Boise State at Western Michigan - 2026 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo   Boise State Broncos at Western Michigan Broncos  Western Michigan logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Waldo Stadium - Kalamazoo, MI

 
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (24 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 3.5 (#33)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
WMU coming off BYE
BSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -5.5  (SP+ BSU -4.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 26 - WMU: 21 (47)
BSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
BSU Travel: 1541 miles, 2 hrs behind
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#80)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Boise State at Oregon+26.5
Sat 9/12 Boise State vs Memphis-4
Sat 9/19 Boise State vs South Dakota-26.5
Sat 9/26 Boise State at Western Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/3 Boise State vs Utah State-12.5
Sat 10/10 Boise State at Fresno State-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Boise State at Washington State-1
Sat 10/31 Boise State vs Texas State-5
Sat 11/7 Boise State at Colorado State-13.5
Sat 11/14 Boise State vs Oregon State-20.5
Fri 11/20 Boise State vs San Diego State-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Western Michigan at Michigan+24
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Western Michigan vs Boise State+5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#44 (.2)42% (77)29.943% (80)3.11 (39)17941% (83)2453.66 (73)#53 (.12)36% (14)24.141% (50)33% (6)4.14 (111)59.41.51.6
WMU#103 (.12)43% (55)24.947% (31)3.18 (25)20537% (116)1393.35 (105)#16 (.06)37% (17)17.438% (21)37% (21)2.83 (13)40.11.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1429.919.841.8%3.661.5224241792454.651%47%43%41%14%.2
WMU Defense1417.415.736.9%2.831.7 - - - - - 49%49%38%37%17%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1424.123.836.5%4.141.6 - - - - - 52%46%41%33%17%.12
WMU Offense1424.92943.4%3.351.1193432051394.665%33%47%37%12%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1432:5022.146%51%6.959.41.51.662330.6
Western Michigan1432:3418.940%44%4.640.11.11.75.93.1232
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1451% (51)43% (80)39.3179.44.629 (30).16 (46)3.11 (39)79% (22)8% (33)1 (55)
WMU Defense1449% (56)38% (21) - - - - .06 (46)2.77 (48)73% (86)11% (17)1.02 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1452% (93)41% (50) - - - - .2 (120)2.98 (88)67% (39)11% (28)1.22 (134)
WMU Offense1465% (5)47% (31)44.2204.54.631 (49).14 (57)3.18 (25)76% (38)9% (61)0.9 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1447% (83)41% (83)19.633.7244.97.312.523 (22)14 (88).27 (62)1.6 (43)33% (91)31% (58).28 (74)6% (65)1.8 (124)
WMU Defense1449% (75)37% (21) - - - - - - 12 (55).1 (11)1.5 (28)34% (23)28% (54).12 (12)6% (67)1.7 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1446% (45)33% (6) - - - - - - 14 (22).08 (7)1.7 (116)37% (4)28% (49).22 (33)6% (81)2.1 (87)
WMU Offense1433% (132)37% (116)13.221.8138.56.410.510 (114)6 (34).1 (125)1.4 (120)30% (44)24% (128).15 (121)3% (7)1.9 (103)

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 2.47  #59
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.36  #54
Boise State's Defense Rating: 15.89  #62
2026 Talent Rating: 702.00  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #99
Boise State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 3.5
Boise State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 2.47   Western Michigan: -2.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.1   Western Michigan: -1.4




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -2.545  #91
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 5.76  #101
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 19.45  #86
2026 Talent Rating: 552.00  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #99
Western Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Western Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #78
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8  #42

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 530.15
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 26
Western Michigan 21

Projected Total Points: 47
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan000 Overs
Boise State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#59) BSU at (#91) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #59 #91
SP+SP+ #64 #78
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #74 #99
Blue ChipsBC% #99 #99
Western Michigan Notes
(2/6) Elevated Greer Martini (LB) to DC (O'Leary->NFL)
Western Michigan Injury Report
Boise State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #77 #17
ExplosiveExp #47 #66
PPAPPA #44 #16
PowerPwr #54 #86
SP+SP+ #55 #42
Pts POPPO #73 #13
HavocHav #49 #33
Boise State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #80 #21
Run ExplRExp #55 #98
PPAExp #46 #46
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #39 #48
Stuff RateStuff #33 #96
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #83 #21
Pass ExplPExl #43 #28
PPAExp #62 #11
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #33 #17
DB HavocDB #65 #67
Western Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatWMU OffBSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #55 #14
ExplosiveExp #136 #129
PPAPPA #103 #53
PowerPwr #101 #62
SP+SP+ #105 #60
Pts POPPO #105 #111
HavocHav #18 #50
Western Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
WMU OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #31 #50
Run ExplRExp #97 #134
PPAExp #57 #120
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #25 #88
Stuff RateStuff #30 #61
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatWMU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #116 #6
Pass ExplPExl #120 #116
PPAExp #125 #7
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #28
DB HavocDB #7 #81
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BSU's OC Nate Potter (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen17630258%23331897.7
Max Cutforth9516757%1059456.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Riley1951125105.877
Sire Gaines16181285.046
Juelz Goff (Tr)6927053.917
Harry Stewart III (Tr)219814.715
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Bates18307117.144
Matt Wagner23246110.728
Dylan Riley1514929.975
Quinton Brown5120224.066

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boen Phelps664150
Jayden Virgin56136120
Jake Ripp433030
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin56136120
Sterling Lane63310
Boen Phelps664150
David Latu93100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
Sherrod Smith141006
Jaden Mickey387115

WMU's OC Walt Bell (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry16626263%1803936.9
Ofa Mataele010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley179100395.667
Broc Lowry203963144.737
Ofa Mataele5725234.422
Aveion Chenault335011.725
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Baylin Brooks27372013.842
Aveion Chenault23277212.045
Jalen Buckley127516.334
Terence Marshall445011.328

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Greer Martini (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarvarius Sims612104
Micah Davis601023
Joshua Franklin5362110
Joey Pope443112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeJuan Echoles276422
Marcel Tyler336211
Joshua Franklin5362110
Jarvarius Sims612104
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin5362110
Jarvarius Sims612104
John Peters140004