Boise State at Wyoming - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 19th 2022 (7:00 PM EST)
Boise State -14.5 (44.5)
Boise State 20 - Wyoming: 17 (Mountain West)

Broncos (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Andy Avalos (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (23 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 14.2°
BSU 2nd straight Road Game
BSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ BSU -16.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 24 - WYO: 20 (44)
BSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
BSU Travel: 564 miles

Cowboys (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (45 - 50)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boise State at Oregon State	+2.0	55.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Fri 9/9	Boise State at New Mexico	-17.0	43.5	W 31 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/17	Boise State vs UT Martin	-24.5	53.5	W 30 - 7	U	N
Fri 9/23	Boise State at UTEP	-16.0	44.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/30	Boise State vs San Diego State	-6.0	38.0	W 35 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.0	45.0	W 40 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boise State at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Boise State vs Colorado State	-25.0	42.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Boise State vs BYU	-9.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Boise State at Nevada	-21.0	47.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Boise State at Wyoming	-14.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/25	Boise State vs Utah State	-17.0	51.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Boise State vs Fresno State	-3.0	54.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 12/17	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0	63.0	W 35 - 32	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Wyoming's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Wyoming at Illinois	+14.0	42.5	L 6 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/3	Wyoming vs Tulsa	+6.5	47.0	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Wyoming vs Northern Colorado	-23.5	54.5	W 33 - 10	U	N
Fri 9/16	Wyoming vs Air Force	+16.5	47.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Wyoming at BYU	+21.5	50.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Wyoming vs San José State	+2.5	42.5	L 16 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/8	Wyoming at New Mexico	-3.0	37.0	W 27 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Wyoming vs Utah State	-5.0	44.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wyoming at Hawai'i	-11.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Wyoming at Colorado State	-8.5	42.5	W 14 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/19	Wyoming vs Boise State	+14.5	44.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Wyoming at Fresno State	+15.0	50.5	L 0 - 30	U	N
Fri 12/30	Wyoming vs Ohio	+3.0	43.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.23	43%	29.5	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	19.5	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5
WYO	.12	41%	21.2	46%	3.26	181	35%	132	3.65	.17	41%	23.9	46%	37%	3.9	37.5	1.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)		49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)		39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	29.5	23	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23
WYO Defense	13	23.9	21.3	41.1%	3.9	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	37%	14%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	19.5	18.2	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09
WYO Offense	13	21.2	25.2	40.7%	3.65	1.2	16	314	181	132	4.9	59%	40%	46%	35%	15%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2
Wyoming	13	29:06	16	35%	29%	4.3	37.5	1.2	1.4	5.1	2.8	2	28.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97
WYO Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.38	81%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94
WYO Offense	13	59%	46%	36.8	181.4	4.9	16	.22	3.26	65%	8%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2
WYO Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.19	1.6	35%	30%	.33	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3
WYO Offense	13	40%	35%	12	23.4	132.2	5.7	11	11	12	.05	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #52
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: Wyoming: -2.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 5.7 Wyoming: -10.8

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.9 NR
Wyoming's Offense Rating: NR
Wyoming's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wyoming's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wyoming's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.8 #101
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #125
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

Boise State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 24
Wyoming 20

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 23
Wyoming 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 25
Wyoming 21

Total Points: 46

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 21.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Wyoming's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Wyoming	13	Boise State	17	Boise State -22	Wyoming	54.0	Under
2023	10/28	Boise State	32	Wyoming	7	Boise State -4.5	Boise State	48.5	Under
2022	11/19	Wyoming	17	Boise State	20	Boise State -14.5	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2021	11/12	Boise State	23	Wyoming	13	Boise State -14	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2020	12/12	Wyoming	9	Boise State	17	Boise State -9	Wyoming	47.0	Under
2019	11/09	Boise State	20	Wyoming	17	Boise State -16	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2018	09/29	Wyoming	14	Boise State	34	Boise State -15.5	Boise State	47.5	Over
2017	10/21	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14	Boise State -15	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2016	10/29	Wyoming	30	Boise State	28	Boise State -12.5	Wyoming	62.5	Under
2015	10/24	Boise State	34	Wyoming	14	Boise State -34	Wyoming	60.0	Under
2014	11/22	Wyoming	14	Boise State	63	Boise State -16	Boise State	0
2013	11/16	Boise State	48	Wyoming	7	Boise State -20	Boise State	0
2012	10/27	Wyoming	14	Boise State	45
2011	11/26	Boise State	36	Wyoming	14
2010	09/18	Wyoming	6	Boise State	51
2007	09/15	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14
2006	09/16	Wyoming	10	Boise State	17
2003	09/27	Boise State	33	Wyoming	17
2002	09/14	Wyoming	13	Boise State	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	1	8	1 Overs
Boise State	18	4	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 10	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2

(#) BSU at (#) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#101
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#95
OffenseOff	#47	#93
DefenseDef	#17	#93
Spec TeamsST	#61	#45
TalentTal	#73	#125
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

Wyoming Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#6	#108
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#47	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#132

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#42	#124
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#93	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#56	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#23	#80
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 14° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Boise State 14.5 (44.5)
Boise State won at Wyoming this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Wyoming last year (17-13)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2023 (32-7)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2022 (20-17)

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD