UConn at Fresno State - 2021 Matchup Preview
UConn logo UConn Huskies at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, August 28th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -28 (63.5)
Fresno State 45 - UConn: 0

 
Huskies (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lou Spanos (0 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 39 (14 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -20.5  (SP+ FRES -36)
Projected Score: CONN: 16 - FRES: 35 (51)
FRES Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CONN Travel: 2512 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (6 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 UConn at Fresno State+28.063.5L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/4 UConn vs Holy Cross-3.049.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 UConn vs Purdue+35.056.5L 0 - 49UN
Sat 9/18 UConn at Army+34.548.0L 21 - 52OY
Sat 9/25 UConn vs Wyoming+31.553.5L 22 - 24UY
Sat 10/2 UConn at Vanderbilt+14.551.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 10/9 UConn at Massachusetts-3.057.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 10/16 UConn vs Yale+3.546.5W 21 - 15UY
Fri 10/22 UConn vs Middle Tennessee+14.054.0L 13 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 UConn at Clemson+40.550.5L 7 - 44OY
Sat 11/20 UConn at UCF+30.056.0L 17 - 49ON
Sat 11/27 UConn vs Houston+32.054.5L 17 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Fresno State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 Fresno State vs UConn-28.063.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/4 Fresno State at Oregon+18.062.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/11 Fresno State vs Cal Poly-32.559.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/18 Fresno State at UCLA+11.064.0W 40 - 37OY
Fri 9/24 Fresno State vs UNLV-30.059.0W 38 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i-10.564.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Fresno State at Wyoming-3.053.5W 17 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-3.564.5W 34 - 32ON
Sat 10/30 Fresno State at San Diego State-2.043.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 11/6 Fresno State vs Boise State-4.061.5L 14 - 40UN
Sat 11/13 Fresno State vs New Mexico-24.051.0W 34 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25 Fresno State at San José State-7.052.5W 40 - 9UY
Sat 12/18 Fresno State vs UTEP-11.551.5W 31 - 24ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN.0131%15.637%2.6110127%1642.96.2947%38.551%43%4.4248.81.81.3
FRES.2648%33.446%2.8613749%3273.86.1138%20.541%36%3.5471.21.72.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1215.614.331.3%2.961.8142651011643.244%56%37%27%26%.01
FRES Defense1320.519.838.5%3.542.2 - - - - - 49%51%41%36%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense1238.541.247%4.421.3 - - - - - 51%49%51%43%14%.29
FRES Offense1333.43847.6%3.861.7244641373274.140%60%46%49%14%.26

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1225:4914.423%38%6.748.81.81.35.31.1328.5
Fresno State1331:2624.343%53%7.671.21.72.26.92.3030.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1244%37%31.4101.33.28-2.6150%16%1.1
FRES Defense1349%41% - - - - .062.8168%13%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1251%51% - - - - .243.2378%8%0.95
FRES Offense1340%46%33.8137.24.117.062.8664%9%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1256%27%17.333.9163.84.89.51117.041.737%24%.2410%2.2
FRES Defense1351%36% - - - - - - 12.171.834%28%.297%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1249%43% - - - - - - 10.361.628%34%.575%2.2
FRES Offense1360%49%26.339.5326.78.312.43510.391.528%35%.345%1.9

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2021 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6  #130
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7  #130
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #120

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn:    Fresno State: 7.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -25.6   Fresno State: 10.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 7.9 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #32
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #49

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UConn Scoring
Offense: 15.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.3
Defense: 38.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.2

UConn's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 35
UConn 16

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 32
UConn 14

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 38
UConn 18

Total Points: 56
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Fresno State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/01UConn19Fresno State14Fresno State -23.5UConn51.0Under
202108/28Fresno State45UConn0Fresno State -28Fresno State63.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State110 Overs
UConn112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) CONN at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #32
Perf GradeGrade #130 #38
OffenseOff #136 #67
DefenseDef #81 #17
Spec TeamsST #99 #104
TalentTal #118 #81
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCat
CONN OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #106 #32
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #18
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #135 #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #98 #46
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67 #81
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #120
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffCONN Def
Run GameRun #51 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffCONN Def
Pass GamePass #32 #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #101
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 86°
Rematch from Week 1
Fresno State -28.0 (63.5)
Fresno State won vs UConn this year (45-0)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Fresno State in 2022 (19-14)

  
CONN's OC Frank Giufre (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Jarren Horton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FRES's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC William Inge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD