Fresno State Team Profile
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Fresno State Bulldogs (@FresnoStateFB)
Matt Entz (1st year) (5-2)
Record: 5 - 2 (2 - 1)  |  Proj: 7 - 5 (#54)  |  SOS: (#108)
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Fresno State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Fresno State at Kansas+14.051.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 8/30 Fresno State vs Georgia Southern-2.554.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/6 Fresno State at Oregon State+1.045.5W 36 - 27OY
Sat 9/13 Fresno State vs Southern-37.551.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/20 Fresno State at Hawai'i-2.547.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Fresno State vs Nevada-12.545.5W 20 - 17UN
Fri 10/10 Fresno State at Colorado State-5.547.5L 21 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Fresno State vs San Diego State+14
Sat 11/1 Fresno State at Boise State+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Fresno State vs Wyoming-1
Sat 11/22 Fresno State vs Utah State-5.5
Sat 11/29 Fresno State at San José State-1

Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8  #54
Schedule Rating:  #108
Record: 5 - 2( MWC: 2 - 1)
Spread Record 3 - 4 - 0 | O/U 4 - 3
Future 2026 Schedule

Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at Michigan+21.048.0L 10 - 30UY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-18.555.5W 46 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico State-19.548.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Fresno State at New Mexico-12.061.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at UNLV+2.551.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State vs Washington State+3.560.5L 17 - 25UN
Fri 10/18 Fresno State at Nevada-3.050.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs San José State-6.555.0W 33 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-12.045.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 Fresno State at Air Force-9.540.5L 28 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Colorado State-3.543.5W 28 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at UCLA+7.546.5L 13 - 20UY
Mon 12/23 Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #107
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (MWC: 4 - 3)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 1 | O/U 5 - 8


Opponents: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 3 Bad, 6 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 1 Bad, 4 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 2Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 3 Avg, 2 Bad, 6 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 143 points   #101
2024 class: 161 points   #85
2023 class: 165 points   #77
2022 class: 163 points   #72
2021 class: 159 points   #74

Average Class Ranking:   #82
Average Recruiting Points: 158

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Average G5
4 Year Class:  #87 - Best:  #72 Worst:  #101



CFB Crootin Averages
Mountain West Class: 132  #105
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 132 points   #121
2019 class: 154 points   #87
2018 class: 142 points   #92
2017 class: 138 points   #84
2016 class: 137 points   #85

Average Class Ranking:   #94
Average Recruiting Points: 140
 

2025 Portal Class  #101 - 18 players, 84 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #99 - 2 players, 91 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #81 - 10 players, 87 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #38 - 10 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Josh Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)13920269%14861097.4
Carson Conklin (Tr)5683%42007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson8738834.557
Rayshon Luke (Tr)5837956.568
Brandon Ramirez2311114.819
Elijah Gilliam1811026.125
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman24300412.530
Richie Anderson21220210.524
Ezekiel Avit (Tr)19197010.441
Rayshon Luke (Tr)1912826.723
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Nick Benedetto (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Pearson (Tr)584001
K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr)322013
Finn Claypool (Tr)264331
Martin Owusu (Tr)242001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool (Tr)264331
Deijon Laffitte224201
Jahzon Jacks164230
Korey Foreman123211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Wilson152103
K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr)322013
Jakari Embry120003
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 40%  #115
Offense Returning Production: 36%  #116
Defense Returning Production: 44%  #105

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #101
18 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
23% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 19% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00  #80
Offense Talent  #76 | Defense Talent  #77
2024  #88 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #79 | 2021  #81


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 5 - 2
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 1
Spread: 3 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 3

2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 4 - 3
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8

2023 Record: 9 - 4
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2022 Record: 10 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 8 - 1
Spread: 7 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 7

Four Year Record: 30 - 17
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 21 - 25 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 18 - 9
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 10 - 3
2021 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2020 Record: 3 - 3
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 3
Spread: 3 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 3

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 8 - 4

2018 Record: 12 - 2
2018 Conf Record: 8 - 1
Spread: 10 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 10

Eight Year Record: 59 - 33
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 45 - 45 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 45 - 21

Fresno State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Potato Bowl Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28
2023Mexico Bowl Fresno State vs New Mexico State+3.052.5W 37 - 10
2022La Bowl Fresno State vs Washington State-5.554.0W 29 - 6
2021Mexico Bowl Fresno State vs UTEP-11.551.5W 31 - 24
2018Vegas Bowl Fresno State vs Arizona State-6.054.0W 31 - 20
2017I Bowl Fresno State vs Houston+2.552.0W 33 - 27
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.2 (69)1.28 (51)46% (43)3.89 (75)32.4 (19)44%38%.22 (98)1.34 (109)41% (68)4.35 (111)28.1 (74)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.11 (110)1.32 (38)39% (110)3.68 (91)30.7 (32)39%42%.08 (17)1.14 (13)40% (51)3.63 (47)28.3 (48)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025731:2521.144%38%6.462.721.64.91.63
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241327:2918.939%42%6.2551.31.54.41.52



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense729.339.321.846% (43)3.89 (75)2213831652184.948% (86)51% (57)43% (82)50% (17)18% (110).2 (69)
2025 Defense723.712.73241.3% (68)4.35 (111)1.6 - - - - - 49% (57)51% (80)39% (38)44% (93)16% (68).22 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1326.13221.239.2% (110)3.68 (91)1.3193431012423.442% (115)57% (21)38% (121)41% (76)14% (34).11 (110)
2024 Defense1324.81831.240.3% (51)3.63 (47)1.5 - - - - - 49% (49)51% (86)43% (74)38% (33)14% (113).08 (17)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense748% (86)43% (82)33.71654.913 (35)-.02 (127)2.69 (105)76% (49)12% (120)1 (55)
2025 Defense749% (57)39% (38) - - - - .1 (70)2.86 (65)71% (71)9% (95)0.92 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1342% (115)38% (121)29.2100.73.421 (59).04 (111)2.73 (115)69% (96)8% (34)0.95 (76)
2024 Defense1349% (49)43% (74) - - - - .08 (48)2.94 (56)71% (56)8% (121)0.81 (7)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense751% (57)50% (17)20.629.7218.37.410.610 (60)9 (132).46 (19)1.5 (78)30% (57)39% (15).53 (25)6% (70)2.1 (57)
2025 Defense751% (80)44% (93) - - - - - - 9 (6).33 (103)1.7 (107)33% (51)34% (110).34 (87)7% (41)1.9 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1357% (21)41% (76)2333.1242.17.310.520 (58)14 (115).21 (89)1.6 (65)33% (95)28% (103).24 (100)6% (64)2.1 (63)
2024 Defense1351% (86)38% (33) - - - - - - 15 (18).09 (14)1.5 (34)30% (94)29% (37).2 (28)6% (65)2 (52)




Overall
Power Rating  #110 | SP+ Rating  #81
Performance Grade  #69
Special Teams Grade  #28
Record Prediction 7.2 - 4.8  #54
5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Offense
Power  #93 | SP+  #88 | Grade  #48
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Off Success  #43 | Explosivness  #51
Rush Grade  #6 | Pass Grade  #74
Rush Success  #82 | Explosiveness  #55
Pass Success  #17 | Explosiveness  #78
Run Block  #72 | Pass Block  #20
OL YDS  #105 | Stuff Rate  #108
Scoring Zone Off:  #75

Defense
Power  #104 | SP+  #80 | Grade  #110
Def Success  #68 | Explosivness  #109
Rush Success  #38 | Explosiveness  #55
Tackling  #85 | Run Def  #99
Pass Success  #93 | Explosiveness  #107
Pass Rush  #117 | Coverage  #88
F7 Havoc  #95 | DB Havoc  #41
Scoring Zone Def  #111


Roster
Team Talent  #80 Blue Chips: 1%  #88
Offense Talent  #76 Defense Talent  #77
Crootin: '25 Class  #101 - 4 YR Class:  #87
Profile: Declining Average G5
Portal Class  #101 - 18 players, 84 Avg
23% of Roster from Portal, 19% TY
60 New Players, 56% of '25 Roster  #59

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 29.3 - 23.7 (26 - 25) in '24
Scoring at Home: 39 - 13 | Road: 22 - 32
OC: Josh Davis - in his first season
DC: Nick Benedetto - in his first season

2025 Record: 5 - 2 (3 - 4 - 0) (MWC: 2 - 1)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1) (MWC: 4 - 3)
2023 Record: 9 - 4 (5 - 8 - 0) (MWC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (30 - 17) | 8 Yr Record: (59 - 33)


Notes
Off started out hot but cooled lately. QB Warner JAG
LB Tim Thomas no longer with team
OL has improved, run game good. Pass Off poor
Def #'s really poor despite 4-1 start. On watch
QB Warner brutal start, 0 TD - 5 INT
OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Great Pass Success 50%
Awful Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Great when off Schedule 39%

'25 Defense
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Awful Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Poor when Opp is off Schedule 34%

Returning Prod
FRES lost their '24 starting QB (53%)  #77
Returning Production: 40%  #115
Offense: 36%  #116 | Defense: 44%  #105
OL Prod: 81%  #15, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3221  #51 | From Portal: 21  #92
Rush Prod: 81%  #27 | Rec Prod: 27%  #119
Def Front Seven: 44% - Secondary: 43%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #81 - Power Rating:  #110
2024 SP+ Overall:  #85 - Power Rating:  #87
2023 SP+ Overall:  #63 - Power Rating:  #59
2022 SP+ Overall:  #59

#59 #61 #86 #96

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #88 - Power Rating:  #93
2024 SP+ Offense:  #85 - Power Rating:  #95
2023 SP+ Offense:  #58 - Power Rating:  #53
2022 SP+ Offense:  #64

#64 #56 #90 #91

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #80 - Power Rating:  #104
2024 SP+ Defense:  #77 - Power Rating:  #33
2023 SP+ Defense:  #82 - Power Rating:  #45
2022 SP+ Defense:  #47

#47 #64 #55 #92