UNLV at Boise State Game Matchup
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Friday, December 6th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Boise State -3.5 (57.5) (-200)  Open: -3.5 | 58.5
Boise State 21 - UNLV: 7  (Mountain West Championship)

 
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 26.6°
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
BSU is playing their 7th straight game
UNLV is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -8   (SP+ BSU -1)

Projected Score: UNLV: 25 - BSU: 33 (58)
BSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 517 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV at Houston+3.056.0W 27 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.555.5W 72 - 14OY
Fri 9/13 UNLV vs Kansas+7.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV vs Fresno State-2.551.0W 59 - 14OY
Fri 10/4 UNLV vs Syracuse-5.555.5L 41 - 44ON
Fri 10/11 UNLV at Utah State-19.067.5W 50 - 34ON
Sat 10/19 UNLV at Oregon State-6.561.0W 33 - 25UY
Fri 10/25 UNLV vs Boise State+4.064.0L 24 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UNLV at Hawai'i-12.051.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs San Diego State-22.055.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 11/22 UNLV at San José State-7.559.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/30 UNLV vs Nevada-17.554.5W 38 - 14UY
Fri 12/6 UNLV at Boise State+3.557.5L 7 - 21UN
Wed 12/18 UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 4, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Boise State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Boise State at Georgia Southern-13.057.5W 56 - 45ON
Sat 9/7 Boise State at Oregon+17.560.5L 34 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Boise State vs Portland State-43.069.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Boise State vs Washington State-6.566.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/5 Boise State vs Utah State-28.066.5W 62 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-21.060.0W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/25 Boise State at UNLV-4.064.0W 29 - 24UY
Fri 11/1 Boise State vs San Diego State-24.555.5W 56 - 24OY
Sat 11/9 Boise State vs Nevada-23.560.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 Boise State at San José State-14.562.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/23 Boise State at Wyoming-22.054.0W 17 - 13UN
Fri 11/29 Boise State vs Oregon State-17.558.5W 34 - 18UN
Fri 12/6 Boise State vs UNLV-3.557.5W 21 - 7UY
Tue 12/31 Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#38 (.27)43% (58)35.440% (101)3.17 (58)17446% (28)2394.19 (40)#115 (.26)42% (65)21.341% (52)43% (93)4.08 (94)61.81.41.9
BSU#19 (.3)47% (21)37.351% (10)3.46 (9)21542% (69)2214.2 (38)#90 (.22)41% (59)22.644% (79)40% (42)4.04 (90)321.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1435.428.842.5%4.191.4204131742394.554%45%40%46%13%.27
BSU Defense1422.619.741.3%4.041.4 - - - - - 46%53%44%40%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1421.321.741.7%4.081.9 - - - - - 53%46%41%43%13%.26
BSU Offense1437.343.146.6%4.21.5214362152215.457%42%51%42%14%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1428:0620.349%45%6.961.81.41.941.4133.1
Boise State1431:1121.446%82%3.7321.51.45.92.5029.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1454% (36)40% (101)38.4173.54.539 (2).2 (40)3.17 (58)76% (43)8% (29)1.18 (3)
BSU Defense1446% (24)44% (79) - - - - .19 (95)3.08 (59)66% (29)11% (34)1.09 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1453% (109)41% (52) - - - - .11 (50)3.1 (69)78% (101)8% (113)0.95 (42)
BSU Offense1457% (19)51% (10)40214.95.434 (7).3 (6)3.46 (9)84% (6)8% (34)1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1445% (96)46% (28)17.928.9239.28.313.317 (85)12 (85).37 (30)1.6 (56)32% (81)33% (43).4 (44)5% (42)2.1 (59)
BSU Defense1453% (112)40% (42) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (72)1.7 (91)33% (48)32% (91).37 (95)6% (72)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1446% (24)43% (93) - - - - - - 17 (3).48 (133)1.9 (133)33% (52)29% (55).32 (72)4% (128)2.1 (69)
BSU Offense1442% (117)42% (69)15.426.6221.38.314.320 (70)13 (97).38 (29)1.8 (12)29% (16)34% (38).38 (56)6% (66)2.1 (57)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.14 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.14   Boise State: 14.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 9.3   Boise State: 10.1




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Boise State's Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Boise State's Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
2024 Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 33
UNLV 25


Projected Total Points: 58
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/25UNLV24Boise State29Boise StateBoise State -4.0Boise State64.0Under
202412/06Boise State21UNLV7Boise StateBoise State -3.5Boise State57.5Under
202312/02UNLV20Boise State44Boise StateBoise State -2.5Boise State58.0Over
201910/05UNLV13Boise State38Boise StateBoise State -24Boise State57.0Under
201611/18Boise State42UNLV25Boise StateBoise State -26.5UNLV63.0Over
201510/31UNLV27Boise State55Boise StateBoise State -21Boise State53.5Over
201210/20Boise State32UNLV7Boise State
201111/05UNLV21Boise State48Boise State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State853 Overs
UNLV013 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 51 - 51 - 10 - 4
Road Teams5 - 35 - 14 - 01 - 1

(#46) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.14 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
UNLV     Ratings Matchup     Boise State
Power #46
#16
Off #81
#10
Def #27
#22
Talent #96
#69
SP+ #36
#29
SP+ Off #31
#17
SP+ Def #55
#50

Rematch from Week 15
Boise State -3.5 (57.5)
Boise State won vs UNLV this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat UNLV last year (21-7)
Boise State beat UNLV in 2023 (44-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 27°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | BSU
Depth Chart: UNLV | BSU
Rosters: UNLV | BSU
(#16) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Boise State Notes
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)
(8/11) Top 5/6 WR return along with good TE
(7/30) One of best G5 backfields + 3/5 of OL back.
(7/30) HC Danielson 1st full year, OC is Dirk Koetter


  
UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)16185195.371
Kylin James (Tr)8965357.386
Matthew Sluka (Tr)3925316.546
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929
Casey Cain (Tr)7136219.450

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Marsel McDuffie468214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad845126
Fisher Camac4615815
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015

Boise State's OC Dirk Koetter
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen24739662%30182367.6
Malachi Nelson (Tr)121771%128017.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Maddux Madsen5722153.949
Sire Gaines2015617.838
Dylan Riley2213526.164
Jambres Dubar259924.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Camper (Tr)58903415.653
Matt Lauter48629713.153
Latrell Caples38473512.436
Prince Strachan25304112.237

View Boise State's Full Roster
Boise State's DC Erik Chinander
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield825013
Zion Washington674006
Marco Notarainni608433
A'Marion McCoy6020112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin40161050
Braxton Fely249610
Marco Notarainni608433
Max Stege145300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Zion Washington674006
Jeremiah Earby (Tr)341006