Washington State at Boise State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (10:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -6.5 (66.0) (-238)  Open: -6.0
Boise State 45 - Washington State: 24

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (30 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
WSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -15.5  (SP+ BSU -9)

Projected Score: WSU: 23 - BSU: 39 (62)
BSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WSU Travel: 221 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington State vs Portland State-26.557.5W 70 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 Washington State vs Texas Tech+2.564.5W 37 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Washington State vs Washington+4.056.0W 24 - 19UY
Fri 9/20 Washington State vs San José State-13.055.5W 54 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Washington State at Boise State+6.566.0L 24 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Washington State at Fresno State-3.560.5W 25 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 Washington State vs Hawai'i-18.555.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 Washington State at San Diego State-17.056.5W 29 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Washington State vs Utah State-20.569.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Washington State at New Mexico-10.572.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Washington State at Oregon State-11.057.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 Washington State vs Wyoming-18.555.5L 14 - 15UN
Fri 12/27 Washington State vs Syracuse+19.058.5L 35 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Boise State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Boise State at Georgia Southern-13.057.5W 56 - 45ON
Sat 9/7 Boise State at Oregon+17.560.5L 34 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Boise State vs Portland State-43.069.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Boise State vs Washington State-6.566.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/5 Boise State vs Utah State-28.066.5W 62 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-21.060.0W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/25 Boise State at UNLV-4.064.0W 29 - 24UY
Fri 11/1 Boise State vs San Diego State-24.555.5W 56 - 24OY
Sat 11/9 Boise State vs Nevada-23.560.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 Boise State at San José State-14.562.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/23 Boise State at Wyoming-22.054.0W 17 - 13UN
Fri 11/29 Boise State vs Oregon State-17.558.5W 34 - 18UN
Fri 12/6 Boise State vs UNLV-3.557.5W 21 - 7UY
Tue 12/31 Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)36.647% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)29.951% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)37.349% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)22.639% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)49% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)39% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1336.630.248.1%4.430.8214071592484.751%49%47%49%14%.29
BSU Defense1422.619.738.2%3.331.1 - - - - - 43%57%39%37%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1329.933.446%4.181.7 - - - - - 44%55%51%43%15%.22
BSU Offense1437.343.148.3%4.830.6224372342046.555%44%49%48%12%.36

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1326:1921.141%54%5.954.80.81.74.61.5330.1
Boise State1429:2521.649%71%4.539.80.61.17.43.6330.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1351% (66)47% (27)33.6158.84.727 (30).23 (22)3.1 (54)67% (108)10% (72)1.12 (14)
BSU Defense1443% (3)39% (33) - - - - .13 (72)2.8 (34)62% (12)15% (3)1.1 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1344% (7)51% (129) - - - - .25 (123)3.28 (110)69% (45)9% (102)1.03 (89)
BSU Offense1455% (31)49% (17)36.2233.56.542 (3).32 (6)3.22 (39)86% (3)7% (10)1.22 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1349% (69)49% (8)17.827.4248.29.113.930 (9)7 (26).37 (20)1.6 (68)27% (13)37% (14).43 (27)4% (19)2.1 (44)
BSU Defense1457% (133)37% (29) - - - - - - 7 (104).18 (42)1.7 (96)36% (10)30% (62).41 (105)6% (83)2.3 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1355% (126)43% (91) - - - - - - 14 (23).24 (74)1.5 (54)30% (98)32% (93).35 (87)6% (64)2.2 (114)
BSU Offense1444% (103)48% (12)1727.1203.97.51222 (46)4 (1).41 (12)1.5 (119)29% (23)35% (28).37 (55)6% (58)1.9 (111)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.40  #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60  #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60  #107
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3  #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -2.40   Boise State: 14.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.3   Boise State: 10.1




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 14.725  #16
Boise State's Offense Rating: 26.91  #10
Boise State's Defense Rating: 4.29  #22
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #74
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #50

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 39
Washington State 23


Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 33
Washington State 21

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 36
Washington State 28

Total Points: 64
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Boise State45Washington State24Boise State -6.5Boise State66.0Over
201709/09Washington State47Boise State44Washington State -7.5Boise State58.0Over
201609/10Boise State31Washington State28Boise State -12Washington State74.5Under
200109/08Boise State20Washington State41
200010/06Washington State42Boise State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State222 Overs
Washington State311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 11 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#72) WSU at (#16) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUBSU
Power RatePwr #72 #16
SP+SP+ #68 #29
Perf GradeGrade #48 #15
OffenseOff #45 #6
DefenseDef #44 #40
Spec TeamsST #101 #62
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #74
Washington State Notes
(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State Injury Report
Boise State Notes
(11/29) Beat down Beavs, Jeanty great, Madsen meh
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)
(8/11) Top 5/6 WR return along with good TE
(7/30) One of best G5 backfields + 3/5 of OL back.
(7/30) HC Danielson 1st full year, OC is Dirk Koetter
(7/30) MW Fav/G5 Co-Favs. TD+ favs in all but Oregon
Boise State Injury Report
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffBSU Def
Perf GradePerf #45 #40
SuccessSuc #15 #27
ExplosiveExp #24 #119
PPAPPA #19 #59
PowerPwr #22 #22
SP+SP+ #21 #50
Pts POPPO #23 #24
HavocHav #43 #7
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffBSU Def
Run GameRun #25 #58
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #33
Run ExplRExp #14 #113
PPAExp #22 #72
Run BlockR Blk #112 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #34
Stuff RateStuff #99 #21
TackleTak -  #134
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WSU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePass #51 #38
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #29
Pass ExplPExl #68 #96
PPAExp #20 #42
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #52
F7 HavocF7 #72 #3
DB HavocDB #19 #83
Boise State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatBSU OffWSU Def
Perf GradePerf #6 #44
SuccessSuc #12 #112
ExplosiveExp #37 #82
PPAPPA #3 #99
PowerPwr #10 #107
SP+SP+ #17 #97
Pts POPPO #4 #107
HavocHav #20 #88
Boise State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #1 #69
Run SuccessRSuc #17 #129
Run ExplRExp #5 #89
PPAExp #6 #123
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #39 #110
Stuff RateStuff #58 #82
TackleTak -  #132
Boise State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatBSU OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #47 #42
Pass SuccessPSuc #12 #91
Pass ExplPExl #119 #54
PPAExp #12 #74
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #43
F7 HavocF7 #10 #102
DB HavocDB #58 #64
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 76° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Boise State -6.5 (66.0)
Boise State won vs Washington State this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Washington State last year (45-24)

  
WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer22434765%31392979.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)375074%424428.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Mateer178826154.668
Wayshawn Parker13773545.475
Leo Pulalasi6530224.622
Djouvensky Schlenbaker4314933.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Williams7011931417.066
Kris Hutson (Tr)55691212.659
Josh Meredith39477212.239
Carlos Hernandez31397512.842

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taariq Al-Uqdah695052
Kyle Thornton667141
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tanner Moku480001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh247620
Khalil Laufau154301
Andrew Edson387342
Quinn Roff184320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan O'Connor301018
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tyson Durant (Tr)452026

BSU's OC Dirk Koetter (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen24739662%30182367.6
Malachi Nelson (Tr)121771%128017.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty3742601297.077
Maddux Madsen5722153.949
Sire Gaines2015617.838
Dylan Riley2213526.164
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Camper (Tr)58903415.653
Matt Lauter48629713.153
Latrell Caples38473512.436
Prince Strachan25304112.237

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield825013
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Zion Washington674006
A'Marion McCoy6020112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin40161050
Ahmed Hassanein48161030
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Braxton Fely249610
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Zion Washington674006
Jeremiah Earby (Tr)341006