Wyoming at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (5:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -4.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 32 - Wyoming: 7  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (20 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WYO coming off BYE
BSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Boise State -11   (SP+ BSU -11)

Projected Score: WYO: 19 - BSU: 30 (49)
BSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 564 miles
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wyoming vs Texas Tech+13.050.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 9/9 Wyoming vs Portland State-28.051.0W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Wyoming at Texas+31.048.5L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Wyoming vs App State-3.045.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 9/30 Wyoming vs New Mexico-14.540.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 10/7 Wyoming vs Fresno State+5.543.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/14 Wyoming at Air Force+12.542.0L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Wyoming at Boise State+4.548.5L 7 - 32UN
Fri 11/3 Wyoming vs Colorado State-6.041.0W 24 - 15UY
Fri 11/10 Wyoming at UNLV+2.548.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Wyoming vs Hawai'i-13.545.5W 42 - 9OY
Sat 11/25 Wyoming at Nevada-11.042.0W 42 - 6OY
Sat 12/30 Wyoming vs Toledo-4.543.5W 16 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18OY
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19OY
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#71 (.19)43% (56)25.344% (60)3.25 (41)15843% (59)1693.97 (60)#76 (.19)43% (77)22.342% (58)44% (104)3.44 (40)33.40.81.7
BSU#19 (.3)47% (21)32.151% (10)3.46 (9)21542% (69)2214.2 (38)#90 (.22)41% (59)25.644% (79)40% (42)4.04 (90)321.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)49% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)39% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense1325.32043.1%3.970.8193271581694.456%44%44%43%14%.19
BSU Defense1425.617.241.3%4.041.4 - - - - - 46%53%44%40%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1322.327.442.6%3.441.7 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%14%.19
BSU Offense1432.132.346.6%4.21.5214362152215.457%42%51%42%14%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1330:1518.637%67%3.933.40.81.73.81.5128.9
Boise State1431:1121.446%82%3.7321.51.45.92.5029.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1356% (28)44% (60)36158.54.419 (69).17 (53)3.25 (41)82% (11)9% (53)1 (66)
BSU Defense1446% (24)44% (79) - - - - .19 (95)3.08 (59)66% (29)11% (34)1.09 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1348% (47)42% (58) - - - - .13 (64)3.17 (86)71% (55)7% (130)0.94 (38)
BSU Offense1457% (19)51% (10)40214.95.434 (7).3 (6)3.46 (9)84% (6)8% (34)1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1344% (106)43% (59)14.523.4168.57.211.620 (70)6 (14).23 (86)1.5 (101)29% (23)32% (61).3 (80)5% (20)2 (85)
BSU Defense1453% (112)40% (42) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (72)1.7 (91)33% (48)32% (91).37 (95)6% (72)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1351% (87)44% (104) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (79)1.5 (25)32% (74)31% (81).33 (77)6% (59)2 (64)
BSU Offense1442% (117)42% (69)15.426.6221.38.314.320 (70)13 (97).38 (29)1.8 (12)29% (16)34% (38).38 (56)6% (66)2.1 (57)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -0.77   Boise State: 8.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -3.8   Boise State: 7.4




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 30
Wyoming 19


Total Points: 49

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Wyoming13Boise State17Boise StateBoise State -22Wyoming54.0Under
202310/28Boise State32Wyoming7Boise StateBoise State -4.5Boise State48.5Under
202211/19Wyoming17Boise State20Boise StateBoise State -14.5Wyoming44.5Under
202111/12Boise State23Wyoming13Boise StateBoise State -14Wyoming49.0Under
202012/12Wyoming9Boise State17Boise StateBoise State -9Wyoming47.0Under
201911/09Boise State20Wyoming17Boise StateBoise State -16Wyoming49.0Under
201809/29Wyoming14Boise State34Boise StateBoise State -15.5Boise State47.5Over
201710/21Boise State24Wyoming14Boise StateBoise State -15Wyoming44.5Under
201610/29Wyoming30Boise State28WyomingBoise State -12.5Wyoming62.5Under
201510/24Boise State34Wyoming14Boise StateBoise State -34Wyoming60.0Under
201411/22Wyoming14Boise State63Boise StateBoise State -16Boise State0
201311/16Boise State48Wyoming7Boise StateBoise State -20Boise State0
201210/27Wyoming14Boise State45Boise State
201111/26Boise State36Wyoming14Boise State
201009/18Wyoming6Boise State51Boise State
200709/15Boise State24Wyoming14Boise State
200609/16Wyoming10Boise State17Boise State
200309/27Boise State33Wyoming17Boise State
200209/14Wyoming13Boise State35Boise State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State1841 Overs
Wyoming189 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 96 - 62 - 44 - 2
Road Teams9 - 106 - 62 - 44 - 2

(#68) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90


Wyoming has lost 1 straight
Wyoming has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming defense does not give up big plays (#3)
Wyoming has a great TO Margin (#54)
Wyoming commits very few Penalties (#95)

Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming offense is not Explosive (#122)
Wyoming does not Sack the QB (#64)
Wyoming Does Not Stuff Runs (#109)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBSUWYO
OverallOver#41#24
OffenseOff#23#37
DefenseDef#84#20
Special TeamsST#52#33
PassingPass#80#39
RushingRush#3#56
Run BlockRBLK#23#4
Pass BlockPBLK#67#84
Route RunningWR Rt#47#67
TacklingTkl#112#54
Run DefenseR Def#96#23
Pass Rush DefPRush#83#51
Coverage DefCov#76#46

Rematch from Week 9
Boise State -4.5 (48.5)
Boise State won vs Wyoming this year (32-7)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Wyoming last year (17-13)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2023 (32-7)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2022 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WYO | BSU
Depth Chart: WYO | BSU
Rosters: WYO | BSU
(#37) Boise State Info
Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90


Boise State has lost 1 straight
Boise State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (5 - 0 - 1 vs Spread)

Boise State Highlights
Boise State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Boise State has Really Good Running Game (#72)
Boise State offense is efficent (#42)
Boise State has a top Offensive Line (#71)
Boise State offense is good on 3rd downs
Boise State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Boise State commits very few Penalties (#38)

Boise State Deficiencies
Boise State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#136)


  
Wyoming's OC Tim Polasek
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Peasley16626662%19912057.5
Evan Svoboda233861%200015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)16494755.875
Andrew Peasley11041973.843
Sam Scott5124124.719
Jamari Ferrell5018413.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Wieland44480510.940
Ayir Asante (Tr)21372617.766
Johnmichael Gyllenborg23360315.789
Treyton Welch3130829.932

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Jay Sawvel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Gibbs1014235
Shae Suiaunoa895222
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeVonne Harris314484
Braden Siders245432
Sabastian Harsh479311
Easton Gibbs1014235
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakorey Hawkins391008
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106

Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green12121257%17521198.3
Maddux Madsen8113261%1191939.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty2211351146.168
George Holani13374475.675
Taylen Green7843695.670
Jambres Dubar6233525.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister47873518.683
Ashton Jeanty43569513.275
Billy Bowens28383113.752
Prince Strachan12274222.874

View Boise State's Full Roster
Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alexander Teubner793005
Andrew Simpson6516752
Seyi Oladipo609214
Rodney Robinson542012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmed Hassanein50171370
Andrew Simpson6516752
Ty Benefield435335
Braxton Fely155340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Clark522018
Alexander Teubner793005
Ty Benefield435335