Fresno State Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -17.5 (47.5) (-1000) Open: -17.5
Fresno State 30 - Boise State: 7 (Mountain West)
Bulldogs (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 20 (26 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 20 (26 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
BSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -9 (SP+ BSU -4)
Projected Score: FRES: 21 - BSU: 30 (52)
BSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
FRES Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Boise State -9 (SP+ BSU -4)
Projected Score: FRES: 21 - BSU: 30 (52)
BSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
FRES Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#24)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#24)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Fresno State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Fresno State at Kansas | +14.0 | 51.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/30 | Fresno State vs Georgia Southern | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Fresno State at Oregon State | +1.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Fresno State vs Southern | -37.5 | 51.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Fresno State at Hawai'i | -2.5 | 47.5 | W 23 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -12.5 | 45.5 | W 20 - 17 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/10 | Fresno State at Colorado State | -5.5 | 47.5 | L 21 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Fresno State vs San Diego State | +3.0 | 46.5 | L 0 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Fresno State at Boise State | +17.5 | 47.5 | W 30 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Fresno State vs Wyoming | -3.0 | 40.5 | W 24 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | Fresno State vs Utah State | -1.5 | 50.5 | L 17 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Fresno State at San José State | -3.5 | 46.0 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/27 | Fresno State vs Miami (OH) | -3.5 | 42.0 | ||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Boise State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Boise State at South Florida | -8.5 | 63.5 | L 7 - 34 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Boise State vs Eastern Washington | -33.5 | 60.5 | W 51 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Boise State at Air Force | -10.5 | 51.5 | W 49 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Boise State vs App State | -16.5 | 59.5 | W 47 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Boise State at Notre Dame | +21.5 | 63.5 | L 7 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | Boise State vs New Mexico | -14.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/18 | Boise State vs UNLV | -12.5 | 60.5 | W 56 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/24 | Boise State at Nevada | -20.5 | 51.5 | W 24 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Boise State vs Fresno State | -17.5 | 47.5 | L 7 - 30 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Boise State at San Diego State | +1.5 | 41.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Boise State vs Colorado State | -17.5 | 46.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/28 | Boise State at Utah State | -1.5 | 54.5 | W 25 - 24 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/5 | Boise State vs UNLV | -6.0 | 60.0 | W 38 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/13 | Boise State vs Washington | +8.5 | 51.5 | ||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #107 (.1) | 39% (110) | 26.4 | 38% (118) | 2.76 (105) | 170 | 41% (79) | 180 | 3.35 (104) | #51 (.12) | 39% (40) | 20.1 | 43% (72) | 36% (21) | 3.48 (56) | 59.8 | 1.7 | 2 |
| BSU | #38 (.22) | 42% (70) | 31.4 | 43% (74) | 3.12 (37) | 189 | 41% (77) | 244 | 3.88 (59) | #46 (.11) | 36% (12) | 23 | 40% (49) | 32% (5) | 4.11 (107) | 61.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | ||
| BSU | #3 (.36) | 48% (12) | 49% (17) | 3.22 (39) | 234 | 48% (12) | 204 | 4.83 (4) | #59 (.16) | 38% (27) | 39% (33) | 37% (29) | 3.33 (24) | 39.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 12 | 26.4 | 26.3 | 38.8% | 3.35 | 1.7 | 19 | 351 | 170 | 180 | 4.7 | 51% | 46% | 38% | 41% | 16% | .1 |
| BSU Defense | 13 | 23 | 22.3 | 36% | 4.11 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 46% | 40% | 32% | 17% | .11 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 12 | 20.1 | 24.8 | 39.4% | 3.48 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 43% | 36% | 17% | .12 |
| BSU Offense | 13 | 31.4 | 41.3 | 42.3% | 3.88 | 1.2 | 23 | 433 | 189 | 244 | 4.7 | 52% | 47% | 43% | 41% | 14% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 12 | 31:47 | 19 | 36% | 40% | 6.5 | 59.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 33.7 |
| Boise State | 13 | 32:54 | 22.6 | 47% | 52% | 7 | 61.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 30.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 12 | 51% (52) | 38% (118) | 36.1 | 170.2 | 4.7 | 22 (49) | .02 (117) | 2.76 (105) | 74% (60) | 10% (101) | 1.04 (43) |
| BSU Defense | 13 | 52% (101) | 40% (49) | - | - | - | - | .19 (115) | 2.95 (81) | 67% (38) | 11% (33) | 1.22 (134) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 12 | 50% (59) | 43% (72) | - | - | - | - | .09 (64) | 2.94 (79) | 74% (93) | 10% (68) | 0.85 (18) |
| BSU Offense | 13 | 52% (50) | 43% (74) | 40.2 | 188.8 | 4.7 | 29 (30) | .17 (42) | 3.12 (37) | 79% (21) | 8% (43) | 1.01 (56) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 12 | 46% (89) | 41% (79) | 18.7 | 29.3 | 180.4 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 13 (75) | 13 (127) | .24 (75) | 1.5 (79) | 33% (105) | 30% (74) | .3 (72) | 6% (53) | 2 (83) |
| BSU Defense | 13 | 46% (41) | 32% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (22) | .06 (6) | 1.7 (110) | 37% (7) | 27% (34) | .21 (33) | 6% (79) | 2.1 (87) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 12 | 49% (76) | 36% (21) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 19 (12) | .17 (36) | 1.6 (91) | 33% (41) | 28% (46) | .19 (27) | 8% (14) | 1.8 (13) |
| BSU Offense | 13 | 47% (81) | 41% (77) | 19.4 | 33 | 244.2 | 7.4 | 12.6 | 22 (22) | 9 (88) | .28 (57) | 1.6 (41) | 33% (94) | 32% (58) | .3 (74) | 5% (40) | 1.8 (121) |
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -8.69 #102
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 0.27 #127
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 8.96 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #67
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #96
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #43
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Fresno State's Power Rating: -8.69 #102
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 0.27 #127
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 8.96 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #67
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #96
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #43
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -8.69 Boise State: 5.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 1.1 Boise State: 4.7
Fresno State: -8.69 Boise State: 5.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 1.1 Boise State: 4.7
Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.2 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 8.28 #70
Boise State's Defense Rating: 7.58 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #55
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #56
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #47
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.2 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 8.28 #70
Boise State's Defense Rating: 7.58 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #55
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #56
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #47
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 30
Fresno State 21
Total Points: 52
Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 36
Fresno State 22
Total Points: 58
Based on Entire Season
Boise State 30
Fresno State 25
Total Points: 55
Boise State 30
Fresno State 21
Total Points: 52
Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 36
Fresno State 22
Total Points: 58
Based on Entire Season
Boise State 30
Fresno State 25
Total Points: 55
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/01 | Boise State | 7 | Fresno State | 30 | Boise State -17.5 | Fresno State | 47.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/04 | Fresno State | 37 | Boise State | 30 | Fresno State -2.5 | Fresno State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State | 20 | Boise State -9 | Boise State | 45.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 12/03 | Boise State | 16 | Fresno State | 28 | Boise State -3 | Fresno State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State -4 | Boise State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/09 | Boise State | 24 | Fresno State | 17 | Fresno State -2.5 | Boise State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 12/01 | Boise State | 16 | Fresno State | 19 | Boise State -2 | Fresno State | 51.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 12/02 | Boise State | 17 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State -9.5 | Fresno State | 51.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Fresno State | 28 | Boise State | 17 | Boise State -6.5 | Fresno State | 49.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/17 | Boise State | 37 | Fresno State | 27 | Boise State -16 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2014 | 12/06 | Boise State | 28 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State -17 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/20 | Fresno State | 41 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State -3 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Boise State | 20 | Fresno State | 10 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/07 | Fresno State | 7 | Boise State | 57 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/19 | Boise State | 51 | Fresno State | 0 | ||||
| 2009 | 09/18 | Fresno State | 34 | Boise State | 51 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Boise State | 61 | Fresno State | 10 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/26 | Fresno State | 21 | Boise State | 34 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/01 | Boise State | 45 | Fresno State | 21 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/10 | Fresno State | 27 | Boise State | 7 | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Boise State | 33 | Fresno State | 16 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/21 | Fresno State | 17 | Boise State | 31 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/18 | Boise State | 67 | Fresno State | 21 | ||||
| 2001 | 10/19 | Fresno State | 30 | Boise State | 35 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 17 | 4 | 2 Overs |
| Fresno State | 7 | 8 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 9 | 4 - 8 | 2 - 8 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 15 | 8 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 8 - 2 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FRES | BSU |
| Power RatePwr | #102 | #67 |
| SP+SP+ | #67 | #55 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #65 | #83 |
| OffenseOff | #72 | #80 |
| DefenseDef | #66 | #73 |
| Spec TeamsST | #31 | #64 |
| TalentTal | #80 | #77 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #88 | #88 |
(10/28) Entz says Conklin QB1 at least for now
(10/9) Off started out hot but cooled lately. QB Warner JAG
(9/23) LB Tim Thomas no longer with team
(9/23) OL has improved, run game good. Pass Off poor
(9/23) Def #'s really poor despite 4-1 start. On watch
(9/9) QB Warner brutal start, 0 TD - 5 INT
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(12/6) RB duo of Riley & Gaines proved incredible late
(12/6) HC Danielson won MWC in every year he coached
(11/28) Cutforth 340 yds, Run Off ok in W over Utah St
(11/28) Run Def has been bad, Utah St 221 yds, 6.5 ypc
(11/3) QB1 Maddux Madsen carted off in Fresno loss
(11/3) QB2 Max Cutforth awful vs Fresno (< 50%, 2 Int)
(10/4) TE M Lauter out vs ND. Huge loss
(9/20) RB Dylan Riley 255 yds, 5 TD vs AFA. Def still bad
(8/29) Pass Def bad, Run Off worse in loss at USF
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
(7/31) Def tackling was a big issue LY, not a fan of DC
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| FRES Off | BSU Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #72 | #73 |
| SuccessSuc | #110 | #12 |
| ExplosiveExp | #49 | #128 |
| PPAPPA | #107 | #46 |
| PowerPwr | #127 | #66 |
| SP+SP+ | #96 | #47 |
| Pts POPPO | #104 | #107 |
| HavocHav | #74 | #51 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| FRES Off | BSU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #34 | #125 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #118 | #49 |
| Run ExplRExp | #43 | #134 |
| PPAExp | #117 | #115 | Run BlockR Blk | #52 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #105 | #81 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #103 | #64 |
| TackleTak | - | #132 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| FRES Off | BSU Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #91 | #19 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #79 | #5 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #79 | #110 |
| PPAExp | #75 | #6 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #21 | #83 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #101 | #33 |
| DB HavocDB | #53 | #79 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BSU Off | FRES Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #80 | #66 |
| SuccessSuc | #70 | #40 |
| ExplosiveExp | #44 | #42 |
| PPAPPA | #38 | #51 |
| PowerPwr | #70 | #73 |
| SP+SP+ | #56 | #43 |
| Pts POPPO | #59 | #56 |
| HavocHav | #42 | #33 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| BSU Off | FRES Def | |
| Run GameRun | #27 | #114 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #74 | #72 |
| Run ExplRExp | #56 | #18 |
| PPAExp | #42 | #64 | Run BlockR Blk | #36 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #37 | #79 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #40 | #38 |
| TackleTak | - | #98 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BSU Off | FRES Def |
| Pass GamePass | #97 | #26 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #77 | #21 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #41 | #91 |
| PPAExp | #57 | #36 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #119 | #62 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #43 | #68 |
| DB HavocDB | #40 | #14 |
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Boise State -17.5 (47.5)
Fresno State won at Boise State this year (30-7)
Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Boise State in 2023 (37-30)
Fresno State beat Boise State in 2022 (28-16)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 177 | 255 | 69% | 1811 | 12 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Carson Conklin (Tr) | 47 | 96 | 49% | 354 | 1 | 2 | 3.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 106 | 685 | 6 | 6.5 | 69 |
| Bryson Donelson | 136 | 563 | 5 | 4.1 | 57 |
| Johnathan Arceneaux | 34 | 241 | 2 | 7.1 | 58 |
| Brandon Ramirez | 49 | 218 | 3 | 4.4 | 19 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Freeman | 45 | 499 | 6 | 11.1 | 37 |
| Richie Anderson | 29 | 273 | 2 | 9.4 | 24 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 36 | 228 | 2 | 6.3 | 23 |
| Ezekiel Avit (Tr) | 25 | 226 | 0 | 9.0 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Pearson (Tr) | 89 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Camryn Bracha | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 41 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 41 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Korey Foreman | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Jahzon Jacks | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Deijon Laffitte | 27 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Embry | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Alzillion Hamilton | 33 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 169 | 286 | 59% | 2282 | 18 | 7 | 8.0 |
| Max Cutforth | 80 | 140 | 57% | 857 | 3 | 2 | 6.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Riley | 185 | 1091 | 10 | 5.9 | 77 |
| Sire Gaines | 153 | 796 | 8 | 5.2 | 46 |
| Malik Sherrod (Tr) | 81 | 406 | 4 | 5.0 | 44 |
| Maddux Madsen | 54 | 80 | 4 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Caples | 46 | 546 | 3 | 11.9 | 34 |
| Chris Marshall | 25 | 477 | 2 | 19.1 | 46 |
| Chase Penry | 27 | 363 | 1 | 13.4 | 46 |
| Ben Ford | 21 | 325 | 5 | 15.5 | 60 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Benefield | 98 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Marco Notarainni | 69 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Boen Phelps | 61 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Zion Washington | 59 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Fely | 22 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Jayden Virgin | 52 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
| Marco Notarainni | 69 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Malakai Williams (Tr) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Earby | 55 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Sherrod Smith | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jaden Mickey (Tr) | 33 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 |