San José State at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at Boise State Broncos

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -8 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boise State 35 - San José State: 27 (Mountain West)

Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU coming off BYE
BSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -10 (SP+ BSU -9)
Projected Score: SJSU: 24 - BSU: 34 (58)
BSU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
SJSU Travel: 526 miles, 1 hrs behind

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San José State at USC	+31.5	66.0	L 28 - 56	O	Y
Sun 9/3	San José State vs Oregon State	+14.0	56.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	San José State vs Cal Poly	-23.5	60.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	San José State at Toledo	+9.0	56.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San José State vs Air Force	+6.0	45.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	San José State at Boise State	+8.0	57.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	San José State at New Mexico	-6.5	55.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San José State vs Utah State	-4.0	65.0	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	San José State at Hawai'i	-10.5	57.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	San José State vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/18	San José State vs San Diego State	-16.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/25	San José State at UNLV	+3.5	58.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/23	San José State vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	.18	45%	28.4	48%	3.16	96	43%	272	4.25	.15	40%	27.5	40%	41%	3.42	48.5	0.8	1.8
BSU	.23	43%	37.3	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	22.6	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	12	28.4	25.4	45%	4.25	0.8	20	368	96	272	3.4	38%	61%	48%	43%	19%	.18
BSU Defense	14	22.6	19.7	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	12	27.5	27.6	39.7%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	41%	19%	.15
BSU Offense	14	37.3	43.1	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	12	28:36	20.4	37%	47%	5.8	48.5	0.8	1.8	7	3.3	0	31.4
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	12	38%	48%	28.6	96.2	3.4	19	.14	3.16	67%	10%	0.82
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	68%	13%	1
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	12	61%	43%	21.7	35.8	271.8	7.6	12.5	23	7	.25	1.5	30%	36%	.36	8%	1.8
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.37	6%	2.2
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -1.43 #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
2023 Talent Rating: 410.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.43 Boise State: 8.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9 Boise State: 7.4

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 34
San José State 24

Projected Total Points: 58

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	San José State	21	Boise State	42	Boise State	Boise State -14.5	Boise State	62.0	Over
2023	10/07	Boise State	35	San José State	27	Boise State	Boise State -8	Push	57.5	Over
2020	12/19	San José State	34	Boise State	20	San José State	Boise State -6.5	San José State	59.5	Under
2019	11/02	San José State	42	Boise State	52	Boise State	Boise State -16	San José State	60.0	Over
2016	11/04	Boise State	45	San José State	31	Boise State	Boise State -26.5	San José State	58.5	Over
2015	11/27	San José State	23	Boise State	40	Boise State	Boise State -10	Boise State	57.0	Over
2010	10/16	San José State	0	Boise State	48	Boise State
2009	10/31	Boise State	45	San José State	7	Boise State
2008	10/24	San José State	16	Boise State	33	Boise State
2007	11/03	Boise State	42	San José State	7	Boise State
2006	11/11	San José State	20	Boise State	23	Boise State
2005	10/15	Boise State	38	San José State	21	Boise State
2004	11/13	San José State	49	Boise State	56	Boise State
2003	10/25	Boise State	77	San José State	14	Boise State
2002	10/26	San José State	8	Boise State	45	Boise State
2001	11/17	Boise State	56	San José State	6	Boise State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	15	2	5 Overs
San José State	1	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 8	2 - 3	0 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 8	3 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0

(#71) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.43 #71
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 410.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50

Team Profile

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San José State Ratings Matchup Boise State

Power #71

#37

Off #42

#28

Def #79

#58

Talent #110

#77

SP+ #73

#41

SP+ Off #48

#29

SP+ Def #87

#70

Rematch from Week 6
Boise State -8.0 (57.5)
Boise State won vs San José State this year (35-27)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat San José State last year (42-21)
Boise State beat San José State in 2023 (35-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80°

Team Information
Injuries: SJSU | BSU
Depth Chart: SJSU | BSU
Rosters: SJSU | BSU

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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San José State's OC Kevin McGiven

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Nash	2	2	100%	42	2	0	21.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quali Conley (Tr)	150	745	8	5.0	58
Dominick Mazotti	1	3	0	3.0	3
Anthony Garcia	1	1	0	1.0	1
Nick Nash	1	-9	0	-9.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	104	1382	16	13.3	45
Justin Lockhart	53	983	5	18.5	57
Quali Conley (Tr)	39	245	1	6.3	16
Sam Olson	13	196	2	15.1	51

View San José State's Full Roster

San José State's DC Derrick Odum

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
Tre Smith	48	7	5	2	0
Justin Eklund	15	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
Tre Smith	48	7	5	2	0
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Jairus Satele	5	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Bryun Parham	12	0	0	0	1
Elijah Wood	1	0	0	0	1

Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Jeanty	374	2601	29	7.0	77
Taylen Green	156	602	8	3.9	41
Tyler Crowe	28	129	3	4.6	13
Jonah Dalmas	1	-2	0	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric McAlister	39	762	5	19.5	84
Ashton Jeanty	23	138	1	6.0	18
Tyler Crowe	3	15	0	5.0	7

View Boise State's Full Roster

Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ahmed Hassanein	48	16	10	3	0
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2
Sheldon Newton (Tr)	19	2	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alexander Teubner	57	5	2	1	3
Seyi Oladipo	68	11	7	1	2
Rodney Robinson	48	6	4	2	2