Boise State at San Diego State Game Matchup
Boise State logo Boise State Broncos at San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Snapdragon Stadium - San Diego, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
BSU coming off BYE
SDSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -19.5   (SP+ BSU -19.5)

Projected Score: BSU: 37 - SDSU: 17 (56)
BSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
BSU Travel: 749 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aztecs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Boise State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Boise State at South Florida-9.50.0
Sat 9/6 Boise State vs Eastern Washington-33
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Boise State at Air Force-19
Sat 9/27 Boise State vs App State-26.5
Sat 10/4 Boise State at Notre Dame+19
Sat 10/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-28.5
Sat 10/18 Boise State vs UNLV-17
Sat 10/25 Boise State at Nevada-24.5
Sat 11/1 Boise State vs Fresno State-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Boise State at San Diego State-19.5
Sat 11/22 Boise State vs Colorado State-21.5
Sat 11/29 Boise State at Utah State-23

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-11
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+7.5
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois+4
Sat 10/4 San Diego State vs Colorado State+0
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State+8.5
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-3.5
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i+3.5
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State+19.5
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State+5
Sat 11/29 San Diego State at New Mexico-1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)37.349% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)22.639% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)21.337% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)29.649% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1437.334.348.3%4.830.6224372342046.555%44%49%48%12%.36
SDSU Defense1229.623.346.1%4.281 - - - - - 55%44%49%43%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1422.624.538.2%3.331.1 - - - - - 43%57%39%37%20%.16
SDSU Offense1221.322.337.4%3.440.8193351292063.747%52%37%38%18%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1429:2521.649%71%4.539.80.61.17.43.6330.1
San Diego State1227:0818.536%53%9.181.80.815.42.6231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1455% (31)49% (17)36.2233.56.542 (3).32 (6)3.22 (39)86% (3)7% (10)1.22 (5)
SDSU Defense1255% (117)49% (117) - - - - .21 (113)3.49 (130)80% (109)9% (98)0.94 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1443% (3)39% (33) - - - - .13 (72)2.8 (34)62% (12)15% (3)1.1 (113)
SDSU Offense1247% (87)37% (124)35.3128.93.713 (105).1 (84)3 (78)69% (97)12% (114)1.06 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1444% (103)48% (12)1727.1203.97.51222 (46)4 (1).41 (12)1.5 (119)29% (23)35% (28).37 (55)6% (58)1.9 (111)
SDSU Defense1244% (17)43% (98) - - - - - - 7 (104).28 (96)1.6 (75)29% (112)38% (126).52 (126)3% (133)2.1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1457% (133)37% (29) - - - - - - 7 (104).18 (42)1.7 (96)36% (10)30% (62).41 (105)6% (83)2.3 (124)
SDSU Offense1252% (45)38% (109)19.531.3205.76.610.615 (98)8 (40).15 (107)1.5 (99)36% (125)26% (114).29 (87)6% (61)2 (77)

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 9.78 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 22.10 #24
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.32 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 712.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #15
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 9.78   San Diego State: -9.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 9.2   San Diego State: -10.1




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -9.77 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 4.38 #123
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 18.82 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 600.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #125
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 37
San Diego State 17


Projected Total Points: 56
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/01Boise State56San Diego State24Boise StateBoise State -24.5Boise State55.5Over
202309/22San Diego State31Boise State34Boise StateBoise State -6.5San Diego State46.0Over
202209/30Boise State35San Diego State13Boise StateBoise State -6Boise State38.0Over
202111/26San Diego State27Boise State16San Diego StateBoise State -3San Diego State44.0Under
201810/06Boise State13San Diego State19San Diego StateBoise State -13.5San Diego State50.0Under
201710/14San Diego State14Boise State31Boise StateSan Diego State -5.5Boise State47.0Under
201411/15Boise State38San Diego State29Boise StateBoise State -15San Diego State0
201311/23San Diego State34Boise State31San Diego StateBoise State -6San Diego State0
201211/03Boise State19San Diego State21San Diego State
201111/19San Diego State35Boise State52Boise State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State453 Overs
Boise State633 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 55 - 32 - 33 - 0
Road Teams5 - 53 - 50 - 33 - 2

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.78 #37
Offense Rating: 22.10 #24
Defense Rating: 12.32 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #53
Talent Rating: 712.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Boise State Notes
(5/26) #2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
(5/8) QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
(5/2) TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
(3/22) RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
(3/22) WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
(3/22) OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
(3/22) Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
(3/22) DE Vergin-Morgan, CB McCoy, S Benefield good
(3/22) OC Potter promoted after Koetter retired
(3/22) HC Danielson lost 1 game outside of bowls
Boise State     Ratings Matchup     San Diego State
Power #37
#104
Off #24
#123
Def #56
#95
Talent #70
#83
SP+ #33
#102
SP+ Off #15
#125
SP+ Def #53
#65

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat San Diego State last year (56-24)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2023 (34-31)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2022 (35-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BSU | SDSU
Depth Chart: BSU | SDSU
Rosters: BSU | SDSU
(#104) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.77 #104
Offense Rating: 4.38 #123
Defense Rating: 18.82 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #65
Talent Rating: 600.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San Diego State Notes
(5/23) New DC Aurich (DC @ Idaho) an improvement
(5/23) Portals look decent, losses mostly went down
(5/2) RB light, Washington (CCU) decent add.
(5/2) WR Napier back, v good. Some depth
(5/2) OL 3/5 back, 2 portals. OK last year, could flash
(5/2) Def bad LY, not much portal help, new DC Aurich
(3/29) QB Dengal (Mich) vs Emanuel Jr (CMU)


  
Boise State's OC Nate Potter
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen24739662%30182367.6
Max Cutforth22100%13006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Maddux Madsen5722153.949
Malik Sherrod (Tr)6019643.348
Sire Gaines2015617.838
Dylan Riley2213526.164
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matt Lauter48629713.153
Latrell Caples38473512.436
Austin Bolt16196412.344
Chase Penry14164011.742

View Boise State's Full Roster
Boise State's DC Erik Chinander
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield825013
Zion Washington674006
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Marco Notarainni608433
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin40161050
Braxton Fely249610
Marco Notarainni608433
Max Stege145300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Jeremiah Earby341006
Zion Washington674006

San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)4667%992016.5
Jordan Napier1250%271013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Washington (Tr)10253755.368
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)2812834.620
Lucky Sutton53507.017
Trey White1404.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Christian Washington (Tr)43609.024
Jacob Bostick (Tr)114014.014
Owen Chambliss110010.010

View San Diego State's Full Roster
San Diego State's DC Rob Aurich
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli674220
Chris Johnson590013
Trey White56191351
Dalesean Staley550000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Malachi Finau (Tr)194310
Ryan Henderson123320
Krishna Clay424210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Jelani Whitmore100003
Eric Butler443003