North Texas at Boise State - 2022 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green vs Boise State Broncos

Saturday, December 17th 2022 (9:15 PM EST)
Boise State -12 (63.0) (300) Open: -8.5 | 55.5
Boise State 35 - North Texas: 32 (Frisco Bowl Presented by SERVPRO)

Mean Green (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Seth Littrell (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ BSU -7)
Projected Score: UNT: 34 - BSU: 31 (65)
BSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
UNT Travel: 19 miles

Broncos (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Andy Avalos (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UNT Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2022 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	North Texas at UTEP	-1.5W31–13	52.5	W31–13	U	Y
Sat 9/3	North Texas vs SMU	+9.5L10–48	67.5	L10–48	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Texas vs Texas Southern	-38.5W59–27	64.5	W59–27	O	N
Sat 9/17	North Texas at UNLV	+2.5L27–58	62.5	L27–58	O	N
Sat 9/24	North Texas at Memphis	+13.0L34–44	68.5	L34–44	O	Y
Sat 10/1	North Texas vs Florida Atlantic	+3.0W45–28	67.5	W45–28	O	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/15	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	-6.5W47–27	68.0	W47–27	O	Y
Sat 10/22	North Texas at UTSA	+10.0L27–31	73.0	L27–31	U	Y
Sat 10/29	North Texas at Western Kentucky	+10.0W40–13	70.0	W40–13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	North Texas vs Florida International	-21.0W52–14	63.5	W52–14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	North Texas at UAB	+6.5L21–41	58.0	L21–41	O	N
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/26	North Texas vs Rice	-14.5W21–17	57.0	W21–17	U	N
Fri 12/2	North Texas at UTSA	+8.5L27–48	70.0	L27–48	O	N
Sat 12/17	North Texas vs Boise State	+12.0L32–35	63.0	L32–35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Boise State's 2022 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boise State at Oregon State	+2.0L17–34	55.5	L17–34	U	N
Fri 9/9	Boise State at New Mexico	-17.0W31–14	43.5	W31–14	O	N
Sat 9/17	Boise State vs UT Martin	-24.5W30–7	53.5	W30–7	U	N
Fri 9/23	Boise State at UTEP	-16.0L10–27	44.5	L10–27	U	N
Fri 9/30	Boise State vs San Diego State	-6.0W35–13	38.0	W35–13	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.0W40–20	45.0	W40–20	O	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/22	Boise State at Air Force	+2.5W19–14	46.5	W19–14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Boise State vs Colorado State	-25.0W49–10	42.5	W49–10	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Boise State vs BYU	-9.5L28–31	54.5	L28–31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Boise State at Nevada	-21.0W41–3	47.0	W41–3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Boise State at Wyoming	-14.5W20–17	44.5	W20–17	U	N
Fri 11/25	Boise State vs Utah State	-17.0W42–23	51.5	W42–23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Boise State vs Fresno State	-3.0L16–28	54.5	L16–28	U	N
Sat 12/17	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0W35–32	63.0	W35–32	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.17	40%	45.1	44%	3.31	234	36%	197	3.23	.16	38%	26.5	38%	39%	3.48	68.4	1.5	1.8
BSU	.19	43%	29.9	41%	2.75	122	44%	261	3.99	.13	38%	24.1	40%	37%	3.26	49.6	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	13	45.1	43.7	40.4%	3.23	1.5	23	431	234	197	4.8	59%	40%	44%	36%	14%	.17
BSU Defense	12	24.1	22.3	38.5%	3.26	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	37%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	13	26.5	28.3	38.3%	3.48	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	39%	19%	.16
BSU Offense	12	29.9	41.3	43%	3.99	1.3	22	383	122	261	3.2	47%	53%	41%	44%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	13	29:51	23	41%	41%	7.2	68.4	1.5	1.8	6.8	2.9	0	28.7
Boise State	12	29:57	22	44%	38%	5	49.6	1.3	1.9	5.5	2.3	4	29.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	13	59%	44%	49.2	234.1	4.8	32	.22	3.31	82%	8%	1.03
BSU Defense	12	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	67%	11%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.84	62%	14%	1.1
BSU Offense	12	47%	41%	38.3	122.2	3.2	15	.05	2.75	69%	10%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	13	40%	36%	15.7	30.3	197.1	6.5	12.6	12	14	.16	1.6	32%	29%	.28	5%	2
BSU Defense	12	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.22	1.7	34%	26%	.22	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	13	50%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.33	1.9	34%	31%	.41	5%	2.4
BSU Offense	12	53%	44%	21.2	34.2	260.6	7.6	12.3	20	10	.31	1.5	32%	34%	.45	5%	2

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2022 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #73
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #52
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #98

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: Boise State: 2.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -1.5 Boise State: 5.7

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 2.85 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #52
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 34
Boise State 31

Projected Total Points: 65

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/17	Boise State	35	North Texas	32	Boise State -12	North Texas	63.0	Over
2000	10/20	Boise State	59	North Texas	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	2	0	1 Overs
North Texas	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

North Texas Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Frisco Bowl	North Texas vs Boise State	+12.0	63.0	L 32 - 35
2021	Frisco Football Classic	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27
2020	Beach Bowl	North Texas vs App State	+21.5	67.5	L 28 - 56
2018	Mexico Bowl	North Texas vs Utah State	+7.0	67.5	L 13 - 52
2017	Orleans Bowl	North Texas vs Troy	+5.5	61.5	L 30 - 50
2016	Dallas Bowl	North Texas vs Army	+9.5	47.0	L 31 - 38

Boise State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Frisco Bowl	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0	63.0	W 35 - 32
2019	Vegas Bowl	Boise State vs Washington	+4.0	48.0	L 7 - 38
2017	Vegas Bowl	Boise State vs Oregon	+7.0	63.0	W 38 - 28
2016	Cactus Bowl	Boise State vs Baylor	-10.0	71.0	L 12 - 31

(#) UNT at (#) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	BSU
Game ControlGC	#96	#20
Momentum ControlMC	#106	#25
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#52
Perf GradeGrade	#38	#21
OffenseOff	#38	#47
DefenseDef	#48	#17
Spec TeamsST	#96	#61
TalentTal	#78	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	BSU Def
Game ControlGC	#88	#32
Momentum ControlMC	#63	#56
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#49	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#50	#80
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNT Def
Game ControlGC	#16	#96
Momentum ControlMC	#16	#112
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#48
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#6	#28
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#47	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#73

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#42	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Toyota Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Boise State -12.0 (63.0)
Boise State won vs North Texas this year (35-32)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNT's OC Mike Bloesch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Phil Bennett (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD