Boise State at Memphis - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -3 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Memphis 35 - Boise State: 32

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 92.1° (37% Hum)
BSU 2nd straight Road Game
MEM is playing their 5th straight game
BSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -0 (SP+ BSU -4.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 29 - MEM: 29 (60)
MEM Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BSU Travel: 1510 miles, 1 hrs behind

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Memphis's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.0	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/9	Memphis at Arkansas State	-21.0	57.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Thu 9/14	Memphis vs Navy	-12.5	47.0	W 28 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/23	Memphis vs Missouri	+6.5	52.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Memphis vs Boise State	-3.0	58.0	W 35 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Memphis vs Tulane	+4.5	54.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	Memphis at UAB	-7.5	61.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Memphis at North Texas	-6.5	70.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Memphis vs South Florida	-13.5	68.5	W 59 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/11	Memphis at Charlotte	-9.5	51.5	W 44 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Memphis vs SMU	+9.5	64.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Memphis at Temple	-13.5	63.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Memphis at Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.23	43%	37.3	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	22.6	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5
MEM	.2	44%	35.7	44%	2.9	142	45%	280	4.16	.18	43%	23.8	41%	46%	4.34	36.9	1.2	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	37.3	34.3	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23
MEM Defense	13	23.8	19.1	43%	4.34	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	46%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	22.6	24.5	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09
MEM Offense	13	35.7	38.1	44.3%	4.16	1.2	23	422	142	280	3.8	47%	52%	44%	45%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2
Memphis	13	30:50	22.5	45%	54%	4.1	36.9	1.2	2.1	4.6	1.6	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97
MEM Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.96	70%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94
MEM Offense	13	47%	44%	37.9	142.4	3.8	30	.12	2.9	74%	10%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2
MEM Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.3	1.5	32%	36%	.43	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3
MEM Offense	13	52%	45%	22.4	35	280.1	8	12.5	23	8	.31	1.5	30%	33%	.39	6%	2.2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 4.57 Memphis: 6.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 7.4 Memphis: 2.8

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 29
Memphis 29

Projected Total Points: 60

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Memphis	35	Boise State	32	Memphis	Memphis -3	Push	58.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	1	0	1 Overs
Boise State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Boise State Ratings Matchup Memphis

Power #37

#36

Off #28

#24

Def #58

#71

Talent #77

#74

SP+ #41

#57

SP+ Off #29

#14

SP+ Def #70

#112

Rematch from Week 5
Memphis -3.0 (58.0)
Memphis won vs Boise State this year (35-32)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Boise State in 2023 (35-32)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 92°

Team Information
Injuries: BSU | MEM
Depth Chart: BSU | MEM
Rosters: BSU | MEM

(#36) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile

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Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Jeanty	374	2601	29	7.0	77
Taylen Green	156	602	8	3.9	41
Tyler Crowe	28	129	3	4.6	13
Jonah Dalmas	1	-2	0	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric McAlister	39	762	5	19.5	84
Ashton Jeanty	23	138	1	6.0	18
Tyler Crowe	3	15	0	5.0	7

View Boise State's Full Roster

Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2
Sheldon Newton (Tr)	19	2	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	309	477	65%	3502	25	6	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevyon Ducker	148	719	7	4.9	86
Brandon Thomas	57	335	9	5.9	57
Seth Henigan	80	190	1	2.4	23
Roc Taylor	2	5	0	2.5	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	66	950	2	14.4	48
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)	45	677	6	15.0	89
Kobe Drake	39	484	1	12.4	29
Jevyon Ducker	15	110	0	7.3	31

View Memphis's Full Roster

Memphis's DC Matt Barnes

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Cameron Smith	24	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4
Cormontae Hamilton	6	1	1	3	1
Zy Brockington	11	1	1	0	0
Cameron Smith	24	2	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4