Boise State at Utah State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at Utah State Aggies

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -9.5 (69.5)
Boise State 27 - Utah State: 3 (Mountain West)

Broncos (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Andy Avalos (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (28 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USU is playing their 4th straight game
BSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ BSU -9.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 28 - USU: 31 (59)
BSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BSU Travel: 257 miles

Aggies (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Boise State at UCF	+6.5	67.0	L 31 - 36	U	Y
Fri 9/10	Boise State vs UTEP	-25.0	56.0	W 54 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Boise State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	58.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Boise State at Utah State	-9.5	69.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Boise State vs Nevada	-3.5	59.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/9	Boise State at BYU	+6.0	58.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Boise State vs Air Force	-3.0	52.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Boise State at Colorado State	-2.0	51.5	W 28 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Boise State at Fresno State	+4.0	61.5	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/12	Boise State vs Wyoming	-14.0	49.0	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	48.0	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Boise State at San Diego State	-3.0	44.0	L 16 - 27	U	N
Fri 12/31	Boise State vs Central Michigan	-7.5	55.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Utah State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Utah State at Washington State	+17.5	66.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/10	Utah State vs North Dakota	-6.5	53.5	W 48 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	54.0	W 49 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Utah State vs Boise State	+9.5	69.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/1	Utah State vs BYU	+9.0	66.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Utah State at UNLV	-7.5	64.0	W 28 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/22	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	58.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Utah State vs Hawai'i	-3.5	66.0	W 51 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Utah State at New Mexico State	-18.0	72.0	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Utah State at San José State	+4.5	58.0	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Utah State vs Wyoming	-6.0	52.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/26	Utah State at New Mexico	-17.0	48.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Utah State at San Diego State	+6.5	49.5	W 46 - 13	O	Y
Sat 12/18	Utah State vs Oregon State	+7.0	68.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.19	43%	29.2	41%	2.75	122	44%	261	3.99	.13	38%	19	40%	37%	3.26	49.6	1.3	1.9
USU	.23	40%	32.6	35%	2.72	144	45%	303	3.54	.17	43%	24.4	42%	44%	3.32	55.6	1.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)		49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)		39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	12	29.2	28	43%	3.99	1.3	22	383	122	261	3.2	47%	53%	41%	44%	15%	.19
USU Defense	14	24.4	30.7	42.7%	3.32	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	44%	20%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	12	19	19.3	38.5%	3.26	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	37%	17%	.13
USU Offense	14	32.6	27.5	39.8%	3.54	1.6	24	447	144	303	3.6	49%	51%	35%	45%	18%	.23

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	12	29:57	22	44%	38%	5	49.6	1.3	1.9	5.5	2.3	4	29.8
Utah State	14	29:16	23.7	44%	53%	6.2	55.6	1.6	1.9	7.6	2.3	2	28.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	12	47%	41%	38.3	122.2	3.2	15	.05	2.75	69%	10%	0.84
USU Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.71	61%	14%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	12	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	67%	11%	0.93
USU Offense	14	49%	35%	40.3	143.8	3.6	13		2.72	60%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	12	53%	44%	21.2	34.2	260.6	7.6	12.3	20	10	.31	1.5	32%	34%	.45	5%	2
USU Defense	14	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.5	34%	29%	.35	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	12	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.22	1.7	34%	26%	.22	6%	2.2
USU Offense	14	51%	45%	21.6	36	303.4	8.4	14	41	15	.47	1.8	34%	33%	.41	7%	2.2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #69
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #23

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: Utah State: 2.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 9.4 Utah State: 0.1

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 2.55 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #80
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #69
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.3

Boise State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 31
Boise State 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 37
Boise State 28

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 28
Utah State 25

Total Points: 53

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.7

Utah State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Utah State	24	Boise State	25	Boise State -1.5	Utah State	54.5	Under
2024	10/05	Boise State	62	Utah State	30	Boise State -28	Boise State	66.5	Over
2023	11/18	Utah State	10	Boise State	45	Boise State -5.5	Boise State	62.5	Under
2022	11/25	Boise State	42	Utah State	23	Boise State -17	Boise State	51.5	Over
2021	09/25	Utah State	3	Boise State	27	Boise State -9.5	Boise State	69.5	Under
2020	10/24	Boise State	42	Utah State	13	Boise State -17	Boise State	51.0	Over
2019	11/23	Utah State	21	Boise State	56	Boise State -9.5	Boise State	53.0	Over
2018	11/24	Boise State	33	Utah State	24	Boise State -2.5	Boise State	65.0	Under
2017	10/28	Utah State	14	Boise State	41	Boise State -13	Boise State	51.5	Over
2016	10/01	Boise State	21	Utah State	10	Boise State -19.5	Utah State	60.5	Under
2015	10/16	Utah State	52	Boise State	26	Boise State -8.5	Utah State	50.5	Over
2014	11/29	Boise State	50	Utah State	19	Boise State -9	Boise State	0
2013	10/12	Utah State	23	Boise State	34	Boise State -7.5	Boise State	0
2010	12/04	Boise State	50	Utah State	14
2009	11/20	Utah State	21	Boise State	52
2008	11/08	Boise State	49	Utah State	14
2007	11/10	Utah State	0	Boise State	52
2006	11/18	Boise State	49	Utah State	10
2005	10/22	Utah State	21	Boise State	45
2002	09/28	Boise State	63	Utah State	38
2000	11/10	Boise State	66	Utah State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	1	3	6 Overs
Boise State	20	10	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	7 - 6	5 - 1	2 - 5
Road Teams	9 - 12	6 - 7	5 - 2	1 - 5

(#) BSU at (#) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#80
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#89
OffenseOff	#77	#72
DefenseDef	#32	#100
Spec TeamsST	#66	#71
TalentTal	#70	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

Utah State Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#77	#100
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#61	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#105	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#109	#54
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#113	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#26

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#88	#112
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60°

Rematch from Week 4
Boise State 9.5 (69.5)
Boise State won at Utah State this year (27-3)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Utah State last year (62-30)
Boise State beat Utah State in 2023 (45-10)
Boise State beat Utah State in 2022 (42-23)

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD