Boise State Broncos at Air Force Falcons
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -10 (51.5) (-380) Open: -8.5
Falcon Stadium - Colorado Springs, CO (Mountain West)
Broncos (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (7 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (7 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
BSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Boise State -14.5 (SP+ BSU -13)
Projected Score: BSU: 34 - AFA: 20 (54)
BSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
BSU Travel: 669 miles
Our Line: Boise State -14.5 (SP+ BSU -13)
Projected Score: BSU: 34 - AFA: 20 (54)
BSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
BSU Travel: 669 miles
Falcons (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (49 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (49 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
| Boise State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Boise State at South Florida | -8.5 | 63.5 | L 7 - 34 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Boise State vs Eastern Washington | -33.5 | 60.5 | W 51 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Boise State at Air Force | -10.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Boise State vs App State | -17 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Boise State at Notre Dame | +16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Boise State vs New Mexico | -22 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Boise State vs UNLV | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Boise State at Nevada | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Boise State vs Fresno State | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Boise State at San Diego State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Boise State vs Colorado State | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Boise State at Utah State | -14.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Air Force's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Air Force vs Bucknell | -31.0 | 54.5 | W 49 - 13 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Air Force at Utah State | -4.0 | 51.5 | L 30 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Air Force vs Boise State | +10.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Air Force vs Hawai'i | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Air Force at Navy | +16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Air Force at UNLV | +13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Air Force vs Wyoming | +4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Air Force vs Army | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Air Force at San José State | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Air Force at UConn | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Air Force vs New Mexico | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Air Force at Colorado State | +8 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU | #75 (.19) | 47% (42) | 29 | 54% (25) | 2.97 (71) | 225 | 41% (89) | 283 | 2.81 (120) | #65 (.12) | 29% (9) | 24 | 31% (16) | 27% (12) | 4.56 (107) | 56 | 1.5 | 1 |
| AFA | #30 (.34) | 53% (21) | 39.5 | 57% (13) | 3.48 (27) | 267 | 41% (83) | 169 | 6.08 (4) | #124 (.33) | 47% (116) | 31 | 40% (76) | 54% (130) | 5.33 (128) | 45.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU | #3 (.36) | 48% (12) | 49% (17) | 3.22 (39) | 234 | 48% (12) | 204 | 4.83 (4) | #59 (.16) | 38% (27) | 39% (33) | 37% (29) | 3.33 (24) | 39.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | ||
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 2 | 29 | 7 | 47.1% | 2.81 | 1.5 | 24 | 508 | 225 | 283 | 5.8 | 48% | 52% | 54% | 41% | 16% | .19 |
| AFA Defense | 2 | 31 | 13 | 46.9% | 5.33 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 40% | 54% | 14% | .33 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 2 | 24 | 34 | 29.2% | 4.56 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 31% | 27% | 17% | .12 |
| AFA Offense | 2 | 39.5 | 49 | 52.8% | 6.08 | 1.5 | 23 | 436 | 267 | 169 | 4.8 | 72% | 28% | 57% | 41% | 9% | .34 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 2 | 32:22 | 23.5 | 43% | 29% | 7 | 56 | 1.5 | 1 | 7 | 2.5 | 0 | 33 |
| Air Force | 2 | 34:54 | 23 | 52% | 100% | 4.5 | 45.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 26.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 2 | 48% (84) | 54% (25) | 38.5 | 225 | 5.8 | 5 (62) | .16 (60) | 2.97 (71) | 80% (36) | 10% (86) | 0.84 (98) |
| AFA Defense | 2 | 52% (92) | 40% (76) | - | - | - | - | .3 (127) | 3.29 (123) | 60% (34) | 10% (65) | 1.32 (125) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 2 | 47% (47) | 31% (16) | - | - | - | - | .15 (102) | 2.85 (77) | 57% (28) | 13% (33) | 1.65 (135) |
| AFA Offense | 2 | 72% (5) | 57% (13) | 56 | 266.5 | 4.8 | 8 (26) | .35 (22) | 3.48 (27) | 77% (45) | 5% (10) | 0.9 (87) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 2 | 52% (51) | 41% (89) | 22 | 38.5 | 282.5 | 7.3 | 12.8 | 3 (90) | 0 (1) | .22 (81) | 1.4 (98) | 36% (115) | 35% (45) | .04 (120) | 6% (86) | 1 (136) |
| AFA Defense | 2 | 48% (49) | 54% (130) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .38 (112) | 1.5 (57) | 29% (107) | 50% (134) | .89 (134) | 3% (116) | 2.1 (83) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 2 | 53% (92) | 27% (12) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .1 (37) | 2 (129) | 50% (2) | 21% (30) | .2 (56) | 4% (104) | 2.8 (131) |
| AFA Offense | 2 | 28% (132) | 41% (83) | 8.5 | 16 | 169 | 10.6 | 19.9 | 2 (102) | 2 (60) | .31 (65) | 1.7 (33) | 26% (30) | 22% (118) | -.04 (128) | 4% (35) | 1.1 (133) |
Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.30 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 12.05 #74
Boise State's Defense Rating: 6.74 #65
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #61
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.30 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 12.05 #74
Boise State's Defense Rating: 6.74 #65
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #61
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 5.30 Air Force: -10.105
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.9 Air Force: -9.2
Boise State: 5.30 Air Force: -10.105
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.9 Air Force: -9.2
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Air Force's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Air Force's Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Air Force's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 34
Air Force 20
Total Points: 54
Boise State 34
Air Force 20
Total Points: 54
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 13
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 13
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/24 | Boise State | 27 | Air Force | 19 | Boise State | Boise State -6.5 | Boise State | 44.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Air Force | 14 | Boise State | 19 | Boise State | Air Force -2.5 | Boise State | 46.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Boise State | 17 | Air Force | 24 | Air Force | Boise State -3 | Air Force | 52.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Air Force | 30 | Boise State | 49 | Boise State | Boise State -10.5 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2019 | 09/20 | Boise State | 30 | Air Force | 19 | Boise State | Boise State -7.5 | Boise State | 53.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Air Force | 38 | Boise State | 48 | Boise State | Boise State -10 | NA | 58.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Boise State | 44 | Air Force | 19 | Boise State | Boise State -17.5 | Boise State | 60.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/25 | Air Force | 27 | Boise State | 20 | Air Force | Boise State -9 | Air Force | 63.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/20 | Boise State | 30 | Air Force | 37 | Air Force | Boise State -14.5 | Air Force | 55.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 09/27 | Air Force | 28 | Boise State | 14 | Air Force | Boise State -15 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/13 | Boise State | 42 | Air Force | 20 | Boise State | Boise State -24 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2011 | 10/22 | Boise State | 37 | Air Force | 26 | Boise State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 4 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| Boise State | 8 | 5 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 5 | 5 - 5 | 3 - 4 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 7 | 5 - 5 | 1 - 2 | 4 - 3 |
(#67) Boise State Info
Power Rating: 5.30 #67
Offense Rating: 12.05 #74
Defense Rating: 6.74 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Great Pass Def Success 27%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Boise State has won 1 straight
Boise State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Boise State Notes
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
(7/31) Def tackling was a big issue LY, not a fan of DC
(6/8) RB Sherrod had 960 yds rush, 44/260 rec in '23
(5/26) #2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
(5/8) QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
(5/2) TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
(3/22) RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
(3/22) WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
(3/22) OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
(3/22) Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
Boise State Highlights
Boise State has a really good defense (#9)
Boise State has a good run defense (#16)
Boise State has a good pass defense (#12)
Boise State Deficiencies
Boise State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Boise State offense is not Explosive (#112)
Boise State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#126)
Boise State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#120)
Boise State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#136)
Boise State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
Power Rating: 5.30 #67
Offense Rating: 12.05 #74
Defense Rating: 6.74 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Great Pass Def Success 27%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Boise State has won 1 straight
Boise State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Boise State Notes
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
(7/31) Def tackling was a big issue LY, not a fan of DC
(6/8) RB Sherrod had 960 yds rush, 44/260 rec in '23
(5/26) #2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
(5/8) QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
(5/2) TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
(3/22) RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
(3/22) WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
(3/22) OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
(3/22) Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
Boise State Highlights
Boise State has a really good defense (#9)
Boise State has a good run defense (#16)
Boise State has a good pass defense (#12)
Boise State Deficiencies
Boise State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Boise State offense is not Explosive (#112)
Boise State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#126)
Boise State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#120)
Boise State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#136)
Boise State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | AFA | BSU |
| OverallOver | #60 | #53 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #40 |
| DefenseDef | #88 | #62 |
| Special TeamsST | #74 | #85 |
| PassingPass | #66 | #64 |
| RushingRush | #44 | #21 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #6 | #17 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #61 | #72 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #82 | #72 |
| TacklingTkl | #85 | #110 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #60 | #66 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #74 | #64 |
| Coverage DefCov | #107 | #51 |
(#119) Air Force Info
Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.08 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Air Force has lost 1 straight
Air Force has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Air Force Notes
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
Air Force Highlights
Air Force is Undefeated at Home
Air Force is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Air Force offense is efficent (#21)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good in red zone (#4)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force has a bad defense (#116)
Air Force gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#109)
Air Force Does Not Stuff Runs (#117)
Air Force has a bad defensive line (#123)
Air Force has a bad red zone defense (#128)
Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.08 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Air Force has lost 1 straight
Air Force has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Air Force Notes
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
Air Force Highlights
Air Force is Undefeated at Home
Air Force is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Air Force offense is efficent (#21)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good in red zone (#4)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force has a bad defense (#116)
Air Force gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#109)
Air Force Does Not Stuff Runs (#117)
Air Force has a bad defensive line (#123)
Air Force has a bad red zone defense (#128)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 41 | 72 | 57% | 532 | 3 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Max Cutforth | 3 | 5 | 60% | 33 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Riley | 13 | 143 | 1 | 11.0 | 77 |
| Sire Gaines | 23 | 142 | 1 | 6.2 | 46 |
| Malik Sherrod (Tr) | 18 | 69 | 1 | 3.8 | 20 |
| Maddux Madsen | 15 | 66 | 1 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Marshall | 6 | 151 | 1 | 25.2 | 46 |
| Ben Ford | 7 | 126 | 2 | 18.0 | 60 |
| Matt Lauter | 8 | 80 | 0 | 10.0 | 20 |
| Latrell Caples | 5 | 69 | 0 | 13.8 | 16 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Benefield | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Notarainni | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Earby | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Zion Washington | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Fely | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Lopez Sanusi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dion Washington (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Stege | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'Marion McCoy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Zion Washington | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Travis Anderson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Johnson | 9 | 16 | 56% | 224 | 2 | 1 | 14.0 |
| Liam Szarka | 8 | 16 | 50% | 114 | 0 | 1 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 16 | 138 | 2 | 8.6 | 49 |
| Dylan Carson | 19 | 105 | 1 | 5.5 | 17 |
| Christopher Frew | 6 | 60 | 0 | 10.0 | 14 |
| Owen Allen | 17 | 56 | 1 | 3.3 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 5 | 146 | 1 | 29.2 | 62 |
| Quin Smith | 3 | 85 | 1 | 28.3 | 40 |
| James Roberson | 4 | 80 | 0 | 20.0 | 29 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 3 | 19 | 0 | 6.3 | 7 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Fletcher | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Roger Jones Jr. | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Fisher | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Beckwith | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Hubert | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jackson Adams | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Grady Forsythe | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukia Rawls Jr. | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Beckwith | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Houston Hendrix | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Korey Johnson | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |