Boise State at San José State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo Boise State Broncos at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Boise State -14.5 (62.0) (-625)  Open: -14.0
Boise State 42 - San José State: 21  (Mountain West)

 
Broncos (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -17  (SP+ BSU -15.5)

Projected Score: BSU: 37 - SJSU: 20 (57)
BSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
BSU Travel: 526 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Boise State at Georgia Southern-13.057.5W 56 - 45ON
Sat 9/7 Boise State at Oregon+17.560.5L 34 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Boise State vs Portland State-43.069.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Boise State vs Washington State-6.566.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/5 Boise State vs Utah State-28.066.5W 62 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-21.060.0W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/25 Boise State at UNLV-4.064.0W 29 - 24UY
Fri 11/1 Boise State vs San Diego State-24.555.5W 56 - 24OY
Sat 11/9 Boise State vs Nevada-23.560.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 Boise State at San José State-14.562.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/23 Boise State at Wyoming-22.054.0W 17 - 13UN
Fri 11/29 Boise State vs Oregon State-17.558.5W 34 - 18UN
Fri 12/6 Boise State vs UNLV-3.557.5W 21 - 7UY
Tue 12/31 Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
San José State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 San José State vs Sacramento State-2.562.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 San José State at Air Force+1.543.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 San José State vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 9/20 San José State at Washington State+13.055.5L 52 - 54OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 San José State vs Nevada-7.051.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 San José State at Colorado State+2.555.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/19 San José State vs Wyoming-13.053.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 San José State at Fresno State+6.555.0L 10 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 San José State at Oregon State+3.058.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 San José State vs Boise State+14.562.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/22 San José State vs UNLV+7.559.5L 16 - 27UN
Fri 11/29 San José State vs Stanford-2.554.5W 34 - 31OY
Tue 12/24 San José State vs South Florida+1.566.5L 39 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)37.349% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)22.639% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)28.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)27.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)49% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)39% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1437.334.348.3%4.830.6224372342046.555%44%49%48%12%.36
SJSU Defense1327.525.640.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1422.624.538.2%3.331.1 - - - - - 43%57%39%37%20%.16
SJSU Offense1328.42943.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1429:2521.649%71%4.539.80.61.17.43.6330.1
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1455% (31)49% (17)36.2233.56.542 (3).32 (6)3.22 (39)86% (3)7% (10)1.22 (5)
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1443% (3)39% (33) - - - - .13 (72)2.8 (34)62% (12)15% (3)1.1 (113)
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1444% (103)48% (12)1727.1203.97.51222 (46)4 (1).41 (12)1.5 (119)29% (23)35% (28).37 (55)6% (58)1.9 (111)
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1457% (133)37% (29) - - - - - - 7 (104).18 (42)1.7 (96)36% (10)30% (62).41 (105)6% (83)2.3 (124)
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 14.35  #16
Boise State's Offense Rating: 26.91  #10
Boise State's Defense Rating: 4.29  #22
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #74
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #50

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 14.35   San José State: -4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 10.1   San José State: -5.5




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.565  #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16  #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66  #71
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5  #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 37
San José State 20


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 25
San José State 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 31
San José State 26

Total Points: 57
San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16San José State21Boise State42Boise State -14.5Boise State62.0Over
202310/07Boise State35San José State27Boise State -8Push57.5Over
202012/19San José State34Boise State20Boise State -6.5San José State59.5Under
201911/02San José State42Boise State52Boise State -16San José State60.0Over
201611/04Boise State45San José State31Boise State -26.5San José State58.5Over
201511/27San José State23Boise State40Boise State -10Boise State57.0Over
201010/16San José State0Boise State48
200910/31Boise State45San José State7
200810/24San José State16Boise State33
200711/03Boise State42San José State7
200611/11San José State20Boise State23
200510/15Boise State38San José State21
200411/13San José State49Boise State56
200310/25Boise State77San José State14
200210/26San José State8Boise State45
200111/17Boise State56San José State6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State135 Overs
Boise State1521 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 82 - 30 - 12 - 2
Road Teams8 - 83 - 22 - 21 - 0

(#16) BSU at (#94) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUSJSU
Power RatePwr #16 #94
SP+SP+ #29 #92
Perf GradeGrade #15 #91
OffenseOff #6 #86
DefenseDef #40 #84
Spec TeamsST #62 #103
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #74 #102
Boise State Notes
(11/29) Beat down Beavs, Jeanty great, Madsen meh
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)
(8/11) Top 5/6 WR return along with good TE
(7/30) One of best G5 backfields + 3/5 of OL back.
(7/30) HC Danielson 1st full year, OC is Dirk Koetter
(7/30) MW Fav/G5 Co-Favs. TD+ favs in all but Oregon
Boise State Injury Report
San José State Notes
(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
(9/17) 3 awful opps, zero run game. Pass game good #'s
San José State Injury Report
Boise State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BSU OffSJSU Def
Perf GradePerf #6 #84
SuccessSuc #12 #57
ExplosiveExp #37 #48
PPAPPA #3 #27
PowerPwr #10 #71
SP+SP+ #17 #90
Pts POPPO #4 #44
HavocHav #20 #47
Boise State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BSU OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #1 #96
Run SuccessRSuc #17 #66
Run ExplRExp #5 #16
PPAExp #6 #21
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #39 #23
Stuff RateStuff #58 #30
TackleTak -  #117
Boise State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BSU OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #47 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #12 #47
Pass ExplPExl #119 #105
PPAExp #12 #48
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #63 #121
F7 HavocF7 #10 #41
DB HavocDB #58 #56
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffBSU Def
Perf GradePerf #86 #40
SuccessSuc #56 #27
ExplosiveExp #54 #119
PPAPPA #71 #59
PowerPwr #102 #22
SP+SP+ #73 #50
Pts POPPO #96 #24
HavocHav #110 #7
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffBSU Def
Run GameRun #90 #58
Run SuccessRSuc #98 #33
Run ExplRExp #127 #113
PPAExp #131 #72
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLY #133 #34
Stuff RateStuff #134 #21
TackleTak -  #134
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePass #27 #38
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #29
Pass ExplPExl #74 #96
PPAExp #39 #42
Pass Block/RushP Blk #130 #52
F7 HavocF7 #57 #3
DB HavocDB #131 #83
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Boise State 14.5 (62.0)
Boise State won at San José State this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat San José State last year (42-21)
Boise State beat San José State in 2023 (35-27)

  
BSU's OC Dirk Koetter (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen24739662%30182367.6
Malachi Nelson (Tr)121771%128017.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty3742601297.077
Maddux Madsen5722153.949
Sire Gaines2015617.838
Dylan Riley2213526.164
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Camper (Tr)58903415.653
Matt Lauter48629713.153
Latrell Caples38473512.436
Prince Strachan25304112.237

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield825013
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Zion Washington674006
A'Marion McCoy6020112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin40161050
Ahmed Hassanein48161030
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Braxton Fely249610
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Zion Washington674006
Jeremiah Earby (Tr)341006

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)12521758%16211657.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Nash10413821613.345
Justin Lockhart53983518.557
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Matthew Coleman34401211.833

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115
Isiah Revis716125
Taniela Latu717132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Soane Toia5510540
John Ward467341
Jordan Cobbs698311
Jordan Pollard11514223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Dansby371006
D.J. Harvey587206
Isiah Revis716125