Boise State at Wyoming - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Boise State -22 (54.0) (-2100) Open: -22.5
Boise State 17 - Wyoming: 13 (Mountain West)

Broncos (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BSU 2nd straight Road Game
BSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -25.5 (SP+ BSU -23.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 37 - WYO: 12 (49)
BSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
BSU Travel: 564 miles

Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Boise State at Georgia Southern	-13.0	57.5	W 56 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/7	Boise State at Oregon	+17.5	60.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Boise State vs Portland State	-43.0	69.5	W 56 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/28	Boise State vs Washington State	-6.5	66.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Boise State vs Utah State	-28.0	66.5	W 62 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Boise State at Hawai'i	-21.0	60.0	W 28 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/25	Boise State at UNLV	-4.0	64.0	W 29 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/1	Boise State vs San Diego State	-24.5	55.5	W 56 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Boise State vs Nevada	-23.5	60.5	W 28 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/16	Boise State at San José State	-14.5	62.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Boise State at Wyoming	-22.0	54.0	W 17 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/29	Boise State vs Oregon State	-17.5	58.5	W 34 - 18	U	N
Fri 12/6	Boise State vs UNLV	-3.5	57.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Boise State vs Penn State	+11.5	54.5	L 14 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Wyoming's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Wyoming at Arizona State	+6.5	47.0	L 7 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/7	Wyoming vs Idaho	-6.5	39.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wyoming vs BYU	+9.5	40.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/21	Wyoming at North Texas	+7.0	55.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/28	Wyoming vs Air Force	+4.0	33.5	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Wyoming vs San Diego State	-1.5	43.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/19	Wyoming at San José State	+13.0	53.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wyoming vs Utah State	+2.5	57.0	L 25 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Wyoming at New Mexico	+7.5	60.5	W 49 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Wyoming at Colorado State	+8.5	47.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Wyoming vs Boise State	+22.0	54.0	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Wyoming at Washington State	+18.5	55.5	W 15 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	#19 (.3)	47% (21)	29.9	51% (10)	3.46 (9)	215	42% (69)	221	4.2 (38)	#90 (.22)	41% (59)	24.1	44% (79)	40% (42)	4.04 (90)	32	1.5	1.4
WYO	#71 (.19)	43% (56)	16	44% (60)	3.25 (41)	158	43% (59)	169	3.97 (60)	#76 (.19)	43% (77)	20.5	42% (58)	44% (104)	3.44 (40)	33.4	0.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	29.9	19.8	46.6%	4.2	1.5	21	436	215	221	5.4	57%	42%	51%	42%	14%	.3
WYO Defense	13	20.5	18.3	42.6%	3.44	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	44%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	24.1	23.8	41.3%	4.04	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	44%	40%	17%	.22
WYO Offense	13	16	20.7	43.1%	3.97	0.8	19	327	158	169	4.4	56%	44%	44%	43%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	31:11	21.4	46%	82%	3.7	32	1.5	1.4	5.9	2.5	0	29.4
Wyoming	13	30:15	18.6	37%	67%	3.9	33.4	0.8	1.7	3.8	1.5	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	57% (19)	51% (10)	40	214.9	5.4	34 (7)	.3 (6)	3.46 (9)	84% (6)	8% (34)	1.07 (31)
WYO Defense	13	48% (47)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.13 (64)	3.17 (86)	71% (55)	7% (130)	0.94 (38)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	46% (24)	44% (79)	-	-	-	-	.19 (95)	3.08 (59)	66% (29)	11% (34)	1.09 (108)
WYO Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (60)	36	158.5	4.4	19 (69)	.17 (53)	3.25 (41)	82% (11)	9% (53)	1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	42% (117)	42% (69)	15.4	26.6	221.3	8.3	14.3	20 (70)	13 (97)	.38 (29)	1.8 (12)	29% (16)	34% (38)	.38 (56)	6% (66)	2.1 (57)
WYO Defense	13	51% (87)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (79)	1.5 (25)	32% (74)	31% (81)	.33 (77)	6% (59)	2 (64)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	53% (112)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (72)	1.7 (91)	33% (48)	32% (91)	.37 (95)	6% (72)	2.1 (80)
WYO Offense	13	44% (106)	43% (59)	14.5	23.4	168.5	7.2	11.6	20 (70)	6 (14)	.23 (86)	1.5 (101)	29% (23)	32% (61)	.3 (80)	5% (20)	2 (85)

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 14.35 #16
Boise State's Offense Rating: 26.91 #10
Boise State's Defense Rating: 4.29 #22
2024 Talent Rating: 318.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 259.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 14.35 Wyoming: -13.155

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 10.1 Wyoming: -13.6

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -13.155 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 213.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 37
Wyoming 12

Projected Total Points: 49

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Wyoming	13	Boise State	17	Boise State -22	Wyoming	54.0	Under
2023	10/28	Boise State	32	Wyoming	7	Boise State -4.5	Boise State	48.5	Under
2022	11/19	Wyoming	17	Boise State	20	Boise State -14.5	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2021	11/12	Boise State	23	Wyoming	13	Boise State -14	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2020	12/12	Wyoming	9	Boise State	17	Boise State -9	Wyoming	47.0	Under
2019	11/09	Boise State	20	Wyoming	17	Boise State -16	Wyoming	49.0	Under
2018	09/29	Wyoming	14	Boise State	34	Boise State -15.5	Boise State	47.5	Over
2017	10/21	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14	Boise State -15	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2016	10/29	Wyoming	30	Boise State	28	Boise State -12.5	Wyoming	62.5	Under
2015	10/24	Boise State	34	Wyoming	14	Boise State -34	Wyoming	60.0	Under
2014	11/22	Wyoming	14	Boise State	63	Boise State -16	Boise State	0
2013	11/16	Boise State	48	Wyoming	7	Boise State -20	Boise State	0
2012	10/27	Wyoming	14	Boise State	45
2011	11/26	Boise State	36	Wyoming	14
2010	09/18	Wyoming	6	Boise State	51
2007	09/15	Boise State	24	Wyoming	14
2006	09/16	Wyoming	10	Boise State	17
2003	09/27	Boise State	33	Wyoming	17
2002	09/14	Wyoming	13	Boise State	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	1	8	1 Overs
Boise State	18	4	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 10	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2

(#16) BSU at (#117) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#16	#117
SP+SP+	#29	#115
Perf GradeGrade	#15	#105
OffenseOff	#6	#118
DefenseDef	#40	#69
Spec TeamsST	#62	#94
TalentTal	#68	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	#74	#102

Boise State Notes(11/29) Beat down Beavs, Jeanty great, Madsen meh
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)
(8/11) Top 5/6 WR return along with good TE
(7/30) One of best G5 backfields + 3/5 of OL back.
(7/30) HC Danielson 1st full year, OC is Dirk Koetter
(7/30) MW Fav/G5 Co-Favs. TD+ favs in all but Oregon
Boise State Injury Report

Wyoming Notes(11/25) Fight w/ Boise, Off awful, Def fought hard in L
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising
(7/31) Exp'd team, great at home, can Off rise up?
Wyoming Injury Report

Boise State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#6	#69
SuccessSuc	#21	#77
ExplosiveExp	#32	#29
PPAPPA	#19	#76
PowerPwr	#10	#84
SP+SP+	#17	#95
Pts POPPO	#38	#40
HavocHav	#40	#118

Boise State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#1	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#10	#58
Run ExplRExp	#31	#38
PPAExp	#6	#64
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	#9	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#48	#100
TackleTak	-	#96

Boise State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BSU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#47	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#69	#104
Pass ExplPExl	#12	#25
PPAExp	#29	#79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#75
F7 HavocF7	#34	#130
DB HavocDB	#66	#59

Wyoming on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#40
SuccessSuc	#56	#59
ExplosiveExp	#103	#111
PPAPPA	#71	#90
PowerPwr	#122	#22
SP+SP+	#127	#50
Pts POPPO	#60	#90
HavocHav	#30	#45

Wyoming Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#125	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	#60	#79
Run ExplRExp	#66	#108
PPAExp	#53	#95
Run BlockR Blk	#60	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#59
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#48
TackleTak	-	#134

Wyoming Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#38
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#101	#91
PPAExp	#86	#72
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#112	#52
F7 HavocF7	#53	#34
DB HavocDB	#20	#72

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Boise State 22.0 (54.0)
Boise State won at Wyoming this year (17-13)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2024 (17-13)
Boise State beat Wyoming in 2023 (32-7)

BSU's OC Dirk Koetter (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maddux Madsen	247	396	62%	3018	23	6	7.6
Malachi Nelson (Tr)	12	17	71%	128	0	1	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Jeanty	374	2601	29	7.0	77
Maddux Madsen	57	221	5	3.9	49
Sire Gaines	20	156	1	7.8	38
Dylan Riley	22	135	2	6.1	64

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Camper (Tr)	58	903	4	15.6	53
Matt Lauter	48	629	7	13.1	53
Latrell Caples	38	473	5	12.4	36
Prince Strachan	25	304	1	12.2	37

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Benefield	82	5	0	1	3
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Zion Washington	67	4	0	0	6
A'Marion McCoy	60	2	0	1	12

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Virgin	40	16	10	5	0
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Braxton Fely	24	9	6	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A'Marion McCoy	60	2	1	12
Zion Washington	67	4	0	6
Jeremiah Earby (Tr)	34	1	0	6

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Svoboda	111	226	49%	1308	5	8	5.8
Kaden Anderson	70	120	58%	955	6	3	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Scott	92	435	3	4.7	43
Harrison Waylee	63	323	1	5.1	36
Jamari Ferrell	80	318	1	4.0	62
Evan Svoboda	109	237	5	2.2	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Sargent	23	480	2	20.9	70
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	30	425	3	14.2	63
Chris Durr Jr.	31	348	1	11.2	40
Tyler King (Tr)	17	236	0	13.9	36

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Isaac White	57	2	0	0	2
Wrook Brown	48	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tyce Westland	41	6	3	0
Sabastian Harsh	41	9	3	1
Braden Siders	20	4	2	0
DeVonne Harris	21	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrecus Davis	42	1	8
Keany Parks	41	1	7
Wrook Brown	48	1	6