA Offense | 12 | 82% (2) | 45% (60) | 55.7 | 224.7 | 4 | 24 (45) | .15 (60) | 3.03 (68) | 83% (11) | 9% (55) | 0.88 (112) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 14 | 44% (103) | 48% (12) | 17 | 27.1 | 203.9 | 7.5 | 12 | 22 (46) | 4 (1) | .41 (12) | 1.5 (119) | 29% (23) | 35% (28) | .37 (55) | 6% (58) | 1.9 (111) |
| AFA Defense | 12 | 44% (16) | 43% (89) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (125) | .33 (107) | 1.6 (63) | 31% (79) | 30% (54) | .3 (63) | 5% (120) | 2 (60) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 14 | 57% (133) | 37% (29) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .18 (42) | 1.7 (96) | 36% (10) | 30% (62) | .41 (105) | 6% (83) | 2.3 (124) |
| AFA Offense | 12 | 18% (133) | 31% (131) | 5.2 | 11.5 | 89.8 | 7.8 | 17.4 | 5 (134) | 10 (63) | .09 (124) | 2.1 (1) | 27% (14) | 25% (124) | .18 (111) | 3% (2) | 2.1 (66) |
Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 0.57 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.41 #68
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.84 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #60
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Boise State's Power Rating: 0.57 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.41 #68
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.84 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #60
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 0.57 Air Force: -2.87
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.1 Air Force: -3.2
Boise State: 0.57 Air Force: -2.87
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.1 Air Force: -3.2
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -2.87 #90
Air Force's Offense Rating: 12.58 #72
Air Force's Defense Rating: 20.12 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #80
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #101
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Air Force's Power Rating: -2.87 #90
Air Force's Offense Rating: 12.58 #72
Air Force's Defense Rating: 20.12 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #80
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #101
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 28
Air Force 24
Projected Total Points: 52
Boise State 28
Air Force 24
Projected Total Points: 52
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/20 | Air Force | 37 | Boise State | 49 | Boise State -10.5 | Boise State | 51.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/24 | Boise State | 27 | Air Force | 19 | Boise State -6.5 | Boise State | 44.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Air Force | 14 | Boise State | 19 | Air Force -2.5 | Boise State | 46.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Boise State | 17 | Air Force | 24 | Boise State -3 | Air Force | 52.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Air Force | 30 | Boise State | 49 | Boise State -10.5 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2019 | 09/20 | Boise State | 30 | Air Force | 19 | Boise State -7.5 | Boise State | 53.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Air Force | 38 | Boise State | 48 | Boise State -10 | NA | 58.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Boise State | 44 | Air Force | 19 | Boise State -17.5 | Boise State | 60.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/25 | Air Force | 27 | Boise State | 20 | Boise State -9 | Air Force | 63.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/20 | Boise State | 30 | Air Force | 37 | Boise State -14.5 | Air Force | 55.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 09/27 | Air Force | 28 | Boise State | 14 | Boise State -15 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/13 | Boise State | 42 | Air Force | 20 | Boise State -24 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2011 | 10/22 | Boise State | 37 | Air Force | 26 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 4 | 5 | 5 Overs |
| Boise State | 9 | 6 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 6 | 5 - 6 | 3 - 4 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 7 | 6 - 5 | 2 - 2 | 4 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BSU | AFA |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #67 | #90 |
| SP+SP+ | #64 | #80 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #86 | #40 |
| OffenseOff | #81 | #8 |
| DefenseDef | #77 | #117 |
| Spec TeamsST | #54 | #57 |
| TalentTal | #77 | #134 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #88 | #101 |
(12/6) MWC champs after beating UNLV
(12/6) RB duo of Riley & Gaines proved incredible late
(12/6) HC Danielson won MWC in every year he coached
(11/28) Cutforth 340 yds, Run Off ok in W over Utah St
(11/28) Run Def has been bad, Utah St 221 yds, 6.5 ypc
(11/3) QB1 Maddux Madsen carted off in Fresno loss
(11/3) QB2 Max Cutforth awful vs Fresno (< 50%, 2 Int)
(10/4) TE M Lauter out vs ND. Huge loss
(9/20) RB Dylan Riley 255 yds, 5 TD vs AFA. Def still bad
(8/29) Pass Def bad, Run Off worse in loss at USF
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
(9/24) Def torched 2 straight weeks vs Utah St/Boise
(9/24) QB Szarka good find, Off humming, Def awful
(9/20) Off 500+ yds on Boise, impressive. Def not great
(8/30) Run Off OK vs Bucknell, expected better
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| BSU Off | AFA Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #81 | #117 |
| SuccessSuc | #12 | #68 |
| ExplosiveExp | #37 | #84 |
| PPAPPA | #3 | #88 |
| PowerPwr | #68 | #110 |
| SP+SP+ | #55 | #101 |
| Pts POPPO | #4 | #84 |
| HavocHav | #20 | #86 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| BSU Off | AFA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #23 | #108 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #17 | #47 |
| Run ExplRExp | #5 | #101 |
| PPAExp | #6 | #56 | Run BlockR Blk | #39 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #39 | #73 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #58 | #82 |
| TackleTak | - | #46 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| BSU Off | AFA Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #92 | #131 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #12 | #89 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #119 | #63 |
| PPAExp | #12 | #107 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #116 | #52 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #10 | #63 |
| DB HavocDB | #58 | #120 |
| Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | AFA Off | BSU Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #8 | #77 |
| SuccessSuc | #77 | #27 |
| ExplosiveExp | #134 | #119 |
| PPAPPA | #103 | #59 |
| PowerPwr | #72 | #61 |
| SP+SP+ | #59 | #60 |
| Pts POPPO | #56 | #24 |
| HavocHav | #16 | #7 |
| Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21% | ||
|---|---|---|
| AFA Off | BSU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #71 | #123 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #60 | #33 |
| Run ExplRExp | #112 | #113 |
| PPAExp | #60 | #72 | Run BlockR Blk | #7 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #68 | #34 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #21 | #21 |
| TackleTak | - | #134 |
| Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | AFA Off | BSU Def |
| Pass GamePass | #39 | #19 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #131 | #29 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #1 | #96 |
| PPAExp | #124 | #42 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #96 | #82 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #55 | #3 |
| DB HavocDB | #2 | #83 |
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Boise State 10.5 (51.5)
Boise State won at Air Force this year (49-37)
Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Air Force last year (49-37)
Boise State beat Air Force in 2023 (27-19)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 176 | 302 | 58% | 2333 | 18 | 9 | 7.7 |
| Max Cutforth | 95 | 167 | 57% | 1059 | 4 | 5 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Riley | 195 | 1125 | 10 | 5.8 | 77 |
| Sire Gaines | 161 | 812 | 8 | 5.0 | 46 |
| Malik Sherrod (Tr) | 85 | 418 | 4 | 4.9 | 44 |
| Maddux Madsen | 57 | 81 | 4 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Caples | 51 | 616 | 3 | 12.1 | 34 |
| Chris Marshall | 30 | 574 | 2 | 19.1 | 46 |
| Chase Penry | 30 | 394 | 1 | 13.1 | 46 |
| Matt Lauter | 37 | 330 | 2 | 8.9 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Benefield | 105 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Marco Notarainni | 77 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| Zion Washington | 66 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Boen Phelps | 66 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Virgin | 56 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| Braxton Fely | 24 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Sterling Lane | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Malakai Williams (Tr) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Earby | 60 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Sherrod Smith | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jaden Mickey (Tr) | 38 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Szarka | 75 | 120 | 63% | 1294 | 9 | 5 | 10.8 |
| Josh Johnson | 16 | 28 | 57% | 374 | 4 | 2 | 13.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Szarka | 190 | 922 | 13 | 4.9 | 64 |
| Owen Allen | 131 | 749 | 5 | 5.7 | 43 |
| Dylan Carson | 91 | 419 | 4 | 4.6 | 64 |
| Cade Harris | 61 | 321 | 4 | 5.3 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 35 | 584 | 2 | 16.7 | 74 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 21 | 370 | 6 | 17.6 | 68 |
| Quin Smith | 15 | 358 | 4 | 23.9 | 52 |
| Jonah Dawson | 12 | 260 | 1 | 21.7 | 53 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Fletcher | 108 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Roger Jones Jr. | 76 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dallas Daley | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Peyton Zdroik | 36 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Hubert | 30 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Jackson Adams | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Grady Forsythe | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylin Reese | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korey Johnson | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Dallas Daley | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Blake Fletcher | 108 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |