Fresno State Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID (Boise 7th straight game)
Bulldogs (3 - 1) (3 - 1 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
BSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -13 (SP+ BSU -4)
Projected Score: FRES: 22 - BSU: 35 (56)
BSU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
FRES Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Boise State -13 (SP+ BSU -4)
Projected Score: FRES: 22 - BSU: 35 (56)
BSU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
FRES Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (51 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (51 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
| Fresno State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Fresno State at Kansas | +14.0 | 51.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/30 | Fresno State vs Georgia Southern | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Fresno State at Oregon State | +1.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Fresno State vs Southern | -37.5 | 51.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Fresno State at Hawai'i | -3.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Fresno State at Colorado State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Fresno State vs San Diego State | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Fresno State at Boise State | +13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Fresno State vs Wyoming | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Fresno State vs Utah State | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Fresno State at San José State | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Boise State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Boise State at South Florida | -8.5 | 63.5 | L 7 - 34 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Boise State vs Eastern Washington | -33.5 | 60.5 | W 51 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Boise State at Air Force | -10.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Boise State vs App State | -17 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Boise State at Notre Dame | +16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Boise State vs New Mexico | -22 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Boise State vs UNLV | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Boise State at Nevada | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Boise State vs Fresno State | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Boise State at San Diego State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Boise State vs Colorado State | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Boise State at Utah State | -14.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #51 (.25) | 44% (64) | 35.3 | 44% (70) | 2.7 (97) | 203 | 47% (47) | 190 | 3.58 (90) | #126 (.36) | 50% (125) | 19.8 | 46% (100) | 53% (129) | 4.75 (115) | 45 | 2 | 0.8 |
| BSU | #75 (.19) | 47% (42) | 29 | 54% (25) | 2.97 (71) | 225 | 41% (89) | 283 | 2.81 (120) | #65 (.12) | 29% (9) | 24 | 31% (16) | 27% (12) | 4.56 (107) | 56 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | ||
| BSU | #3 (.36) | 48% (12) | 49% (17) | 3.22 (39) | 234 | 48% (12) | 204 | 4.83 (4) | #59 (.16) | 38% (27) | 39% (33) | 37% (29) | 3.33 (24) | 39.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 35.3 | 21.5 | 43.9% | 3.58 | 2 | 22 | 393 | 203 | 190 | 5.8 | 55% | 42% | 44% | 47% | 17% | .25 |
| BSU Defense | 2 | 24 | 14 | 29.2% | 4.56 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 31% | 27% | 17% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 19.8 | 29 | 49.7% | 4.75 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 46% | 53% | 13% | .36 |
| BSU Offense | 2 | 29 | 51 | 47.1% | 2.81 | 1.5 | 24 | 508 | 225 | 283 | 5.8 | 48% | 52% | 54% | 41% | 16% | .19 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 4 | 30:33 | 22 | 51% | 67% | 4.5 | 45 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 29.8 |
| Boise State | 2 | 32:22 | 23.5 | 43% | 29% | 7 | 56 | 1.5 | 1 | 7 | 2.5 | 0 | 33 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 55% (45) | 44% (70) | 35.3 | 203 | 5.8 | 12 (3) | .13 (70) | 2.7 (97) | 75% (52) | 11% (107) | 1.25 (22) |
| BSU Defense | 2 | 47% (47) | 31% (16) | - | - | - | - | .15 (102) | 2.85 (77) | 57% (28) | 13% (33) | 1.65 (135) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 46% (43) | 46% (100) | - | - | - | - | .13 (95) | 3.28 (120) | 100% (127) | 7% (118) | 0.74 (22) |
| BSU Offense | 2 | 48% (84) | 54% (25) | 38.5 | 225 | 5.8 | 5 (62) | .16 (60) | 2.97 (71) | 80% (36) | 10% (86) | 0.84 (98) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 42% (109) | 47% (47) | 19 | 26 | 189.5 | 7.3 | 10 | 4 (72) | 5 (129) | .55 (19) | 1.7 (27) | 30% (63) | 45% (15) | .77 (12) | 6% (92) | 2.3 (22) |
| BSU Defense | 2 | 53% (92) | 27% (12) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .1 (37) | 2 (129) | 50% (2) | 21% (30) | .2 (56) | 4% (104) | 2.8 (131) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 53% (89) | 53% (129) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .55 (126) | 1.5 (71) | 32% (78) | 38% (120) | .45 (108) | 7% (45) | 1.8 (50) |
| BSU Offense | 2 | 52% (51) | 41% (89) | 22 | 38.5 | 282.5 | 7.3 | 12.8 | 3 (90) | 0 (1) | .22 (81) | 1.4 (98) | 36% (115) | 35% (45) | .04 (120) | 6% (86) | 1 (136) |
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State's Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -11.82 Boise State: 7.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -0.3 Boise State: 3.9
Fresno State: -11.82 Boise State: 7.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -0.3 Boise State: 3.9
Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 7.1 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 12.05 #74
Boise State's Defense Rating: 6.74 #65
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #61
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Boise State's Power Rating: 7.1 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 12.05 #74
Boise State's Defense Rating: 6.74 #65
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #61
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 35
Fresno State 22
Total Points: 56
Boise State 35
Fresno State 22
Total Points: 56
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 14
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 14
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/04 | Fresno State | 37 | Boise State | 30 | Fresno State | Fresno State -2.5 | Fresno State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State | 20 | Boise State | Boise State -9 | Boise State | 45.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 12/03 | Boise State | 16 | Fresno State | 28 | Fresno State | Boise State -3 | Fresno State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State | 40 | Boise State | Fresno State -4 | Boise State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/09 | Boise State | 24 | Fresno State | 17 | Boise State | Fresno State -2.5 | Boise State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 12/01 | Boise State | 16 | Fresno State | 19 | Fresno State | Boise State -2 | Fresno State | 51.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 12/02 | Boise State | 17 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State | Boise State -9.5 | Fresno State | 51.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Fresno State | 28 | Boise State | 17 | Fresno State | Boise State -6.5 | Fresno State | 49.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/17 | Boise State | 37 | Fresno State | 27 | Boise State | Boise State -16 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2014 | 12/06 | Boise State | 28 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State | Boise State -17 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/20 | Fresno State | 41 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State | Fresno State -3 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Boise State | 20 | Fresno State | 10 | Boise State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/07 | Fresno State | 7 | Boise State | 57 | Boise State | ||||
| 2010 | 11/19 | Boise State | 51 | Fresno State | 0 | Boise State | ||||
| 2009 | 09/18 | Fresno State | 34 | Boise State | 51 | Boise State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Boise State | 61 | Fresno State | 10 | Boise State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/26 | Fresno State | 21 | Boise State | 34 | Boise State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/01 | Boise State | 45 | Fresno State | 21 | Boise State | ||||
| 2005 | 11/10 | Fresno State | 27 | Boise State | 7 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Boise State | 33 | Fresno State | 16 | Boise State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/21 | Fresno State | 17 | Boise State | 31 | Boise State | ||||
| 2002 | 10/18 | Boise State | 67 | Fresno State | 21 | Boise State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/19 | Fresno State | 30 | Boise State | 35 | Boise State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 17 | 4 | 2 Overs |
| Fresno State | 6 | 7 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 8 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 7 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 15 | 7 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 7 - 2 |
(#109) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has lost 4 straight
Fresno State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has lost 4 straight
Fresno State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BSU | FRES |
| OverallOver | #53 | #64 |
| OffenseOff | #40 | #30 |
| DefenseDef | #62 | #105 |
| Special TeamsST | #85 | #26 |
| PassingPass | #64 | #58 |
| RushingRush | #21 | #11 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #17 | #34 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #72 | #24 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #72 | #54 |
| TacklingTkl | #110 | #71 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #66 | #99 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #64 | #98 |
| Coverage DefCov | #51 | #109 |
(#67) Boise State Info
Power Rating: 7.1 #67
Offense Rating: 12.05 #74
Defense Rating: 6.74 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Great Pass Def Success 27%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Boise State has lost 6 straight
Boise State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Boise State Notes
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
(7/31) Def tackling was a big issue LY, not a fan of DC
(6/8) RB Sherrod had 960 yds rush, 44/260 rec in '23
(5/26) #2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
(5/8) QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
(5/2) TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
(3/22) RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
(3/22) WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
(3/22) OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
(3/22) Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
Boise State Highlights
Boise State is Undefeated at Home
Boise State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Boise State has a really good defense (#9)
Boise State has a good run defense (#16)
Boise State has a good pass defense (#12)
Boise State Deficiencies
Boise State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Boise State offense is not Explosive (#112)
Boise State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#126)
Boise State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#120)
Boise State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#136)
Boise State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
Power Rating: 7.1 #67
Offense Rating: 12.05 #74
Defense Rating: 6.74 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Great Pass Def Success 27%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Boise State has lost 6 straight
Boise State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Boise State Notes
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
(7/31) Def tackling was a big issue LY, not a fan of DC
(6/8) RB Sherrod had 960 yds rush, 44/260 rec in '23
(5/26) #2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
(5/8) QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
(5/2) TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
(3/22) RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
(3/22) WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
(3/22) OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
(3/22) Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
Boise State Highlights
Boise State is Undefeated at Home
Boise State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Boise State has a really good defense (#9)
Boise State has a good run defense (#16)
Boise State has a good pass defense (#12)
Boise State Deficiencies
Boise State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Boise State offense is not Explosive (#112)
Boise State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#126)
Boise State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#120)
Boise State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#136)
Boise State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 71 | 98 | 72% | 716 | 4 | 5 | 7.3 |
| Carson Conklin (Tr) | 5 | 6 | 83% | 42 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Donelson | 50 | 325 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 36 | 224 | 5 | 6.2 | 44 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 17 | 101 | 2 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Johnathan Arceneaux | 10 | 54 | 1 | 5.4 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Freeman | 11 | 149 | 0 | 13.5 | 30 |
| Ezekiel Avit (Tr) | 13 | 110 | 0 | 8.5 | 17 |
| Bryson Donelson | 8 | 87 | 0 | 10.9 | 39 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 12 | 80 | 1 | 6.7 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Pearson (Tr) | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Camryn Bracha | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Alzillion Hamilton | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Korey Foreman | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Davis | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jahzon Jacks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Embry | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 41 | 72 | 57% | 532 | 3 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Max Cutforth | 3 | 5 | 60% | 33 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Riley | 13 | 143 | 1 | 11.0 | 77 |
| Sire Gaines | 23 | 142 | 1 | 6.2 | 46 |
| Malik Sherrod (Tr) | 18 | 69 | 1 | 3.8 | 20 |
| Maddux Madsen | 15 | 66 | 1 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Marshall | 6 | 151 | 1 | 25.2 | 46 |
| Ben Ford | 7 | 126 | 2 | 18.0 | 60 |
| Matt Lauter | 8 | 80 | 0 | 10.0 | 20 |
| Latrell Caples | 5 | 69 | 0 | 13.8 | 16 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Benefield | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Notarainni | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Earby | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Zion Washington | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Fely | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Lopez Sanusi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dion Washington (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Stege | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'Marion McCoy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Zion Washington | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Travis Anderson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |