San José State at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at Boise State Broncos

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -8 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boise State 35 - San José State: 27 (Mountain West)

Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (33 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU coming off BYE
BSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -10 (SP+ BSU -9)
Projected Score: SJSU: 23 - BSU: 33 (55)
BSU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
SJSU Travel: 526 miles, 1 hrs behind

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San José State at USC	+31.5	66.0	L 28 - 56	O	Y
Sun 9/3	San José State vs Oregon State	+14.0	56.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	San José State vs Cal Poly	-23.5	60.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	San José State at Toledo	+9.0	56.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San José State vs Air Force	+6.0	45.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	San José State at Boise State	+8.0	57.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	San José State at New Mexico	-6.5	55.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San José State vs Utah State	-4.0	65.0	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	San José State at Hawai'i	-10.5	57.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	San José State vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/18	San José State vs San Diego State	-16.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/25	San José State at UNLV	+3.5	58.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/23	San José State vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	#22 (.29)	45% (29)	31.8	48% (23)	3.21 (48)	184	43% (51)	219	3.73 (81)	#104 (.24)	43% (79)	25.6	45% (91)	41% (60)	3.86 (74)	49.1	0.8	1.6
BSU	#19 (.3)	47% (21)	32.1	51% (10)	3.46 (9)	215	42% (69)	221	4.2 (38)	#90 (.22)	41% (59)	25.6	44% (79)	40% (42)	4.04 (90)	32	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	#71 (.18)	44% (56)		41% (98)	2.27 (133)	88	46% (28)	322	3.6 (96)	#27 (.1)	41% (57)		42% (66)	39% (47)	3.58 (44)	61.5	2.2	2.2
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)		49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)		39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	13	31.8	32.7	45.5%	3.73	0.8	21	404	184	219	5.6	50%	50%	48%	43%	15%	.29
BSU Defense	14	25.6	17.2	41.3%	4.04	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	44%	40%	17%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	13	25.6	27.8	42.8%	3.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	41%	15%	.24
BSU Offense	14	32.1	32.3	46.6%	4.2	1.5	21	436	215	221	5.4	57%	42%	51%	42%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	13	30:35	20.8	45%	37%	5.7	49.1	0.8	1.6	4.8	1.6	3	34.5
Boise State	14	31:11	21.4	46%	82%	3.7	32	1.5	1.4	5.9	2.5	0	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	13	50% (71)	48% (23)	33	184.1	5.6	31 (17)	.24 (22)	3.21 (48)	72% (85)	10% (61)	1.11 (21)
BSU Defense	14	46% (24)	44% (79)	-	-	-	-	.19 (95)	3.08 (59)	66% (29)	11% (34)	1.09 (108)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	13	56% (120)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.25 (121)	3.47 (126)	75% (81)	9% (104)	1.03 (88)
BSU Offense	14	57% (19)	51% (10)	40	214.9	5.4	34 (7)	.3 (6)	3.46 (9)	84% (6)	8% (34)	1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	13	50% (61)	43% (51)	17.7	28.9	219.5	7.6	12.4	21 (65)	4 (2)	.34 (44)	1.7 (28)	33% (91)	38% (9)	.48 (22)	6% (59)	2 (79)
BSU Defense	14	53% (112)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (72)	1.7 (91)	33% (48)	32% (91)	.37 (95)	6% (72)	2.1 (80)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	13	43% (10)	41% (60)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (80)	1.6 (80)	31% (91)	33% (108)	.44 (119)	6% (80)	2 (62)
BSU Offense	14	42% (117)	42% (69)	15.4	26.6	221.3	8.3	14.3	20 (70)	13 (97)	.38 (29)	1.8 (12)	29% (16)	34% (38)	.38 (56)	6% (66)	2.1 (57)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -1.43 #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.43 Boise State: 8.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9 Boise State: 7.4

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.485 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

San José State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.7
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 33
San José State 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 26
San José State 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 30
San José State 27

Total Points: 57

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	San José State	21	Boise State	42	Boise State -14.5	Boise State	62.0	Over
2023	10/07	Boise State	35	San José State	27	Boise State -8	Push	57.5	Over
2020	12/19	San José State	34	Boise State	20	Boise State -6.5	San José State	59.5	Under
2019	11/02	San José State	42	Boise State	52	Boise State -16	San José State	60.0	Over
2016	11/04	Boise State	45	San José State	31	Boise State -26.5	San José State	58.5	Over
2015	11/27	San José State	23	Boise State	40	Boise State -10	Boise State	57.0	Over
2010	10/16	San José State	0	Boise State	48
2009	10/31	Boise State	45	San José State	7
2008	10/24	San José State	16	Boise State	33
2007	11/03	Boise State	42	San José State	7
2006	11/11	San José State	20	Boise State	23
2005	10/15	Boise State	38	San José State	21
2004	11/13	San José State	49	Boise State	56
2003	10/25	Boise State	77	San José State	14
2002	10/26	San José State	8	Boise State	45
2001	11/17	Boise State	56	San José State	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	15	2	5 Overs
San José State	1	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 8	2 - 3	0 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 8	3 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0

(#71) SJSU at (#37) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	BSU
Power RatePwr	#71	#37
SP+SP+	#73	#41
Perf GradeGrade	#62	#51
OffenseOff	#33	#26
DefenseDef	#105	#111
Spec TeamsST	#35	#64
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#69

San José State Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	BSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#33	#111
SuccessSuc	#29	#59
ExplosiveExp	#12	#111
PPAPPA	#22	#90
PowerPwr	#42	#58
SP+SP+	#48	#70
Pts POPPO	#81	#90
HavocHav	#62	#45

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#15	#113
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#79
Run ExplRExp	#21	#108
PPAExp	#22	#95
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	#48	#59
Stuff RateStuff	#122	#48
TackleTak	-	#130

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#28	#91
PPAExp	#44	#72
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#52	#109
F7 HavocF7	#61	#34
DB HavocDB	#59	#72

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SJSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#26	#105
SuccessSuc	#21	#79
ExplosiveExp	#32	#60
PPAPPA	#19	#104
PowerPwr	#28	#79
SP+SP+	#29	#87
Pts POPPO	#38	#74
HavocHav	#40	#102

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#3	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	#10	#91
Run ExplRExp	#31	#88
PPAExp	#6	#121
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	#9	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#48	#113
TackleTak	-	#109

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	#69	#60
Pass ExplPExl	#12	#80
PPAExp	#29	#80
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#77	#64
F7 HavocF7	#34	#104
DB HavocDB	#66	#80

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80°

Rematch from Week 6
Boise State -8.0 (57.5)
Boise State won vs San José State this year (35-27)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat San José State last year (42-21)
Boise State beat San José State in 2023 (35-27)

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chevan Cordeiro	223	363	61%	2773	20	4	7.6
Jay Butterfield (Tr)	7	11	64%	80	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kairee Robinson	169	1191	18	7.0	52
Quali Conley (Tr)	131	842	9	6.4	68
Chevan Cordeiro	81	272	3	3.4	28
Isaac Jernigan	12	86	0	7.2	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	48	728	8	15.2	58
Charles Ross	26	347	1	13.3	35
Dominick Mazotti	23	322	2	14.0	44
Sam Olson	22	310	3	14.1	56

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham	106	5	2	4	2
Jordan Pollard	79	4	0	0	0
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	0	4
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4
Soane Toia	35	6	4	0
Noah Lavulo	49	7	4	5
Jay Kakiva	43	7	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jay'Vion Cole	38	2	1	10
D.J. Harvey (Tr)	28	2	0	5
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	4

BSU's OC Bush Hamdan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green	121	212	57%	1752	11	9	8.3
Maddux Madsen	81	132	61%	1191	9	3	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Jeanty	221	1351	14	6.1	68
George Holani	133	744	7	5.6	75
Taylen Green	78	436	9	5.6	70
Jambres Dubar	62	335	2	5.4	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric McAlister	47	873	5	18.6	83
Ashton Jeanty	43	569	5	13.2	75
Billy Bowens	28	383	1	13.7	52
Prince Strachan	12	274	2	22.8	74

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alexander Teubner	79	3	0	0	5
Andrew Simpson	65	16	7	5	2
Seyi Oladipo	60	9	2	1	4
Rodney Robinson	54	2	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ahmed Hassanein	50	17	13	7	0
Andrew Simpson	65	16	7	5	2
Ty Benefield	43	5	3	3	5
Braxton Fely	15	5	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Clark	52	2	0	1	8
Alexander Teubner	79	3	0	0	5
Ty Benefield	43	5	3	3	5