San Diego State at Boise State - 2026 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo   San Diego State Aztecs at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Friday, November 20th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID  ([{"type":"event","headline":"Will be played Nov. 20 or Nov. 21"}])

 
Aztecs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 3.7 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 6)
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
BSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -5  (SP+ SDSU -3.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 22 - BSU: 27 (49)
BSU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
SDSU Travel: 749 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (24 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 3.5 (#33)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
San Diego State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 San Diego State vs Portland State-24
Sat 9/12 San Diego State at UCLA+4
Sat 9/19 San Diego State vs James Madison-1
Sat 9/26 San Diego State at Toledo+3
Sat 10/3 San Diego State vs Texas State-3
Sat 10/10 San Diego State at Oregon State-13
Sat 10/17 San Diego State vs Fresno State-7
Sat 10/24 San Diego State at Colorado State-11
Sat 10/31 San Diego State vs Washington State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 San Diego State vs Utah State-10.5
Fri 11/20 San Diego State at Boise State+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Boise State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Boise State at Oregon+26.5
Sat 9/12 Boise State vs Memphis-4
Sat 9/19 Boise State vs South Dakota-26.5
Sat 9/26 Boise State at Western Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/3 Boise State vs Utah State-12.5
Sat 10/10 Boise State at Fresno State-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Boise State at Washington State-1
Sat 10/31 Boise State vs Texas State-5
Sat 11/7 Boise State at Colorado State-13.5
Sat 11/14 Boise State vs Oregon State-20.5
Fri 11/20 Boise State vs San Diego State-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#93 (.13)42% (76)26.446% (40)3.34 (10)19936% (121)1583.51 (90)#4 (-.01)35% (10)15.438% (24)33% (4)2.42 (3)55.91.21.4
BSU#44 (.2)42% (77)29.943% (80)3.11 (39)17941% (83)2453.66 (73)#53 (.12)36% (14)24.141% (50)33% (6)4.14 (111)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1326.418.241.8%3.511.2183561991584.861%37%46%36%13%.13
BSU Defense1424.122.336.5%4.141.6 - - - - - 52%46%41%33%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1315.418.335.1%2.421.4 - - - - - 48%50%38%33%15%-.01
BSU Offense1429.941.341.8%3.661.5224241792454.651%47%43%41%14%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1330:1717.931%52%6.255.91.21.44.82.5531.7
Boise State1432:5022.146%51%6.959.41.51.662330.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1361% (9)46% (40)41.8198.94.825 (70).17 (43)3.34 (10)80% (16)7% (22)0.9 (94)
BSU Defense1452% (93)41% (50) - - - - .2 (120)2.98 (88)67% (39)11% (28)1.22 (134)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1348% (46)38% (24) - - - - .06 (43)3.04 (99)63% (15)8% (113)0.96 (70)
BSU Offense1451% (51)43% (80)39.3179.44.629 (30).16 (46)3.11 (39)79% (22)8% (33)1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1337% (128)36% (121)12.822.3157.97.112.410 (106)10 (7).09 (127)1.7 (20)30% (41)20% (136).04 (132)6% (48)1.9 (88)
BSU Defense1446% (45)33% (6) - - - - - - 14 (22).08 (7)1.7 (116)37% (4)28% (49).22 (33)6% (81)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1350% (90)33% (4) - - - - - - 15 (55)-.04 (2)1.4 (16)35% (17)23% (6).06 (3)7% (22)1.8 (14)
BSU Offense1447% (83)41% (83)19.633.7244.97.312.523 (22)14 (88).27 (62)1.6 (43)33% (91)31% (58).28 (74)6% (65)1.8 (124)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -5.94  #84
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 5.01  #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.95  #63
2026 Talent Rating: 552.00  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #99
San Diego State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 3.7
San Diego State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7  #43
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #28

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -5.94   Boise State: 5.285

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 6.7   Boise State: 3.1




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.285  #59
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.36  #54
Boise State's Defense Rating: 15.89  #62
2026 Talent Rating: 702.00  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #99
Boise State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 3.5
Boise State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 27
San Diego State 22

Projected Total Points: 49
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15San Diego State17Boise State7San Diego State -1.5San Diego State41.5Under
202411/01Boise State56San Diego State24Boise State -24.5Boise State55.5Over
202309/22San Diego State31Boise State34Boise State -6.5San Diego State46.0Over
202209/30Boise State35San Diego State13Boise State -6Boise State38.0Over
202111/26San Diego State27Boise State16Boise State -3San Diego State44.0Under
201810/06Boise State13San Diego State19Boise State -13.5San Diego State50.0Under
201710/14San Diego State14Boise State31San Diego State -5.5Boise State47.0Under
201411/15Boise State38San Diego State29Boise State -15San Diego State0
201311/23San Diego State34Boise State31Boise State -6San Diego State0
201211/03Boise State19San Diego State21
201111/19San Diego State35Boise State52
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State633 Overs
San Diego State564 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 56 - 33 - 33 - 0
Road Teams5 - 63 - 60 - 33 - 3

(#84) SDSU at (#59) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #84 #59
SP+SP+ #43 #64
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #99 #74
Blue ChipsBC% #99 #99
San Diego State Notes
(2/2) Lewis era growing & SDSU is spending NIL $
San Diego State Injury Report
San Diego State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #76 #14
ExplosiveExp #112 #129
PPAPPA #93 #53
PowerPwr #106 #62
SP+SP+ #90 #60
Pts POPPO #90 #111
HavocHav #25 #50
San Diego State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #40 #50
Run ExplRExp #94 #134
PPAExp #43 #120
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #10 #88
Stuff RateStuff #14 #61
TackleTak - NR
San Diego State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #121 #6
Pass ExplPExl #20 #116
PPAExp #127 #7
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #22 #28
DB HavocDB #48 #81
Boise State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatBSU OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #77 #10
ExplosiveExp #47 #23
PPAPPA #44 #4
PowerPwr #54 #63
SP+SP+ #55 #28
Pts POPPO #73 #3
HavocHav #49 #78
Boise State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #80 #24
Run ExplRExp #55 #70
PPAExp #46 #43
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #39 #99
Stuff RateStuff #33 #109
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatBSU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #83 #4
Pass ExplPExl #43 #16
PPAExp #62 #2
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #33 #113
DB HavocDB #65 #22
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Boise State last year (17-7)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2024 (56-24)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2023 (34-31)

  
SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal14324459%1810987.4
Bert Emanuel Jr.91656%74004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton2531292105.150
Christian Washington9756045.841
Bert Emanuel Jr.3227328.572
Jayden Denegal6710341.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier48632213.280
Javion Kinnard (Tr)18228112.779
Nathan Acevedo16190011.942
Jacob Bostick11157314.335

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Demetrius Sumler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Thomeson (Tr)867021
Dalesean Staley701008
Tano Letuli270021
Malachi Finau181030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Djibril Abdou Rahman (Tr)51111
Kai Wallin (Tr)172141
Solomon Davis (Tr)61100
Malik Gucake103110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalesean Staley701008
Brady Nassar140043
Jalen Thomeson (Tr)867021

BSU's OC Nate Potter (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen17630258%23331897.7
Max Cutforth9516757%1059456.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Riley1951125105.877
Sire Gaines16181285.046
Juelz Goff (Tr)6927053.917
Harry Stewart III (Tr)219814.715
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Bates18307117.144
Matt Wagner23246110.728
Dylan Riley1514929.975
Quinton Brown5120224.066

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boen Phelps664150
Jayden Virgin56136120
Jake Ripp433030
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin56136120
Sterling Lane63310
Boen Phelps664150
David Latu93100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
Sherrod Smith141006
Jaden Mickey387115