South Dakota at Boise State - 2026 Matchup Preview
South Dakota logo   South Dakota Coyotes at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID

 
Coyotes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 55 (7 - 55 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Boise State -5.5  (SP+ BSU -3)
BSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (24 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 3.5 (#33)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
South Dakota's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 South Dakota at Boise State+5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Dakota's Schedule
Boise State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Boise State at Oregon+26.5
Sat 9/12 Boise State vs Memphis-4
Sat 9/19 Boise State vs South Dakota-26.5
Sat 9/26 Boise State at Western Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/3 Boise State vs Utah State-12.5
Sat 10/10 Boise State at Fresno State-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Boise State at Washington State-1
Sat 10/31 Boise State vs Texas State-5
Sat 11/7 Boise State at Colorado State-13.5
Sat 11/14 Boise State vs Oregon State-20.5
Fri 11/20 Boise State vs San Diego State-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDAK0%70%000%000%550%0%0000
BSU#44 (.2)42% (77)29.943% (80)3.11 (39)17941% (83)2453.66 (73)#53 (.12)36% (14)24.141% (50)33% (6)4.14 (111)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDAK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDAK Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BSU Defense1424.122.336.5%4.141.6 - - - - - 52%46%41%33%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDAK Defense155550%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BSU Offense1429.941.341.8%3.661.5224241792454.651%47%43%41%14%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Dakota10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Boise State1432:5022.146%51%6.959.41.51.662330.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDAK Offense10%0%000000%0%0
BSU Defense1452% (93)41% (50) - - - - .2 (120)2.98 (88)67% (39)11% (28)1.22 (134)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDAK Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BSU Offense1451% (51)43% (80)39.3179.44.629 (30).16 (46)3.11 (39)79% (22)8% (33)1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDAK Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
BSU Defense1446% (45)33% (6) - - - - - - 14 (22).08 (7)1.7 (116)37% (4)28% (49).22 (33)6% (81)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDAK Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BSU Offense1447% (83)41% (83)19.633.7244.97.312.523 (22)14 (88).27 (62)1.6 (43)33% (91)31% (58).28 (74)6% (65)1.8 (124)

South Dakota's Power Ratings
South Dakota's Power Rating: NR
South Dakota's Offense Rating: NR
South Dakota's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Dakota's 2026 Expected Record: -
South Dakota's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Dakota's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Dakota's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
South Dakota:    Boise State: 5.285

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Dakota:    Boise State: 3.1




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.285  #59
Boise State's Offense Rating: 13.36  #54
Boise State's Defense Rating: 15.89  #62
2026 Talent Rating: 702.00  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #99
Boise State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 3.5
Boise State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #64
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


South Dakota Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 55 PPG
Defense on Road: 55

South Dakota's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 33
South Dakota 28

Projected Total Points: 61
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State000 Overs
South Dakota000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) SDAK at (#59) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDAKBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #59
SP+SP+NR #64
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #74
Blue ChipsBC%NR #99
South Dakota on Offense
CategoryCat
SDAK OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #14
ExplosiveExpNR #129
PPAPPANR #53
PowerPwrNR #62
SP+SP+NR #60
Pts POPPONR #111
HavocHavNR #50
South Dakota Run Game
CategoryCat
SDAK OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #50
Run ExplRExpNR #134
PPAExpNR #120
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #88
Stuff RateStuffNR #61
TackleTak - NR
South Dakota Pass Game
CategoryCat
SDAK OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #6
Pass ExplPExlNR #116
PPAExpNR #7
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #28
DB HavocDBNR #81
Boise State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatBSU OffSDAK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #77NR
ExplosiveExp #47NR
PPAPPA #44NR
PowerPwr #54NR
SP+SP+ #55NR
Pts POPPO #73NR
HavocHav #49NR
Boise State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffSDAK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #80NR
Run ExplRExp #55NR
PPAExp #46NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #39NR
Stuff RateStuff #33NR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatBSU OffSDAK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #83NR
Pass ExplPExl #43NR
PPAExp #62NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #33NR
DB HavocDB #65NR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

SDAK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SDAK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tennel Bryant1712517.431
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tennel Bryant9193021.457

View South Dakota's Full Roster

SDAK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kael Kolarik (Tr)80000
Jeffrey Bowie40000
Neeo Avery (Tr)31000
Bryce Cohoon (Tr)10000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kael Kolarik (Tr)80000
Jeffrey Bowie40000
Neeo Avery (Tr)31000
Bryce Cohoon (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kael Kolarik (Tr)80000
Jeffrey Bowie40000
Neeo Avery (Tr)31000

BSU's OC Nate Potter (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen17630258%23331897.7
Max Cutforth9516757%1059456.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Riley1951125105.877
Sire Gaines16181285.046
Juelz Goff (Tr)6927053.917
Harry Stewart III (Tr)219814.715
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Bates18307117.144
Matt Wagner23246110.728
Dylan Riley1514929.975
Quinton Brown5120224.066

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boen Phelps664150
Jayden Virgin56136120
Jake Ripp433030
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin56136120
Sterling Lane63310
Boen Phelps664150
David Latu93100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
Sherrod Smith141006
Jaden Mickey387115