San José State at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview
San José State logo   San José State Spartans at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -8 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 35 - San José State: 27  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SJSU coming off BYE
BSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -10  (SP+ BSU -9)
Projected Score: SJSU: 23 - BSU: 33 (57)
BSU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
SJSU Travel: 526 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Andy Avalos (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San José State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 San José State at USC+31.566.0L 28 - 56OY
Sun 9/3 San José State vs Oregon State+14.056.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 9/9 San José State vs Cal Poly-23.560.0W 59 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 San José State at Toledo+9.056.5L 17 - 21UY
Fri 9/22 San José State vs Air Force+6.045.5L 20 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 San José State at Boise State+8.057.5L 27 - 35OY
Sat 10/14 San José State at New Mexico-6.555.0W 52 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 San José State vs Utah State-4.065.0W 42 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 San José State at Hawai'i-10.557.0W 35 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 San José State vs Fresno State-2.551.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/18 San José State vs San Diego State-16.548.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 11/25 San José State at UNLV+3.558.5W 37 - 31OY
Sat 12/23 San José State vs Coastal Carolina-7.548.0L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18OY
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19OY
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU.1845%21.448%3.169643%2724.25.1540%32.540%41%3.4248.50.81.8
BSU.2343%29.946%3.3419739%1894.07.0935%24.139%30%3.3847.41.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense1221.41745%4.250.820368962723.438%61%48%43%19%.18
BSU Defense1424.122.334.6%3.381.5 - - - - - 56%43%39%30%18%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1232.535.539.7%3.421.8 - - - - - 51%48%40%41%19%.15
BSU Offense1429.941.342.9%4.071.220386197189556%44%46%39%16%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1228:3620.437%47%5.848.50.81.873.3031.4
Boise State1430:5019.540%59%5.647.41.21.55.12.1231.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1238%48%28.696.23.419.143.1667%10%0.82
BSU Defense1456%39% - - - - .112.9376%12%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1251%40% - - - - .14368%13%1
BSU Offense1456%46%39.2196.5527.23.3476%9%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1261%43%21.735.8271.87.612.5237.251.530%36%.368%1.8
BSU Defense1443%30% - - - - - - 15.121.935%19%.096%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 13.231.629%29%.376%2.2
BSU Offense1444%39%16.427.5189.26.911.6209.321.731%32%.457%2.2

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -1.43  #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30  #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51  #79
2023 Talent Rating: 513.83  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.43   Boise State: 8.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9   Boise State: 7.4




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.485  #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76  #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84  #58
2023 Talent Rating: 579.88  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #70

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 33
San José State 23

Projected Total Points: 57
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16San José State21Boise State42Boise State -14.5Boise State62.0Over
202310/07Boise State35San José State27Boise State -8Push57.5Over
202012/19San José State34Boise State20Boise State -6.5San José State59.5Under
201911/02San José State42Boise State52Boise State -16San José State60.0Over
201611/04Boise State45San José State31Boise State -26.5San José State58.5Over
201511/27San José State23Boise State40Boise State -10Boise State57.0Over
201010/16San José State0Boise State48
200910/31Boise State45San José State7
200810/24San José State16Boise State33
200711/03Boise State42San José State7
200611/11San José State20Boise State23
200510/15Boise State38San José State21
200411/13San José State49Boise State56
200310/25Boise State77San José State14
200210/26San José State8Boise State45
200111/17Boise State56San José State6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State1525 Overs
San José State131 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 82 - 30 - 12 - 2
Road Teams8 - 83 - 22 - 21 - 0

(#71) SJSU at (#37) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSJSUBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #71 #37
SP+SP+ #73 #41
Perf GradeGrade #62 #51
OffenseOff #33 #26
DefenseDef #105 #111
Spec TeamsST #35 #64
TalentTal #86 #72
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #69
San José State on Offense
CategoryCat
SJSU OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #111
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #42 #58
SP+SP+ #48 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San José State Run Game
CategoryCat
SJSU OffBSU Def
Run GameRun #15 #113
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
San José State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SJSU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePass #25 #94
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #109
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCatBSU OffSJSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #26 #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #28 #79
SP+SP+ #29 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #3 #131
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #109
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCatBSU OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #95 #30
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77 #64
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Boise State -8.0 (57.5)
Boise State won vs San José State this year (35-27)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat San José State in 2024 (42-21)
Boise State beat San José State in 2023 (35-27)

  
SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chevan Cordeiro22336361%27732047.6
Jay Butterfield (Tr)71164%80107.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kairee Robinson1691191187.052
Quali Conley (Tr)13184296.468
Chevan Cordeiro8127233.428
Isaac Jernigan128607.245
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Nash48728815.258
Charles Ross26347113.335
Dominick Mazotti23322214.044
Sam Olson22310314.156

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryun Parham1065242
Jordan Pollard794000
Tre Jenkins671004
Tre Smith6710740
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith6710740
Soane Toia356400
Noah Lavulo497450
Jay Kakiva437300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay'Vion Cole3821010
D.J. Harvey (Tr)282005
Tre Jenkins671004

BSU's OC Bush Hamdan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green12121257%17521198.3
Maddux Madsen8113261%1191939.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty2211351146.168
George Holani13374475.675
Taylen Green7843695.670
Jambres Dubar6233525.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister47873518.683
Ashton Jeanty43569513.275
Billy Bowens28383113.752
Prince Strachan12274222.874

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alexander Teubner793005
Andrew Simpson6516752
Seyi Oladipo609214
Rodney Robinson542012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmed Hassanein50171370
Andrew Simpson6516752
Ty Benefield435335
Braxton Fely155340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Clark522018
Alexander Teubner793005
Ty Benefield435335