Wyoming at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (5:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -4.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boise State 32 - Wyoming: 7 (Mountain West)

Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WYO coming off BYE
BSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Boise State -11 (SP+ BSU -11)
Projected Score: WYO: 18 - BSU: 29 (48)
BSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 564 miles

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Andy Avalos (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wyoming vs Texas Tech	+13.0	50.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Wyoming vs Portland State	-28.0	51.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wyoming at Texas	+31.0	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Wyoming vs App State	-3.0	45.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-14.5	40.5	W 35 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/7	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+5.5	43.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wyoming at Air Force	+12.5	42.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Wyoming at Boise State	+4.5	48.5	L 7 - 32	U	N
Fri 11/3	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-6.0	41.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Wyoming at UNLV	+2.5	48.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.5	45.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Wyoming at Nevada	-11.0	42.0	W 42 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	.12	41%	16	46%	3.26	181	35%	132	3.65	.17	41%	20.5	46%	37%	3.9	37.5	1.2	1.4
BSU	.23	43%	29.9	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	24.1	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	13	16	11.3	40.7%	3.65	1.2	16	314	181	132	4.9	59%	40%	46%	35%	15%	.12
BSU Defense	14	24.1	22.3	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	13	20.5	22.7	41.1%	3.9	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	37%	14%	.17
BSU Offense	14	29.9	41.3	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	13	29:06	16	35%	29%	4.3	37.5	1.2	1.4	5.1	2.8	2	28.5
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	13	59%	46%	36.8	181.4	4.9	16	.22	3.26	65%	8%	1.02
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.38	81%	9%	0.94
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	13	40%	35%	12	23.4	132.2	5.7	11	11	12	.05	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.19	1.6	35%	30%	.33	5%	2.1
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 338.50 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -0.77 Boise State: 8.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -3.8 Boise State: 7.4

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 579.88 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 29
Wyoming 18

Projected Total Points: 48

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Wyoming	13	Boise State	17	Boise State -22	Wyoming	54.0	Under
2023	10/28	Boise State	32	Wyoming	7	Boise State -4.5	Boise State	48.5	Under
2022	11/19	Wyoming	17	Boise State	20	Boise State -14.5	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2021	11/12	Boise State	23	Wyoming	13	Boise State -14	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2020	12/12	Wyoming	9	Boise State	17	Boise State -9	Wyoming	47.0	Under
2019	11/09	Boise State	20	Wyoming	17	Boise State -16	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2018	09/29	Wyoming	14	Boise State	34	Boise State -15.5	Boise State	47.5	Over
2017	10/21	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14	Boise State -15	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2016	10/29	Wyoming	30	Boise State	28	Boise State -12.5	Wyoming	62.5	Under
2015	10/24	Boise State	34	Wyoming	14	Boise State -34	Wyoming	60.0	Under
2014	11/22	Wyoming	14	Boise State	63	Boise State -16	Boise State	0
2013	11/16	Boise State	48	Wyoming	7	Boise State -20	Boise State	0
2012	10/27	Wyoming	14	Boise State	45
2011	11/26	Boise State	36	Wyoming	14
2010	09/18	Wyoming	6	Boise State	51
2007	09/15	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14
2006	09/16	Wyoming	10	Boise State	17
2003	09/27	Boise State	33	Wyoming	17
2002	09/14	Wyoming	13	Boise State	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	18	4	1 Overs
Wyoming	1	8	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 10	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2

(#68) WYO at (#37) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	BSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#68	#37
SP+SP+	#78	#41
Perf GradeGrade	#29	#51
OffenseOff	#40	#26
DefenseDef	#24	#111
Spec TeamsST	#38	#64
TalentTal	#124	#72
Blue ChipsBC%	#69	#69

Wyoming Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#111
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#57	#58
SP+SP+	#81	#70
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#80	#113
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#130

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#109
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#26	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#28	#63
SP+SP+	#29	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#3	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#62

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#77	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Boise State -4.5 (48.5)
Boise State won vs Wyoming this year (32-7)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2024 (17-13)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2023 (32-7)

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Andrew Peasley	166	266	62%	1991	20	5	7.5
Evan Svoboda	23	38	61%	200	0	1	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)	164	947	5	5.8	75
Andrew Peasley	110	419	7	3.8	43
Sam Scott	51	241	2	4.7	19
Jamari Ferrell	50	184	1	3.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Wieland	44	480	5	10.9	40
Ayir Asante (Tr)	21	372	6	17.7	66
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	23	360	3	15.7	89
Treyton Welch	31	308	2	9.9	32

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5
Shae Suiaunoa	89	5	2	2	2
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	0	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeVonne Harris	31	4	4	8	4
Braden Siders	24	5	4	3	2
Sabastian Harsh	47	9	3	1	1
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jakorey Hawkins	39	1	0	8
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	6

BSU's OC Bush Hamdan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green	121	212	57%	1752	11	9	8.3
Maddux Madsen	81	132	61%	1191	9	3	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Jeanty	221	1351	14	6.1	68
George Holani	133	744	7	5.6	75
Taylen Green	78	436	9	5.6	70
Jambres Dubar	62	335	2	5.4	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric McAlister	47	873	5	18.6	83
Ashton Jeanty	43	569	5	13.2	75
Billy Bowens	28	383	1	13.7	52
Prince Strachan	12	274	2	22.8	74

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alexander Teubner	79	3	0	0	5
Andrew Simpson	65	16	7	5	2
Seyi Oladipo	60	9	2	1	4
Rodney Robinson	54	2	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ahmed Hassanein	50	17	13	7	0
Andrew Simpson	65	16	7	5	2
Ty Benefield	43	5	3	3	5
Braxton Fely	15	5	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Clark	52	2	0	1	8
Alexander Teubner	79	3	0	0	5
Ty Benefield	43	5	3	3	5