Utah State at Boise State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at Boise State Broncos

Friday, November 25th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Boise State -17 (51.5)
Boise State 42 - Utah State: 23 (Mountain West)

Aggies (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (20 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BSU is playing their 6th straight game
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ BSU -19)
Projected Score: USU: 22 - BSU: 32 (54)
BSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
USU Travel: 257 miles

Broncos (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Andy Avalos (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Utah State vs UConn	-24.0	59.0	W 31 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/3	Utah State at Alabama	+42.0	63.0	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/10	Utah State vs Weber State	-6.5	59.5	L 7 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Utah State vs UNLV	+3.0	61.5	L 24 - 34	U	N
Thu 9/29	Utah State at BYU	+26.0	60.0	L 26 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Utah State vs Air Force	+11.5	54.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Utah State at Colorado State	-14.0	45.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/22	Utah State at Wyoming	+5.0	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Utah State vs New Mexico	-14.5	42.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Utah State at Hawai'i	-10.0	55.0	W 41 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/19	Utah State vs San José State	-1.0	51.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Utah State at Boise State	+17.0	51.5	L 23 - 42	O	N
Tue 12/27	Utah State vs Memphis	+8.0	57.0	L 10 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Boise State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boise State at Oregon State	+2.0	55.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Fri 9/9	Boise State at New Mexico	-17.0	43.5	W 31 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/17	Boise State vs UT Martin	-24.5	53.5	W 30 - 7	U	N
Fri 9/23	Boise State at UTEP	-16.0	44.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/30	Boise State vs San Diego State	-6.0	38.0	W 35 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.0	45.0	W 40 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boise State at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Boise State vs Colorado State	-25.0	42.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Boise State vs BYU	-9.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Boise State at Nevada	-21.0	47.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Boise State at Wyoming	-14.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/25	Boise State vs Utah State	-17.0	51.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Boise State vs Fresno State	-3.0	54.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 12/17	Boise State vs North Texas	-12.0	63.0	W 35 - 32	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.07	38%	22.2	39%	3.13	159	38%	195	3.15	.17	41%	31.2	44%	39%	4.05	77.5	2.1	1.7
BSU	.23	43%	29.5	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	19.5	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
BSU	#3 (.36)	48% (12)		49% (17)	3.22 (39)	234	48% (12)	204	4.83 (4)	#59 (.16)	38% (27)		39% (33)	37% (29)	3.33 (24)	39.8	0.6	1.1

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	22.2	20.2	37.9%	3.15	2.1	20	354	159	195	3.8	55%	44%	39%	38%	17%	.07
BSU Defense	14	19.5	18.9	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	31.2	35	41.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	39%	17%	.17
BSU Offense	14	29.5	34.3	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	28:47	19.8	33%	53%	8.5	77.5	2.1	1.7	5.8	2.7	3	30.4
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	55%	39%	42.2	159.3	3.8	14	.08	3.13	72%	9%	0.92
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	71%	11%	1.1
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	44%	38%	17.7	30.6	195.2	6.4	11	18	21	.13	1.5	32%	26%	.08	8%	1.7
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.7	31%	29%	.24	6%	2.2
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #110
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #75
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: Boise State: 5.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -13.3 Boise State: 5.7

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 5.35 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #52
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Utah State's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 32
Utah State 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 32
Utah State 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 32
Utah State 20

Total Points: 52

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Boise State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Utah State	24	Boise State	25	Boise State -1.5	Utah State	54.5	Under
2024	10/05	Boise State	62	Utah State	30	Boise State -28	Boise State	66.5	Over
2023	11/18	Utah State	10	Boise State	45	Boise State -5.5	Boise State	62.5	Under
2022	11/25	Boise State	42	Utah State	23	Boise State -17	Boise State	51.5	Over
2021	09/25	Utah State	3	Boise State	27	Boise State -9.5	Boise State	69.5	Under
2020	10/24	Boise State	42	Utah State	13	Boise State -17	Boise State	51.0	Over
2019	11/23	Utah State	21	Boise State	56	Boise State -9.5	Boise State	53.0	Over
2018	11/24	Boise State	33	Utah State	24	Boise State -2.5	Boise State	65.0	Under
2017	10/28	Utah State	14	Boise State	41	Boise State -13	Boise State	51.5	Over
2016	10/01	Boise State	21	Utah State	10	Boise State -19.5	Utah State	60.5	Under
2015	10/16	Utah State	52	Boise State	26	Boise State -8.5	Utah State	50.5	Over
2014	11/29	Boise State	50	Utah State	19	Boise State -9	Boise State	0
2013	10/12	Utah State	23	Boise State	34	Boise State -7.5	Boise State	0
2010	12/04	Boise State	50	Utah State	14
2009	11/20	Utah State	21	Boise State	52
2008	11/08	Boise State	49	Utah State	14
2007	11/10	Utah State	0	Boise State	52
2006	11/18	Boise State	49	Utah State	10
2005	10/22	Utah State	21	Boise State	45
2002	09/28	Boise State	63	Utah State	38
2000	11/10	Boise State	66	Utah State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	20	10	6 Overs
Utah State	1	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	7 - 6	5 - 1	2 - 5
Road Teams	9 - 12	6 - 7	5 - 2	1 - 5

(#) USU at (#) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	BSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#52
Perf GradeGrade	#121	#21
OffenseOff	#109	#47
DefenseDef	#115	#17
Spec TeamsST	#73	#61
TalentTal	#116	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#109	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	#113	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	#115	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#48	#80
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#115
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#6	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#47	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#82

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#110
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#42	#45
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

USU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 34°

Rematch from Week 13
Boise State -17.0 (51.5)
Boise State won vs Utah State this year (42-23)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Utah State last year (62-30)
Boise State beat Utah State in 2023 (45-10)
Boise State beat Utah State in 2022 (42-23)

USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BSU's OC Tim Plough (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD