Utah State Aggies at Boise State Broncos
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -28 (66.5) (-6500) Open: -25.0
Boise State 62 - Utah State: 30 (Mountain West)
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
BSU 3rd straight Home Game
USU coming off BYE
Our Line: Boise State -26 (SP+ BSU -21)
Projected Score: USU: 20 - BSU: 46 (65)
BSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
USU Travel: 257 miles
USU coming off BYE
Our Line: Boise State -26 (SP+ BSU -21)
Projected Score: USU: 20 - BSU: 46 (65)
BSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
USU Travel: 257 miles
Broncos (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
| Utah State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Utah State vs Robert Morris | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Utah State at USC | +30.5 | 62.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Utah State vs Utah | +20.5 | 43.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Utah State at Temple | -6.5 | 53.5 | L 29 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Utah State at Boise State | +28.0 | 66.5 | L 30 - 62 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Utah State vs UNLV | +19.0 | 67.5 | L 34 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Utah State vs New Mexico | +1.0 | 78.5 | L 45 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Utah State at Wyoming | -2.5 | 57.0 | W 27 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Utah State at Washington State | +20.5 | 69.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Utah State vs Hawai'i | +2.5 | 62.0 | W 55 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Utah State vs San Diego State | -5.0 | 60.0 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Utah State at Colorado State | +5.5 | 56.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Boise State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Boise State at Georgia Southern | -13.0 | 57.5 | W 56 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Boise State at Oregon | +17.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Boise State vs Portland State | -43.0 | 69.5 | W 56 - 14 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Boise State vs Washington State | -6.5 | 66.0 | W 45 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Boise State vs Utah State | -28.0 | 66.5 | W 62 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Boise State at Hawai'i | -21.0 | 60.0 | W 28 - 7 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/25 | Boise State at UNLV | -4.0 | 64.0 | W 29 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/1 | Boise State vs San Diego State | -24.5 | 55.5 | W 56 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Boise State vs Nevada | -23.5 | 60.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Boise State at San José State | -14.5 | 62.0 | W 42 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Boise State at Wyoming | -22.0 | 54.0 | W 17 - 13 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Boise State vs Oregon State | -17.5 | 58.5 | W 34 - 18 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/6 | Boise State vs UNLV | -3.5 | 57.5 | W 21 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Boise State vs Penn State | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 14 - 31 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU | #50 (.22) | 42% (67) | 31.9 | 45% (52) | 3.36 (19) | 184 | 42% (68) | 254 | 3.27 (109) | #98 (.23) | 45% (114) | 37.8 | 49% (124) | 43% (82) | 4.41 (119) | 70.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| BSU | #19 (.3) | 47% (21) | 37.3 | 51% (10) | 3.46 (9) | 215 | 42% (69) | 221 | 4.2 (38) | #90 (.22) | 41% (59) | 22.6 | 44% (79) | 40% (42) | 4.04 (90) | 32 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| BSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 13 | 31.9 | 25.2 | 42.2% | 3.27 | 1.9 | 22 | 439 | 184 | 254 | 4.8 | 48% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 20% | .22 |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 22.6 | 19.7 | 41.3% | 4.04 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 44% | 40% | 17% | .22 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 13 | 37.8 | 45.2 | 45.4% | 4.41 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 49% | 43% | 18% | .23 |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 37.3 | 43.1 | 46.6% | 4.2 | 1.5 | 21 | 436 | 215 | 221 | 5.4 | 57% | 42% | 51% | 42% | 14% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 13 | 26:56 | 21.7 | 36% | 56% | 7.5 | 70.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 29.2 |
| Boise State | 14 | 31:11 | 21.4 | 46% | 82% | 3.7 | 32 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 29.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 13 | 48% (89) | 45% (52) | 38.2 | 184.5 | 4.8 | 18 (77) | .21 (33) | 3.36 (19) | 77% (40) | 12% (104) | 1 (68) |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 46% (24) | 44% (79) | - | - | - | - | .19 (95) | 3.08 (59) | 66% (29) | 11% (34) | 1.09 (108) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 13 | 54% (113) | 49% (124) | - | - | - | - | .18 (93) | 3.1 (68) | 83% (118) | 11% (39) | 0.93 (34) |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 57% (19) | 51% (10) | 40 | 214.9 | 5.4 | 34 (7) | .3 (6) | 3.46 (9) | 84% (6) | 8% (34) | 1.07 (31) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 13 | 50% (56) | 42% (68) | 20.7 | 33.5 | 254.2 | 7.6 | 12.3 | 35 (7) | 19 (131) | .34 (48) | 1.8 (19) | 33% (87) | 33% (53) | .42 (40) | 8% (122) | 2.2 (30) |
| BSU Defense | 14 | 53% (112) | 40% (42) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .28 (72) | 1.7 (91) | 33% (48) | 32% (91) | .37 (95) | 6% (72) | 2.1 (80) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 13 | 45% (22) | 43% (82) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .31 (95) | 1.6 (71) | 30% (108) | 31% (77) | .31 (70) | 7% (23) | 1.9 (32) |
| BSU Offense | 14 | 42% (117) | 42% (69) | 15.4 | 26.6 | 221.3 | 8.3 | 14.3 | 20 (70) | 13 (97) | .38 (29) | 1.8 (12) | 29% (16) | 34% (38) | .38 (56) | 6% (66) | 2.1 (57) |
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -12.03 Boise State: 14.725
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4 Boise State: 10.1
Utah State: -12.03 Boise State: 14.725
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4 Boise State: 10.1
Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Boise State's Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Boise State's Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
2024 Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Boise State's Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Boise State's Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Boise State's Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
2024 Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 46
Utah State 20
Projected Total Points: 65
Boise State 46
Utah State 20
Projected Total Points: 65
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7
Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7
Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Boise State | 62 | Utah State | 30 | Boise State | Boise State -28 | Boise State | 66.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Utah State | 10 | Boise State | 45 | Boise State | Boise State -5.5 | Boise State | 62.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/25 | Boise State | 42 | Utah State | 23 | Boise State | Boise State -17 | Boise State | 51.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 09/25 | Utah State | 3 | Boise State | 27 | Boise State | Boise State -9.5 | Boise State | 69.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/24 | Boise State | 42 | Utah State | 13 | Boise State | Boise State -17 | Boise State | 51.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/23 | Utah State | 21 | Boise State | 56 | Boise State | Boise State -9.5 | Boise State | 53.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Boise State | 33 | Utah State | 24 | Boise State | Boise State -2.5 | Boise State | 65.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/28 | Utah State | 14 | Boise State | 41 | Boise State | Boise State -13 | Boise State | 51.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/01 | Boise State | 21 | Utah State | 10 | Boise State | Boise State -19.5 | Utah State | 60.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/16 | Utah State | 52 | Boise State | 26 | Utah State | Boise State -8.5 | Utah State | 50.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Boise State | 50 | Utah State | 19 | Boise State | Boise State -9 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/12 | Utah State | 23 | Boise State | 34 | Boise State | Boise State -7.5 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2010 | 12/04 | Boise State | 50 | Utah State | 14 | Boise State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/20 | Utah State | 21 | Boise State | 52 | Boise State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | Boise State | 49 | Utah State | 14 | Boise State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/10 | Utah State | 0 | Boise State | 52 | Boise State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Boise State | 49 | Utah State | 10 | Boise State | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | Utah State | 21 | Boise State | 45 | Boise State | ||||
| 2002 | 09/28 | Boise State | 63 | Utah State | 38 | Boise State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/10 | Boise State | 66 | Utah State | 38 | Boise State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 19 | 10 | 6 Overs |
| Utah State | 1 | 2 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 8 | 6 - 6 | 5 - 1 | 1 - 5 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 12 | 6 - 6 | 5 - 1 | 1 - 5 |
(#105) Utah State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Power #105
#16Off #19
#10Def #123
#22Talent #115
#69SP+ #106
#29SP+ Off #45
#17SP+ Def #129
#50Rematch from Week 6
Boise State -28.0 (66.5)
Boise State won vs Utah State this year (62-30)
Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Utah State last year (62-30)
Boise State beat Utah State in 2023 (45-10)
Boise State beat Utah State in 2022 (42-23)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72° - Wind: 6 mph
Team Information
Injuries: USU | BSU
Depth Chart: USU | BSU
Rosters: USU | BSU
(#16) Boise State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Boise State Notes
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)
(8/11) Top 5/6 WR return along with good TE
(7/30) One of best G5 backfields + 3/5 of OL back.
(7/30) HC Danielson 1st full year, OC is Dirk Koetter
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.725 #16
Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Boise State Notes
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)
(8/11) Top 5/6 WR return along with good TE
(7/30) One of best G5 backfields + 3/5 of OL back.
(7/30) HC Danielson 1st full year, OC is Dirk Koetter
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Petras (Tr) | 214 | 327 | 65% | 2315 | 17 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 77 | 126 | 61% | 856 | 12 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahsul Faison | 198 | 1109 | 8 | 5.6 | 37 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 68 | 530 | 5 | 7.8 | 63 |
| Herschel Turner | 79 | 405 | 4 | 5.1 | 43 |
| Derrick Jameson | 15 | 140 | 2 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Tia | 44 | 434 | 7 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Jack Hestera (Tr) | 24 | 340 | 4 | 14.2 | 32 |
| Grant Page | 33 | 281 | 2 | 8.5 | 35 |
| Josh Sterzer | 20 | 202 | 4 | 10.1 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jon Ross Maye | 57 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Slone | 49 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Lawrence Falatea (Tr) | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Avante Dickerson | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 247 | 396 | 62% | 3018 | 23 | 6 | 7.6 |
| Malachi Nelson (Tr) | 12 | 17 | 71% | 128 | 0 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddux Madsen | 57 | 221 | 5 | 3.9 | 49 |
| Sire Gaines | 20 | 156 | 1 | 7.8 | 38 |
| Dylan Riley | 22 | 135 | 2 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Jambres Dubar | 25 | 99 | 2 | 4.0 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Camper (Tr) | 58 | 903 | 4 | 15.6 | 53 |
| Matt Lauter | 48 | 629 | 7 | 13.1 | 53 |
| Latrell Caples | 38 | 473 | 5 | 12.4 | 36 |
| Prince Strachan | 25 | 304 | 1 | 12.2 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Benefield | 82 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Zion Washington | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Marco Notarainni | 60 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| A'Marion McCoy | 60 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Virgin | 40 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| Braxton Fely | 24 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Marco Notarainni | 60 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Max Stege | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'Marion McCoy | 60 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| Zion Washington | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jeremiah Earby (Tr) | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |