New Mexico at Boise State Game Matchup

Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID (Mountain West)

Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#116)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

UNM 2nd straight Road Game
BSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -28.5 (SP+ BSU -28)
Projected Score: UNM: 19 - BSU: 47 (66)
BSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
UNM Travel: 780 miles

Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (15 - 2)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	New Mexico at Michigan	+34.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	New Mexico vs Idaho State	-7
Sat 9/13	New Mexico at UCLA	+21.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-5
Sat 10/4	New Mexico at San José State	+14
Sat 10/11	New Mexico at Boise State	+28.5
Sat 10/18	New Mexico vs Nevada	-3.5
Sat 10/25	New Mexico vs Utah State	-2
Sat 11/1	New Mexico at UNLV	+13.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+4
Sat 11/22	New Mexico at Air Force	+7
Sat 11/29	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Boise State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Boise State at South Florida	-9.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Boise State vs Eastern Washington	-33
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Boise State at Air Force	-19
Sat 9/27	Boise State vs App State	-26.5
Sat 10/4	Boise State at Notre Dame	+19
Sat 10/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-28.5
Sat 10/18	Boise State vs UNLV	-17
Sat 10/25	Boise State at Nevada	-24.5
Sat 11/1	Boise State vs Fresno State	-18.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Boise State at San Diego State	-19.5
Sat 11/22	Boise State vs Colorado State	-21.5
Sat 11/29	Boise State at Utah State	-23

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)	33.5	53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)	38	50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)	37.3	49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)	22.6	39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	12	33.5	30.7	48.9%	3.83	1.6	25	485	254	231	6.7	52%	48%	53%	44%	12%	.31
BSU Defense	14	22.6	19.7	38.2%	3.33	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	39%	37%	20%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	12	38	37.4	50.4%	4.64	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	51%	14%	.34
BSU Offense	14	37.3	43.1	48.3%	4.83	0.6	22	437	234	204	6.5	55%	44%	49%	48%	12%	.36

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	12	28:52	24.7	43%	68%	9.3	81.5	1.6	0.8	3.9	1.6	1	26.8
Boise State	14	29:25	21.6	49%	71%	4.5	39.8	0.6	1.1	7.4	3.6	3	30.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	12	52% (55)	53% (3)	37.8	254	6.7	37 (6)	.37 (1)	3.81 (1)	81% (20)	5% (1)	1.1 (21)
BSU Defense	14	43% (3)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.13 (72)	2.8 (34)	62% (12)	15% (3)	1.1 (113)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	12	54% (106)	50% (125)	-	-	-	-	.2 (110)	3.26 (103)	71% (52)	8% (118)	0.97 (64)
BSU Offense	14	55% (31)	49% (17)	36.2	233.5	6.5	42 (3)	.32 (6)	3.22 (39)	86% (3)	7% (10)	1.22 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	12	48% (77)	44% (40)	18.8	32.5	230.7	7.1	12.3	12 (118)	12 (85)	.24 (77)	1.4 (125)	27% (8)	37% (11)	.49 (13)	6% (85)	1.9 (110)
BSU Defense	14	57% (133)	37% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.18 (42)	1.7 (96)	36% (10)	30% (62)	.41 (105)	6% (83)	2.3 (124)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	12	46% (30)	51% (131)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.51 (132)	1.6 (81)	26% (132)	38% (129)	.54 (129)	6% (79)	2.2 (118)
BSU Offense	14	44% (103)	48% (12)	17	27.1	203.9	7.5	12	22 (46)	4 (1)	.41 (12)	1.5 (119)	29% (23)	35% (28)	.37 (55)	6% (58)	1.9 (111)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -14.43 #103
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 15.04 #63
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 29.47 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 336.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.43 Boise State: 11.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.4 Boise State: 9.2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 11.99 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 22.10 #24
Boise State's Defense Rating: 12.32 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 712.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Boise State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6
Boise State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #15
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 47
New Mexico 19

Projected Total Points: 66

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Boise State	42	New Mexico	14	Boise State	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	58.5	Under
2022	09/09	New Mexico	14	Boise State	31	Boise State	Boise State -17	NA	43.5	Over
2021	11/20	Boise State	37	New Mexico	0	Boise State	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	48.0	Under
2019	11/16	Boise State	42	New Mexico	9	Boise State	Boise State -27.5	Boise State	59.0	Under
2018	11/16	New Mexico	14	Boise State	45	Boise State	Boise State -21	Boise State	61.0	Under
2017	09/14	Boise State	28	New Mexico	14	Boise State	Boise State -16	New Mexico	56.5	Under
2016	10/07	New Mexico	21	Boise State	49	Boise State	Boise State -16.5	Boise State	61.5	Over
2015	11/14	Boise State	24	New Mexico	31	New Mexico	Boise State -29.5	New Mexico	57.0	Under
2014	11/08	New Mexico	49	Boise State	60	Boise State	Boise State -14.5	New Mexico	0
2013	11/30	Boise State	45	New Mexico	17	Boise State	Boise State -35	New Mexico	0
2012	09/29	New Mexico	29	Boise State	32	Boise State
2011	12/03	Boise State	45	New Mexico	0	Boise State
2000	09/01	New Mexico	14	Boise State	31	Boise State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	12	5	2 Overs
New Mexico	1	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 7	4 - 5	3 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 1	3 - 3

(#103) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.43 #103
Offense Rating: 15.04 #63
Defense Rating: 29.47 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134
Talent Rating: 336.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

New Mexico Notes
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
(3/26) New HC Eck was 26-13 @ Idaho, good off
(3/26) New OC Schleusner w/ Eck @ Idaho
(3/18) QB Jack Layne (FCS Idaho) starter?

New Mexico Ratings Matchup Boise State

Power #103

#37

Off #63

#24

Def #133

#56

Talent #126

#70

SP+ #130

#33

SP+ Off #97

#15

SP+ Def #134

#53

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat New Mexico in 2023 (42-14)
Boise State beat New Mexico in 2022 (31-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | BSU
Depth Chart: UNM | BSU
Rosters: UNM | BSU

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.99 #37
Offense Rating: 22.10 #24
Defense Rating: 12.32 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #53
Talent Rating: 712.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Boise State Notes
(5/26) #2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
(5/8) QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
(5/2) TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
(3/22) RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
(3/22) WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
(3/22) OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
(3/22) Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
(3/22) DE Vergin-Morgan, CB McCoy, S Benefield good
(3/22) OC Potter promoted after Koetter retired
(3/22) HC Danielson lost 1 game outside of bowls

New Mexico's OC Luke Schleusner

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Layne (Tr)	83	132	63%	1159	11	4	8.8
Cole Welliver (Tr)	2	4	50%	10	0	0	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)	188	1291	15	6.9	79
Deshaun Buchanan (Tr)	60	506	4	8.4	72
DJ McKinney (Tr)	95	479	3	5.0	59
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters	22	124	1	5.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Hamper	43	869	5	20.2	74
Keagan Johnson (Tr)	29	359	1	12.4	35
Michael Buckley	8	103	0	12.9	18
Aiden Valdez (Tr)	10	90	3	9.0	37

View New Mexico's Full Roster

New Mexico's DC Spence Nowinsky

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randolph Kpai	80	5	1	5	3
Dmitri Johnson	77	5	2	1	2
Ky'won McCray (Tr)	66	5	1	4	4
Austin Brawley (Tr)	38	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)	10	6	5	0	0
Dmitri Johnson	77	5	2	1	2
Randolph Kpai	80	5	1	5	3
Ky'won McCray (Tr)	66	5	1	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ky'won McCray (Tr)	66	5	1	4	4
Randolph Kpai	80	5	1	5	3
Austin Brawley (Tr)	38	2	0	0	2

Boise State's OC Nate Potter

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maddux Madsen	247	396	62%	3018	23	6	7.6
Max Cutforth	2	2	100%	13	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Maddux Madsen	57	221	5	3.9	49
Malik Sherrod (Tr)	60	196	4	3.3	48
Sire Gaines	20	156	1	7.8	38
Dylan Riley	22	135	2	6.1	64

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matt Lauter	48	629	7	13.1	53
Latrell Caples	38	473	5	12.4	36
Austin Bolt	16	196	4	12.3	44
Chase Penry	14	164	0	11.7	42

View Boise State's Full Roster

Boise State's DC Erik Chinander

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Benefield	82	5	0	1	3
Zion Washington	67	4	0	0	6
A'Marion McCoy	60	2	0	1	12
Marco Notarainni	60	8	4	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Virgin	40	16	10	5	0
Braxton Fely	24	9	6	1	0
Marco Notarainni	60	8	4	3	3
Max Stege	14	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A'Marion McCoy	60	2	1	12
Jeremiah Earby	34	1	0	6
Zion Washington	67	4	0	6