Boise State at Fresno State Game Matchup
Boise State logo Boise State Broncos at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (10:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -2.5 (53.5) (-150)  Open: -3.0 | 55.0
Fresno State 37 - Boise State: 30  (Mountain West)

 
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FRES 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Boise State -3   (SP+ BSU -7)
Projected Score: BSU: 29 - FRES: 26 (55)
FRES Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BSU Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18OY
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19OY
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Fresno State at Purdue+4.047.0W 39 - 35OY
Sat 9/9 Fresno State vs Eastern Washington-31.563.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 Fresno State at Arizona State-4.048.0W 29 - 0UY
Sat 9/23 Fresno State vs Kent State-27.547.5W 53 - 10OY
Sat 9/30 Fresno State vs Nevada-25.550.5W 27 - 9UN
Sat 10/7 Fresno State at Wyoming-5.543.0L 19 - 24UN
Fri 10/13 Fresno State at Utah State-5.556.0W 37 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Fresno State vs UNLV-10.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/4 Fresno State vs Boise State-2.553.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Fresno State at San José State+2.551.5L 18 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Fresno State vs New Mexico-22.558.5L 17 - 25UN
Sat 11/25 Fresno State at San Diego State-5.547.0L 18 - 33ON
Sat 12/16 Fresno State vs New Mexico State+3.052.5W 37 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU.2343%37.346%3.3419739%1894.07.0935%22.639%30%3.3847.41.21.5
FRES.2447%26.147%3.0713348%2704.22.1539%24.842%37%3.2941.111.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1437.334.342.9%4.071.220386197189556%44%46%39%16%.23
FRES Defense1424.81839%3.291.6 - - - - - 51%48%42%37%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1422.624.534.6%3.381.5 - - - - - 56%43%39%30%18%.09
FRES Offense1426.13247.1%4.22122403133270442%57%47%48%11%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1430:5019.540%59%5.647.41.21.55.12.1231.2
Fresno State1431:1621.946%50%4.541.111.65.11.6330.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1456%46%39.2196.5527.23.3476%9%0.97
FRES Defense1451%42% - - - - .173.1569%9%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1456%39% - - - - .112.9376%12%0.94
FRES Offense1442%47%33.2133428.173.0777%8%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1444%39%16.427.5189.26.911.6209.321.731%32%.457%2.2
FRES Defense1448%37% - - - - - - 12.161.635%32%.329%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1443%30% - - - - - - 15.121.935%19%.096%2.3
FRES Offense1457%48%23.833.7269.6811.3229.351.328%32%.363%1.8

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 4.57   Fresno State: 2.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 7.4   Fresno State: 0.5




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 2.785 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 29
Fresno State 26

Projected Total Points: 55
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Fresno State37Boise State30Fresno StateFresno State -2.5Fresno State53.5Over
202210/08Boise State40Fresno State20Boise StateBoise State -9Boise State45.0Over
202212/03Boise State16Fresno State28Fresno StateBoise State -3Fresno State54.5Under
202111/06Fresno State14Boise State40Boise StateFresno State -4Boise State61.5Under
201811/09Boise State24Fresno State17Boise StateFresno State -2.5Boise State56.0Under
201812/01Boise State16Fresno State19Fresno StateBoise State -2Fresno State51.5Under
201712/02Boise State17Fresno State14Boise StateBoise State -9.5Fresno State51.0Under
201711/25Fresno State28Boise State17Fresno StateBoise State -6.5Fresno State49.0Under
201410/17Boise State37Fresno State27Boise StateBoise State -16Fresno State0
201412/06Boise State28Fresno State14Boise StateBoise State -17Fresno State0
201309/20Fresno State41Boise State40Fresno StateFresno State -3Boise State0
201210/13Boise State20Fresno State10Boise State
201110/07Fresno State7Boise State57Boise State
201011/19Boise State51Fresno State0Boise State
200909/18Fresno State34Boise State51Boise State
200811/28Boise State61Fresno State10Boise State
200710/26Fresno State21Boise State34Boise State
200611/01Boise State45Fresno State21Boise State
200511/10Fresno State27Boise State7Fresno State
200410/23Boise State33Fresno State16Boise State
200311/21Fresno State17Boise State31Boise State
200210/18Boise State67Fresno State21Boise State
200110/19Fresno State30Boise State35Boise State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State672 Overs
Boise State1746 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 84 - 72 - 72 - 0
Road Teams8 - 157 - 40 - 27 - 2

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Team Profile






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Boise State     Ratings Matchup     Fresno State
Power #37
#59
Off #28
#53
Def #58
#45
Talent #77
#89
SP+ #41
#63
SP+ Off #29
#58
SP+ Def #70
#82

Rematch from Week 10
Fresno State -2.5 (53.5)
Fresno State won vs Boise State this year (37-30)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Boise State in 2023 (37-30)
Fresno State beat Boise State in 2022 (28-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70°

Team Information
Injuries: BSU | FRES
Depth Chart: BSU | FRES
Rosters: BSU | FRES
(#59) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.785 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Team Profile






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Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green23038160%31531598.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty3742601297.077
Taylen Green15660283.941
Tyler Crowe2812934.613
Jonah Dalmas1-20-2.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Ashton Jeanty2313816.018
Tyler Crowe31505.07

View Boise State's Full Roster
Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Alexander Teubner575213
Ahmed Hassanein48161030
Rodney Robinson486422
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmed Hassanein48161030
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Rodney Robinson486422
Sheldon Newton (Tr)192210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alexander Teubner575213
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Rodney Robinson486422

Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Logan Fife15724664%17811327.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Logan Fife5212052.322
Mac Dalena53907.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mac Dalena60998816.675
Tre Watson21280113.333
Artis Cole12152112.730
Jake Boust43007.510

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tuasivi Nomura (Tr)1027003
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark (Tr)563224
Devo Bridges497261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark (Tr)563224
Devo Bridges497261
Kemari Bailey52100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Lockridge372006
Dean Clark (Tr)563224
Tuasivi Nomura (Tr)1027003