Wyoming at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (5:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -4.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boise State 32 - Wyoming: 7 (Mountain West)

Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
WYO coming off BYE
BSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Boise State -11 (SP+ BSU -11)
Projected Score: WYO: 21 - BSU: 32 (54)
BSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 564 miles

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wyoming vs Texas Tech	+13.0	50.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Wyoming vs Portland State	-28.0	51.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wyoming at Texas	+31.0	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Wyoming vs App State	-3.0	45.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-14.5	40.5	W 35 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/7	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+5.5	43.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wyoming at Air Force	+12.5	42.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Wyoming at Boise State	+4.5	48.5	L 7 - 32	U	N
Fri 11/3	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-6.0	41.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Wyoming at UNLV	+2.5	48.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.5	45.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Wyoming at Nevada	-11.0	42.0	W 42 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	.12	41%	19.3	46%	3.26	181	35%	132	3.65	.17	41%	28.3	46%	37%	3.9	37.5	1.2	1.4
BSU	.23	43%	37.3	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	22.6	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	13	19.3	18.7	40.7%	3.65	1.2	16	314	181	132	4.9	59%	40%	46%	35%	15%	.12
BSU Defense	14	22.6	19.7	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	13	28.3	33.2	41.1%	3.9	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	37%	14%	.17
BSU Offense	14	37.3	43.1	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	13	29:06	16	35%	29%	4.3	37.5	1.2	1.4	5.1	2.8	2	28.5
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	13	59%	46%	36.8	181.4	4.9	16	.22	3.26	65%	8%	1.02
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.38	81%	9%	0.94
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	13	40%	35%	12	23.4	132.2	5.7	11	11	12	.05	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.19	1.6	35%	30%	.33	5%	2.1
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 516.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -0.77 Boise State: 8.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -3.8 Boise State: 7.4

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 32
Wyoming 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Wyoming	13	Boise State	17	Boise State	Boise State -22	Wyoming	54.0	Under
2023	10/28	Boise State	32	Wyoming	7	Boise State	Boise State -4.5	Boise State	48.5	Under
2022	11/19	Wyoming	17	Boise State	20	Boise State	Boise State -14.5	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2021	11/12	Boise State	23	Wyoming	13	Boise State	Boise State -14	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2020	12/12	Wyoming	9	Boise State	17	Boise State	Boise State -9	Wyoming	47.0	Under
2019	11/09	Boise State	20	Wyoming	17	Boise State	Boise State -16	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2018	09/29	Wyoming	14	Boise State	34	Boise State	Boise State -15.5	Boise State	47.5	Over
2017	10/21	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14	Boise State	Boise State -15	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2016	10/29	Wyoming	30	Boise State	28	Wyoming	Boise State -12.5	Wyoming	62.5	Under
2015	10/24	Boise State	34	Wyoming	14	Boise State	Boise State -34	Wyoming	60.0	Under
2014	11/22	Wyoming	14	Boise State	63	Boise State	Boise State -16	Boise State	0
2013	11/16	Boise State	48	Wyoming	7	Boise State	Boise State -20	Boise State	0
2012	10/27	Wyoming	14	Boise State	45	Boise State
2011	11/26	Boise State	36	Wyoming	14	Boise State
2010	09/18	Wyoming	6	Boise State	51	Boise State
2007	09/15	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14	Boise State
2006	09/16	Wyoming	10	Boise State	17	Boise State
2003	09/27	Boise State	33	Wyoming	17	Boise State
2002	09/14	Wyoming	13	Boise State	35	Boise State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	18	4	1 Overs
Wyoming	1	8	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 10	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2

(#68) Wyoming Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65
Talent Rating: 516.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90

Team Profile

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,

Wyoming Ratings Matchup Boise State

Power #68

#37

Off #57

#28

Def #63

#58

Talent #85

#77

SP+ #78

#41

SP+ Off #81

#29

SP+ Def #65

#70

Rematch from Week 9
Boise State -4.5 (48.5)
Boise State won vs Wyoming this year (32-7)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Wyoming last year (17-13)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2023 (32-7)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2022 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 46° - Wind: 13 mph

Team Information
Injuries: WYO | BSU
Depth Chart: WYO | BSU
Rosters: WYO | BSU

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Wyoming's OC Tim Polasek

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Jayden Williams	1	17	17.0	17
Dawaiian McNeely	2	12	6.0	8
Will Pelissier	1	3	3.0	3
Devin Boddie Jr. (Tr)	1	2	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pelissier	14	212	0	15.1	41
Devin Boddie Jr. (Tr)	5	62	1	12.4	20
Nick Miles	9	60	0	6.7	25
Alex Brown	2	21	0	10.5	15

View Wyoming's Full Roster

Wyoming's DC Jay Sawvel

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Isaac White	57	2	0	0	2
Wyett Ekeler	46	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeVonne Harris	21	5	2	0	0
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Gavin Meyer	32	2	1	3	3
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Gavin Meyer	32	2	1	3	3
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2

Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Jeanty	374	2601	29	7.0	77
Taylen Green	156	602	8	3.9	41
Tyler Crowe	28	129	3	4.6	13
Jonah Dalmas	1	-2	0	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric McAlister	39	762	5	19.5	84
Ashton Jeanty	23	138	1	6.0	18
Tyler Crowe	3	15	0	5.0	7

View Boise State's Full Roster

Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2
Sheldon Newton (Tr)	19	2	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2