Boise State at Colorado State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -2 (51.5)
Boise State 28 - Colorado State: 19 (Mountain West)

Broncos (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Andy Avalos (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BSU coming off BYE
CSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ BSU -12)
Projected Score: BSU: 27 - CSU: 21 (48)
BSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BSU Travel: 606 miles

Rams (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Addazio (2 - 5)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Boise State at UCF	+6.5	67.0	L 31 - 36	U	Y
Fri 9/10	Boise State vs UTEP	-25.0	56.0	W 54 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Boise State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	58.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Boise State at Utah State	-9.5	69.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Boise State vs Nevada	-3.5	59.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/9	Boise State at BYU	+6.0	58.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Boise State vs Air Force	-3.0	52.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Boise State at Colorado State	-2.0	51.5	W 28 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Boise State at Fresno State	+4.0	61.5	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/12	Boise State vs Wyoming	-14.0	49.0	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	48.0	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Boise State at San Diego State	-3.0	44.0	L 16 - 27	U	N
Fri 12/31	Boise State vs Central Michigan	-7.5	55.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Colorado State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Colorado State vs South Dakota State	-2.5	50.5	L 23 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/11	Colorado State vs Vanderbilt	-6.5	52.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/18	Colorado State at Toledo	+14.5	59.0	W 22 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Colorado State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Colorado State vs San José State	-3.5	44.0	W 32 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Colorado State at New Mexico	-13.0	44.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/22	Colorado State at Utah State	-3.0	58.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Colorado State vs Boise State	+2.0	51.5	L 19 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/6	Colorado State at Wyoming	-3.0	41.5	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	Colorado State vs Air Force	+3.0	45.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/20	Colorado State at Hawai'i	-3.0	54.0	L 45 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/27	Colorado State vs Nevada	+3.0	57.5	L 10 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.21	46%	29.9	46%	2.68	106	47%	242	4.02	.18	36%	24.1	37%	35%	4.09	48	1	0.3
CSU	.04	33%	18.5	33%	2.24	124	33%	195	3.3	.17	38%	30.8	33%	44%	4.04	49.8	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	7	29.9	19.8	46.4%	4.02	1	18	348	106	242	3.2	48%	52%	46%	47%	16%	.21
CSU Defense	4	30.8	27.1	38.3%	4.04	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	33%	44%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	7	24.1	23.8	36.2%	4.09	0.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	37%	35%	16%	.18
CSU Offense	4	18.5	19.9	33.2%	3.3	1	17	319	124	195	3.2	53%	47%	33%	33%	21%	.04

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	7	29:30	18.4	44%	57%	4.9	48	1	0.3	7.3	2.6	4	31.5
Colorado State	4	24:33	17	20%	38%	6	49.8	1	1.3	10.5	4	1	31.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	7	48%	46%	32.9	105.9	3.2	13	.05	2.68	83%	11%	0.77
CSU Defense	4	53%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.1	65%	16%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	7	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.9	68%	12%	1.15
CSU Offense	4	53%	33%	38.8	124	3.2	6	-.02	2.24	62%	15%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	7	52%	47%	19.9	31.6	241.9	7.7	12.2	12	3	.36	1.5	31%	34%	.32	5%	1.9
CSU Defense	4	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	.35	1.7	37%	32%	.37	3%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	7	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.24	1.7	36%	23%	.24	5%	2.2
CSU Offense	4	47%	33%	14.8	29.5	194.8	6.6	13.2	4	3	.11	1.9	37%	22%	.05	6%	2.2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #69
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #23

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: Colorado State: 1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 9.4 Colorado State: -2.4

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: 1.3 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #87
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #59

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 27
Colorado State 21

Projected Total Points: 48

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Boise State	49	Colorado State	21	Boise State -17.5	Boise State	46.5	Over
2023	10/14	Colorado State	31	Boise State	30	Boise State -7.5	Colorado State	60.0	Over
2022	10/29	Boise State	49	Colorado State	10	Boise State -25	Boise State	42.5	Over
2021	10/30	Colorado State	19	Boise State	28	Boise State -2	Boise State	51.5	Under
2020	11/12	Boise State	52	Colorado State	21	Boise State -14.5	Boise State	62.0	Over
2019	11/29	Colorado State	24	Boise State	31	Boise State -13.5	Colorado State	56.5	Under
2018	10/19	Boise State	56	Colorado State	28	Boise State -24	Boise State	63.5	Over
2017	11/11	Colorado State	52	Boise State	59	Boise State -6.5	Boise State	59.0	Over
2016	10/15	Boise State	28	Colorado State	23	Boise State -25.5	Colorado State	59.5	Under
2015	10/10	Colorado State	10	Boise State	41	Boise State -12	Boise State	60.0	Under
2014	09/06	Boise State	37	Colorado State	24	Boise State -8	Boise State	0
2013	11/02	Colorado State	30	Boise State	42	Boise State -10	Boise State	0
2012	11/17	Boise State	42	Colorado State	14
2011	10/15	Colorado State	13	Boise State	63

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	1	3	6 Overs
Boise State	13	9	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	7 - 5	5 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	6 - 8	5 - 7	4 - 2	1 - 5

(#) BSU at (#) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#87
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#67
OffenseOff	#77	#79
DefenseDef	#32	#47
Spec TeamsST	#66	#117
TalentTal	#70	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

Colorado State Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#77	#47
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#61	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#105	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#46

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#109	#12
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#79	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#123	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#26

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#38	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#105	#112
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Boise State 2.0 (51.5)
Boise State won at Colorado State this year (28-19)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Colorado State last year (49-21)
Colorado State beat Boise State in 2023 (31-30)

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CSU's OC Jon Budmayr (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Chuck Heater (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD