Fresno State at USC - 2022 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -11 (71.0)
USC 45 - Fresno State: 17

 
Bulldogs (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (26 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ USC -16)
Projected Score: FRES: 28 - USC: 33 (61)
USC Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 210 miles
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 29 (45 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Fresno State vs Cal Poly-42.563.0W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/10 Fresno State vs Oregon State-1.059.0L 32 - 35ON
Sat 9/17 Fresno State at USC+11.071.0L 17 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Fresno State at UConn-23.551.0L 14 - 19UN
Sat 10/8 Fresno State at Boise State+9.045.0L 20 - 40ON
Sat 10/15 Fresno State vs San José State+7.047.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 Fresno State at New Mexico-9.540.0W 41 - 9OY
Sat 10/29 Fresno State vs San Diego State-10.043.5W 32 - 28ON
Sat 11/5 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-27.062.0W 55 - 13OY
Fri 11/11 Fresno State at UNLV-9.061.5W 37 - 30ON
Sat 11/19 Fresno State at Nevada-22.554.0W 41 - 14OY
Fri 11/25 Fresno State vs Wyoming-15.050.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 12/3 Fresno State at Boise State+3.054.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 12/17 Fresno State vs Washington State-5.554.0W 29 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2447%30.647%3.0713348%2704.22.1539%19.442%37%3.2941.111.6
USC.451%41.453%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%29.253%46%4.54580.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1430.628.347.1%4.22122403133270442%57%47%48%11%.24
USC Defense1429.221.348.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1419.424.739%3.291.6 - - - - - 51%48%42%37%18%.15
USC Offense1441.445.351.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1431:1621.946%50%4.541.111.65.11.6330.7
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1442%47%33.2133428.173.0777%8%0.86
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1451%42% - - - - .173.1569%9%1.04
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1457%48%23.833.7269.6811.3229.351.328%32%.363%1.8
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1448%37% - - - - - - 12.161.635%32%.329%1.9
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3  #59
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #64
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #47

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    USC: 11.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 3.3   USC: 18.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.95 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Fresno State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 33
Fresno State 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 33
Fresno State 29

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
USC 33
Fresno State 27

Total Points: 60
USC Scoring
Offense: 41.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17USC45Fresno State17USC -11USC71.0Under
201908/31USC31Fresno State23USC -14.5Fresno State50.0Over
201408/30USC52Fresno State13USC -18.5USC59.0Over
201312/21USC45Fresno State20USC -4.5USC65.0Push
200511/19USC50Fresno State42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC532 Overs
Fresno State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 03 - 13 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 51 - 30 - 01 - 3

(#) FRES at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #11
Perf GradeGrade #44 #14
OffenseOff #22 #5
DefenseDef #85 #70
Spec TeamsST #28 #136
TalentTal #79 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #64 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #25 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #15 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #92 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #10 #120
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #70
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #5 #13
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68°
Rematch from Week 3
USC -11.0 (71.0)
USC won vs Fresno State this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Fresno State in 2022 (45-17)

  
FRES's OC Kirby Moore (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Kevin Coyle (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD