Fresno State Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos 
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -17.5 (47.5) (-1000) Open: -17.5
Fresno State 30 - Boise State: 7 (Mountain West)
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
BSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -8.5 (SP+ BSU -1)
Projected Score: FRES: 21 - BSU: 30 (51)
BSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
FRES Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Boise State -8.5 (SP+ BSU -1)
Projected Score: FRES: 21 - BSU: 30 (51)
BSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
FRES Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Fresno State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Fresno State at Kansas | +14.0 | 51.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/30 | Fresno State vs Georgia Southern | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Fresno State at Oregon State | +1.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Fresno State vs Southern | -37.5 | 51.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Fresno State at Hawai'i | -2.5 | 47.5 | W 23 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -12.5 | 45.5 | W 20 - 17 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/10 | Fresno State at Colorado State | -5.5 | 47.5 | L 21 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Fresno State vs San Diego State | +3.0 | 46.5 | L 0 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Fresno State at Boise State | +17.5 | 47.5 | W 30 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Fresno State vs Wyoming | -3.0 | 40.5 | W 24 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | Fresno State vs Utah State | -1.5 | 50.5 | L 17 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Fresno State at San José State | -3.5 | 46.0 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/27 | Fresno State vs Miami (OH) | -5.0 | 41.0 | W 18 - 3 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Boise State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Boise State at South Florida | -8.5 | 63.5 | L 7 - 34 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Boise State vs Eastern Washington | -33.5 | 60.5 | W 51 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Boise State at Air Force | -10.5 | 51.5 | W 49 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Boise State vs App State | -16.5 | 59.5 | W 47 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Boise State at Notre Dame | +21.5 | 63.5 | L 7 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | Boise State vs New Mexico | -14.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/18 | Boise State vs UNLV | -12.5 | 60.5 | W 56 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/24 | Boise State at Nevada | -20.5 | 51.5 | W 24 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Boise State vs Fresno State | -17.5 | 47.5 | L 7 - 30 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Boise State at San Diego State | +1.5 | 41.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Boise State vs Colorado State | -17.5 | 46.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/28 | Boise State at Utah State | -1.5 | 54.5 | W 25 - 24 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/5 | Boise State vs UNLV | -6.0 | 60.0 | W 38 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/13 | Boise State vs Washington | +9.5 | 55.5 | L 10 - 38 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 25.8 | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 18.8 | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| BSU | #3 (.36) | 48% (12) | 29.9 | 49% (17) | 3.22 (39) | 234 | 48% (12) | 204 | 4.83 (4) | #59 (.16) | 38% (27) | 24.1 | 39% (33) | 37% (29) | 3.33 (24) | 39.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| BSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 26.3 | 39.2% | 3.68 | 1.3 | 19 | 343 | 101 | 242 | 3.4 | 42% | 57% | 38% | 41% | 14% | .11 |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 24.1 | 22.3 | 38.2% | 3.33 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 57% | 39% | 37% | 20% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 13 | 18.8 | 24.8 | 40.3% | 3.63 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 43% | 38% | 14% | .08 |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 29.9 | 41.3 | 48.3% | 4.83 | 0.6 | 22 | 437 | 234 | 204 | 6.5 | 55% | 44% | 49% | 48% | 12% | .36 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 13 | 27:29 | 18.9 | 39% | 42% | 6.2 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 30.7 |
| Boise State | 14 | 29:25 | 21.6 | 49% | 71% | 4.5 | 39.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 3 | 30.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 13 | 42% (115) | 38% (121) | 29.2 | 100.7 | 3.4 | 21 (59) | .04 (111) | 2.73 (115) | 69% (96) | 8% (34) | 0.95 (76) |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 43% (3) | 39% (33) | - | - | - | - | .13 (72) | 2.8 (34) | 62% (12) | 15% (3) | 1.1 (113) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 13 | 49% (49) | 43% (74) | - | - | - | - | .08 (48) | 2.94 (56) | 71% (56) | 8% (121) | 0.81 (7) |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 55% (31) | 49% (17) | 36.2 | 233.5 | 6.5 | 42 (3) | .32 (6) | 3.22 (39) | 86% (3) | 7% (10) | 1.22 (5) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 13 | 57% (21) | 41% (76) | 23 | 33.1 | 242.1 | 7.3 | 10.5 | 20 (58) | 14 (115) | .21 (89) | 1.6 (65) | 33% (95) | 28% (103) | .24 (100) | 6% (64) | 2.1 (63) |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 57% (133) | 37% (29) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .18 (42) | 1.7 (96) | 36% (10) | 30% (62) | .41 (105) | 6% (83) | 2.3 (124) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 13 | 51% (86) | 38% (33) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 (18) | .09 (14) | 1.5 (34) | 30% (94) | 29% (37) | .2 (28) | 6% (65) | 2 (52) |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 44% (103) | 48% (12) | 17 | 27.1 | 203.9 | 7.5 | 12 | 22 (46) | 4 (1) | .41 (12) | 1.5 (119) | 29% (23) | 35% (28) | .37 (55) | 6% (58) | 1.9 (111) |
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -9.85 #102
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 5.63 #117
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 15.48 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #66
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #37
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Fresno State's Power Rating: -9.85 #102
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 5.63 #117
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 15.48 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #66
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #37
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -9.85 Boise State: 4.335
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 1.8 Boise State: 3.1
Fresno State: -9.85 Boise State: 4.335
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 1.8 Boise State: 3.1
Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.335 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.41 #68
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.84 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #60
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.335 #67
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.41 #68
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.84 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #60
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 30
Fresno State 21
Projected Total Points: 51
Boise State 30
Fresno State 21
Projected Total Points: 51
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/01 | Boise State | 7 | Fresno State | 30 | Boise State -17.5 | Fresno State | 47.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/04 | Fresno State | 37 | Boise State | 30 | Fresno State -2.5 | Fresno State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State | 20 | Boise State -9 | Boise State | 45.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 12/03 | Boise State | 16 | Fresno State | 28 | Boise State -3 | Fresno State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State -4 | Boise State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/09 | Boise State | 24 | Fresno State | 17 | Fresno State -2.5 | Boise State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 12/01 | Boise State | 16 | Fresno State | 19 | Boise State -2 | Fresno State | 51.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 12/02 | Boise State | 17 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State -9.5 | Fresno State | 51.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Fresno State | 28 | Boise State | 17 | Boise State -6.5 | Fresno State | 49.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/17 | Boise State | 37 | Fresno State | 27 | Boise State -16 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2014 | 12/06 | Boise State | 28 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State -17 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/20 | Fresno State | 41 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State -3 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Boise State | 20 | Fresno State | 10 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/07 | Fresno State | 7 | Boise State | 57 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/19 | Boise State | 51 | Fresno State | 0 | ||||
| 2009 | 09/18 | Fresno State | 34 | Boise State | 51 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Boise State | 61 | Fresno State | 10 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/26 | Fresno State | 21 | Boise State | 34 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/01 | Boise State | 45 | Fresno State | 21 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/10 | Fresno State | 27 | Boise State | 7 | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Boise State | 33 | Fresno State | 16 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/21 | Fresno State | 17 | Boise State | 31 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/18 | Boise State | 67 | Fresno State | 21 | ||||
| 2001 | 10/19 | Fresno State | 30 | Boise State | 35 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 17 | 4 | 2 Overs |
| Fresno State | 7 | 8 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 9 | 4 - 8 | 2 - 8 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 15 | 8 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 8 - 2 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FRES | BSU |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #102 | #67 |
| SP+SP+ | #66 | #64 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #61 | #86 |
| OffenseOff | #64 | #81 |
| DefenseDef | #68 | #77 |
| Spec TeamsST | #26 | #54 |
| TalentTal | #80 | #77 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #88 | #88 |
(10/28) Entz says Conklin QB1 at least for now
(10/9) Off started out hot but cooled lately. QB Warner JAG
(9/23) LB Tim Thomas no longer with team
(9/23) OL has improved, run game good. Pass Off poor
(9/23) Def #'s really poor despite 4-1 start. On watch
(9/9) QB Warner brutal start, 0 TD - 5 INT
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(12/6) MWC champs after beating UNLV
(12/6) RB duo of Riley & Gaines proved incredible late
(12/6) HC Danielson won MWC in every year he coached
(11/28) Cutforth 340 yds, Run Off ok in W over Utah St
(11/28) Run Def has been bad, Utah St 221 yds, 6.5 ypc
(11/3) QB1 Maddux Madsen carted off in Fresno loss
(11/3) QB2 Max Cutforth awful vs Fresno (< 50%, 2 Int)
(10/4) TE M Lauter out vs ND. Huge loss
(9/20) RB Dylan Riley 255 yds, 5 TD vs AFA. Def still bad
(8/29) Pass Def bad, Run Off worse in loss at USF
(8/27) WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| FRES Off | BSU Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #64 | #77 |
| SuccessSuc | #110 | #27 |
| ExplosiveExp | #38 | #119 |
| PPAPPA | #110 | #59 |
| PowerPwr | #117 | #61 |
| SP+SP+ | #100 | #60 |
| Pts POPPO | #91 | #24 |
| HavocHav | #34 | #7 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| FRES Off | BSU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #44 | #123 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #121 | #33 |
| Run ExplRExp | #76 | #113 |
| PPAExp | #111 | #72 | Run BlockR Blk | #45 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #115 | #34 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #85 | #21 |
| TackleTak | - | #134 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| FRES Off | BSU Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #85 | #19 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #76 | #29 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #65 | #96 |
| PPAExp | #89 | #42 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #22 | #82 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #34 | #3 |
| DB HavocDB | #64 | #83 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BSU Off | FRES Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #81 | #68 |
| SuccessSuc | #12 | #51 |
| ExplosiveExp | #37 | #13 |
| PPAPPA | #3 | #17 |
| PowerPwr | #68 | #84 |
| SP+SP+ | #55 | #37 |
| Pts POPPO | #4 | #47 |
| HavocHav | #20 | #113 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| BSU Off | FRES Def | |
| Run GameRun | #23 | #99 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #17 | #74 |
| Run ExplRExp | #5 | #7 |
| PPAExp | #6 | #48 | Run BlockR Blk | #39 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #39 | #56 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #58 | #65 |
| TackleTak | - | #76 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BSU Off | FRES Def |
| Pass GamePass | #92 | #27 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #12 | #33 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #119 | #34 |
| PPAExp | #12 | #14 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #116 | #78 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #10 | #121 |
| DB HavocDB | #58 | #65 |
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Boise State -17.5 (47.5)
Fresno State won at Boise State this year (30-7)
Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Boise State last year (30-7)
Fresno State beat Boise State in 2023 (37-30)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 192 | 277 | 69% | 2030 | 13 | 11 | 7.3 |
| Carson Conklin (Tr) | 47 | 96 | 49% | 354 | 1 | 2 | 3.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 110 | 699 | 6 | 6.4 | 69 |
| Bryson Donelson | 142 | 583 | 5 | 4.1 | 57 |
| Brandon Ramirez | 60 | 271 | 3 | 4.5 | 19 |
| Johnathan Arceneaux | 40 | 267 | 2 | 6.7 | 58 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Freeman | 52 | 642 | 6 | 12.3 | 51 |
| Richie Anderson | 31 | 300 | 3 | 9.7 | 25 |
| Ezekiel Avit (Tr) | 28 | 255 | 0 | 9.1 | 41 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 36 | 228 | 2 | 6.3 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Pearson (Tr) | 96 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 53 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Camryn Bracha | 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 41 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 41 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Korey Foreman | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Jahzon Jacks | 32 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Deijon Laffitte | 27 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Embry | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 53 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Ryan Wilson | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 176 | 302 | 58% | 2333 | 18 | 9 | 7.7 |
| Max Cutforth | 95 | 167 | 57% | 1059 | 4 | 5 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Riley | 195 | 1125 | 10 | 5.8 | 77 |
| Sire Gaines | 161 | 812 | 8 | 5.0 | 46 |
| Malik Sherrod (Tr) | 85 | 418 | 4 | 4.9 | 44 |
| Maddux Madsen | 57 | 81 | 4 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Caples | 51 | 616 | 3 | 12.1 | 34 |
| Chris Marshall | 30 | 574 | 2 | 19.1 | 46 |
| Chase Penry | 30 | 394 | 1 | 13.1 | 46 |
| Matt Lauter | 37 | 330 | 2 | 8.9 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Benefield | 105 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Marco Notarainni | 77 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| Zion Washington | 66 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Boen Phelps | 66 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Virgin | 56 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| Braxton Fely | 24 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Sterling Lane | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Malakai Williams (Tr) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Earby | 60 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Sherrod Smith | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jaden Mickey (Tr) | 38 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 |