BYU at Boise State - 2022 Matchup Preview
BYU logo   BYU Cougars at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Saturday, November 5th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -9.5 (54.5)
BYU 31 - Boise State: 28

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (48 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
BYU is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ BSU -7)
Projected Score: BYU: 26 - BSU: 28 (54)
BSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BYU Travel: 328 miles
Broncos (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Andy Avalos (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 BYU at South Florida-11.058.5W 50 - 21OY
Sat 9/10 BYU vs Baylor-2.554.5W 26 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 BYU at Oregon+3.558.0L 20 - 41ON
Sat 9/24 BYU vs Wyoming-21.550.0W 38 - 24ON
Thu 9/29 BYU vs Utah State-26.060.0W 38 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 BYU vs Notre Dame+4.051.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/15 BYU vs Arkansas-1.066.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 10/22 BYU at Liberty-7.058.0L 14 - 41UN
Fri 10/28 BYU vs East Carolina-3.064.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 BYU at Boise State+9.554.5W 31 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 BYU vs Utah Tech-23
Sat 11/26 BYU at Stanford-6.057.5W 35 - 26OY
Sat 12/17 BYU vs SMU+4.565.0W 24 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Boise State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Boise State at Oregon State+2.055.5L 17 - 34UN
Fri 9/9 Boise State at New Mexico-17.043.5W 31 - 14ON
Sat 9/17 Boise State vs UT Martin-24.553.5W 30 - 7UN
Fri 9/23 Boise State at UTEP-16.044.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/30 Boise State vs San Diego State-6.038.0W 35 - 13OY
Sat 10/8 Boise State vs Fresno State-9.045.0W 40 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Boise State at Air Force+2.546.5W 19 - 14UY
Sat 10/29 Boise State vs Colorado State-25.042.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/5 Boise State vs BYU-9.554.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Boise State at Nevada-21.047.0W 41 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Boise State at Wyoming-14.544.5W 20 - 17UN
Fri 11/25 Boise State vs Utah State-17.051.5W 42 - 23OY
Sat 12/3 Boise State vs Fresno State-3.054.5L 16 - 28UN
Sat 12/17 Boise State vs North Texas-12.063.0W 35 - 32ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.3650%31.452%3.2918949%2644.24.2347%19.146%47%4.0741.50.91.5
BSU.1943%29.941%2.7512244%2613.99.1338%24.140%37%3.2649.61.31.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1331.427.550.3%4.240.9234531892645.152%47%52%49%14%.36
BSU Defense1224.122.338.5%3.261.9 - - - - - 55%45%40%37%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1319.121.846.5%4.071.5 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%16%.23
BSU Offense1229.941.343%3.991.3223831222613.247%53%41%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1329:1723.246%67%5.141.50.91.54.91.5128.5
Boise State1229:572244%38%549.61.31.95.52.3429.8
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1352%52%36.91895.130.343.2978%9%1.1
BSU Defense1255%40% - - - - .12.9367%11%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1351%46% - - - - .193.0771%9%1
BSU Offense1247%41%38.3122.23.215.052.7569%10%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1347%49%19.529.9264.18.813.6265.41.627%31%.295%2
BSU Defense1245%37% - - - - - - 13.221.734%26%.226%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1349%47% - - - - - - 15.281.328%30%.337%1.9
BSU Offense1253%44%21.234.2260.67.612.32010.311.532%34%.455%2

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2022 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #72
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #35
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #103

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Boise State: 5.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: -1.4   Boise State: 5.7




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.35 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7  #52
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #83
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5  #26

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 28
BYU 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Boise State28BYU31Boise State -9.5BYU54.5Over
202110/09BYU17Boise State26BYU -6Boise State58.0Under
202011/06Boise State17BYU51BYU -4BYU62.5Over
201910/19BYU28Boise State25Boise State -7BYU45.0Over
201811/03Boise State21BYU16Boise State -12BYU53.5Under
201710/06BYU7Boise State24Boise State -7.5Boise State46.5Under
201610/20Boise State28BYU27Boise State -9.5BYU58.0Under
201509/12BYU35Boise State24Boise State -1.5BYU56.0Over
201410/24Boise State55BYU30Boise State -6.5Boise State0
201310/25BYU37Boise State20BYU -7BYU0
201209/20Boise State7BYU6
200409/24Boise State28BYU27
200310/30BYU12Boise State50
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State834 Overs
BYU574 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 54 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams5 - 86 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) BYU at (#) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #52
Perf GradeGrade #33 #21
OffenseOff #6 #47
DefenseDef #99 #17
Spec TeamsST #24 #61
TalentTal #107 #73
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #6 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffBSU Def
Run GameRun #70 #24
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #25
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePass #18 #10
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #80
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCatBSU OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #47 #99
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #103
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #6 #113
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #57
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCatBSU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #92 #63
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #42 #98
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BYU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Boise State -9.5 (54.5)
BYU won at Boise State this year (31-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Ilaisa Tuiaki (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD