Boise State at BYU - 2021 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo   Boise State Broncos at BYU Cougars  BYU logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
BYU -6 (58.0)
Boise State 26 - BYU: 17

 
Broncos (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Andy Avalos (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU is playing their 6th straight game
BSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ BSU -0.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 21 - BYU: 30 (51)
BYU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
BSU Travel: 328 miles
Cougars (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (41 - 26)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Boise State at UCF+6.567.0L 31 - 36UY
Fri 9/10 Boise State vs UTEP-25.056.0W 54 - 13OY
Sat 9/18 Boise State vs Oklahoma State-3.558.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Boise State at Utah State-9.569.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 10/2 Boise State vs Nevada-3.559.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 10/9 Boise State at BYU+6.058.0W 26 - 17UY
Sat 10/16 Boise State vs Air Force-3.052.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Boise State at Colorado State-2.051.5W 28 - 19UY
Sat 11/6 Boise State at Fresno State+4.061.5W 40 - 14UY
Fri 11/12 Boise State vs Wyoming-14.049.0W 23 - 13UN
Sat 11/20 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.548.0W 37 - 0UY
Fri 11/26 Boise State at San Diego State-3.044.0L 16 - 27UN
Fri 12/31 Boise State vs Central Michigan-7.555.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
BYU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 BYU vs Arizona-13.554.0W 24 - 16UN
Sat 9/11 BYU vs Utah+7.050.0W 26 - 17UY
Sat 9/18 BYU vs Arizona State+3.550.5W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/25 BYU vs South Florida-23.554.5W 35 - 27ON
Fri 10/1 BYU at Utah State-9.066.0W 34 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 BYU vs Boise State-6.058.0L 17 - 26UN
Sat 10/16 BYU at Baylor+5.552.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 10/23 BYU at Washington State-3.556.5W 21 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 BYU vs Virginia-2.566.5W 66 - 49OY
Sat 11/6 BYU vs Idaho State-36.555.0W 59 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 BYU at Georgia Southern-20.057.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 11/27 BYU at USC-8.565.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 12/18 BYU vs UAB-7.054.5L 28 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU.2146%29.946%2.6810647%2424.02.1836%24.137%35%4.094810.3
BYU.4854%31.451%3.2119056%3324.89.0838%19.136%40%2.8335.80.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense729.919.846.4%4.021183481062423.248%52%46%47%16%.21
BYU Defense1219.113.738.2%2.831.3 - - - - - 51%49%36%40%15%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense724.123.836.2%4.090.3 - - - - - 53%47%37%35%16%.18
BYU Offense1231.440.553.5%4.890.8265221903325.446%54%51%56%12%.48

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State729:3018.444%57%4.94810.37.32.6431.5
BYU1229:5425.749%59%4.235.80.81.34.92.3129.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense748%46%32.9105.93.213.052.6883%11%0.77
BYU Defense1251%36% - - - - -.082.9373%9%0.72
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense753%37% - - - - .132.968%12%1.15
BYU Offense1246%51%35.3190.35.435.353.2165%8%1.21

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense752%47%19.931.6241.97.712.2123.361.531%34%.325%1.9
BYU Defense1249%40% - - - - - - 8.241.633%28%.286%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense747%35% - - - - - - 2.241.736%23%.245%2.2
BYU Offense1254%56%22.731.333210.614.7334.591.626%42%.614%1.9

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #69
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #23

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State:    BYU: 6.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 9.4   BYU: 8.9




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 6.95 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2021 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #14
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #78

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 30
Boise State 21

Projected Total Points: 51
BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Boise State28BYU31Boise State -9.5BYU54.5Over
202110/09BYU17Boise State26BYU -6Boise State58.0Under
202011/06Boise State17BYU51BYU -4BYU62.5Over
201910/19BYU28Boise State25Boise State -7BYU45.0Over
201811/03Boise State21BYU16Boise State -12BYU53.5Under
201710/06BYU7Boise State24Boise State -7.5Boise State46.5Under
201610/20Boise State28BYU27Boise State -9.5BYU58.0Under
201509/12BYU35Boise State24Boise State -1.5BYU56.0Over
201410/24Boise State55BYU30Boise State -6.5Boise State0
201310/25BYU37Boise State20BYU -7BYU0
201209/20Boise State7BYU6
200409/24Boise State28BYU27
200310/30BYU12Boise State50
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU574 Overs
Boise State834 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 54 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams5 - 86 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) BSU at (#) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUBYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #41 #44
Perf GradeGrade #42 #21
OffenseOff #77 #3
DefenseDef #32 #85
Spec TeamsST #66 #32
TalentTal #70 #94
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCat
BSU OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #77 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #61 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #34 #43
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #109 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCatBYU OffBSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3 #32
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #23
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffBSU Def
Run GameRun #42 #51
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #9 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #26
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCatBYU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePass #21 #10
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #2 #112
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
BYU -6.0 (58.0)
Boise State won at BYU this year (26-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Ilaisa Tuiaki (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD