Fresno State Bulldogs at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (11:59 PM EDT)
Fresno State -3 (47.5) (-142) Open: -3.5
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex - Honolulu, HI (Mountain West)
Bulldogs (3 - 1) (3 - 1 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
HAW 3rd straight Home Game
HAW is playing their 4th straight game
FRES is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -0 (SP+ FRES -10)
Projected Score: FRES: 24 - HAW: 24 (48)
FRES Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
FRES Travel: 2515 miles, 3 hrs ahead
HAW is playing their 4th straight game
FRES is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -0 (SP+ FRES -10)
Projected Score: FRES: 24 - HAW: 24 (48)
FRES Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
FRES Travel: 2515 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (3 - 1) (2 - 2 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
| Fresno State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Fresno State at Kansas | +14.0 | 51.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/30 | Fresno State vs Georgia Southern | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Fresno State at Oregon State | +1.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Fresno State vs Southern | -37.5 | 51.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Fresno State at Hawai'i | -3.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Fresno State at Colorado State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Fresno State vs San Diego State | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Fresno State at Boise State | +13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Fresno State vs Wyoming | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Fresno State vs Utah State | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Fresno State at San José State | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Hawai'i vs Stanford | -1.5 | 53.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 8/30 | Hawai'i at Arizona | +13.5 | 55.5 | L 6 - 40 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Hawai'i vs Sam Houston | -7.0 | 47.5 | W 37 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Hawai'i vs Portland State | -35.5 | 54.5 | W 23 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Hawai'i vs Fresno State | +3.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Hawai'i at Air Force | -1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Hawai'i vs Utah State | -6 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Hawai'i at Colorado State | +4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Hawai'i at San José State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Hawai'i vs San Diego State | +1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Hawai'i at UNLV | +10 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Hawai'i vs Wyoming | +1 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #51 (.25) | 44% (64) | 35.3 | 44% (70) | 2.7 (97) | 203 | 47% (47) | 190 | 3.58 (90) | #126 (.36) | 50% (125) | 19.8 | 46% (100) | 53% (129) | 4.75 (115) | 45 | 2 | 0.8 |
| HAW | #114 (.07) | 40% (97) | 22.3 | 41% (92) | 2.82 (85) | 99 | 40% (94) | 244 | 3.26 (106) | #50 (.07) | 35% (38) | 20.8 | 37% (58) | 34% (37) | 3.15 (56) | 86.5 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | ||
| HAW | #82 (.17) | 44% (52) | 46% (45) | 3.29 (26) | 99 | 44% (50) | 268 | 3.81 (81) | #81 (.19) | 42% (71) | 45% (85) | 40% (58) | 4.15 (103) | 70.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 35.3 | 21.5 | 43.9% | 3.58 | 2 | 22 | 393 | 203 | 190 | 5.8 | 55% | 42% | 44% | 47% | 17% | .25 |
| HAW Defense | 4 | 20.8 | 14.3 | 35.2% | 3.15 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 37% | 34% | 16% | .07 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 19.8 | 29 | 49.7% | 4.75 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 46% | 53% | 13% | .36 |
| HAW Offense | 4 | 22.3 | 27.7 | 40% | 3.26 | 2 | 21 | 343 | 99 | 244 | 3.4 | 36% | 64% | 41% | 40% | 17% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 4 | 30:33 | 22 | 51% | 67% | 4.5 | 45 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 29.8 |
| Hawai'i | 4 | 31:39 | 20.8 | 37% | 71% | 8.5 | 86.5 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 28.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 55% (45) | 44% (70) | 35.3 | 203 | 5.8 | 12 (3) | .13 (70) | 2.7 (97) | 75% (52) | 11% (107) | 1.25 (22) |
| HAW Defense | 4 | 47% (50) | 37% (58) | - | - | - | - | .1 (89) | 3.07 (100) | 86% (112) | 9% (90) | 1.11 (100) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 46% (43) | 46% (100) | - | - | - | - | .13 (95) | 3.28 (120) | 100% (127) | 7% (118) | 0.74 (22) |
| HAW Offense | 4 | 36% (131) | 41% (92) | 28.8 | 99 | 3.4 | 0 (135) | -.12 (130) | 2.82 (85) | 67% (86) | 9% (80) | 0.64 (130) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 42% (109) | 47% (47) | 19 | 26 | 189.5 | 7.3 | 10 | 4 (72) | 5 (129) | .55 (19) | 1.7 (27) | 30% (63) | 45% (15) | .77 (12) | 6% (92) | 2.3 (22) |
| HAW Defense | 4 | 52% (85) | 34% (37) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .08 (33) | 1.2 (9) | 35% (49) | 23% (36) | .17 (50) | 8% (30) | 1.9 (54) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 53% (89) | 53% (129) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .55 (126) | 1.5 (71) | 32% (78) | 38% (120) | .45 (108) | 7% (45) | 1.8 (50) |
| HAW Offense | 4 | 64% (4) | 40% (94) | 26.8 | 43.8 | 244.3 | 5.6 | 9.1 | 7 (23) | 4 (121) | .18 (97) | 1.4 (109) | 35% (110) | 29% (87) | .3 (77) | 8% (122) | 2 (64) |
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State's Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -11.82 Hawai'i: -6.295
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -0.3 Hawai'i: -10.3
Fresno State: -11.82 Hawai'i: -6.295
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -0.3 Hawai'i: -10.3
Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 24
Hawai'i 24
Total Points: 48
Fresno State 24
Hawai'i 24
Total Points: 48
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3
Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3
Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Fresno State | 20 | Hawai'i | 21 | Hawai'i | Fresno State -12 | Hawai'i | 45.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | Fresno State | 55 | Hawai'i | 13 | Fresno State | Fresno State -27 | Fresno State | 62.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/02 | Hawai'i | 27 | Fresno State | 24 | Hawai'i | Fresno State -10.5 | Hawai'i | 64.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/24 | Fresno State | 19 | Hawai'i | 34 | Hawai'i | Fresno State -2.5 | Hawai'i | 64.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Hawai'i | 38 | Fresno State | 41 | Fresno State | Hawai'i -2 | Fresno State | 69.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Fresno State | 50 | Hawai'i | 20 | Fresno State | Fresno State -24.5 | Fresno State | 59.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/11 | Hawai'i | 21 | Fresno State | 31 | Fresno State | Fresno State -10 | NA | 53.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/19 | Fresno State | 13 | Hawai'i | 14 | Hawai'i | Hawai'i -2.5 | Fresno State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/14 | Hawai'i | 14 | Fresno State | 42 | Fresno State | Hawai'i -4 | Fresno State | 53.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Fresno State | 28 | Hawai'i | 21 | Fresno State | Fresno State -12 | Hawai'i | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/29 | Hawai'i | 37 | Fresno State | 42 | Fresno State | Fresno State -18.5 | Hawai'i | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/03 | Fresno State | 45 | Hawai'i | 10 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2011 | 11/19 | Hawai'i | 21 | Fresno State | 24 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Fresno State | 27 | Hawai'i | 49 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2009 | 10/10 | Hawai'i | 17 | Fresno State | 42 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2008 | 10/04 | Fresno State | 29 | Hawai'i | 32 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2007 | 11/10 | Hawai'i | 37 | Fresno State | 30 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2006 | 10/14 | Fresno State | 37 | Hawai'i | 68 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Hawai'i | 13 | Fresno State | 27 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2004 | 11/12 | Fresno State | 70 | Hawai'i | 14 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/12 | Hawai'i | 55 | Fresno State | 28 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2002 | 10/25 | Fresno State | 21 | Hawai'i | 31 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2001 | 10/26 | Hawai'i | 38 | Fresno State | 34 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Fresno State | 45 | Hawai'i | 27 | Fresno State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i | 11 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| Fresno State | 13 | 5 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 14 | 5 - 5 | 2 - 5 | 3 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 14 - 10 | 5 - 5 | 0 - 3 | 5 - 2 |
(#109) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has won 3 straight
Fresno State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has won 3 straight
Fresno State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | HAW | FRES |
| OverallOver | #87 | #64 |
| OffenseOff | #107 | #30 |
| DefenseDef | #47 | #105 |
| Special TeamsST | #59 | #26 |
| PassingPass | #101 | #58 |
| RushingRush | #82 | #11 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #84 | #34 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #102 | #24 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #105 | #54 |
| TacklingTkl | #90 | #71 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #98 | #99 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #45 | #98 |
| Coverage DefCov | #4 | #109 |
(#100) Hawai'i Info
Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Hawai'i has won 2 straight
Hawai'i has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?
Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i is Undefeated at Home
Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)
Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Hawai'i has won 2 straight
Hawai'i has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?
Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i is Undefeated at Home
Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 71 | 98 | 72% | 716 | 4 | 5 | 7.3 |
| Carson Conklin (Tr) | 5 | 6 | 83% | 42 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Donelson | 50 | 325 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 36 | 224 | 5 | 6.2 | 44 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 17 | 101 | 2 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Johnathan Arceneaux | 10 | 54 | 1 | 5.4 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Freeman | 11 | 149 | 0 | 13.5 | 30 |
| Ezekiel Avit (Tr) | 13 | 110 | 0 | 8.5 | 17 |
| Bryson Donelson | 8 | 87 | 0 | 10.9 | 39 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 12 | 80 | 1 | 6.7 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Pearson (Tr) | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Camryn Bracha | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Alzillion Hamilton | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Korey Foreman | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Davis | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jahzon Jacks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Embry | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 61 | 102 | 60% | 600 | 5 | 3 | 5.9 |
| Micah Alejado | 45 | 70 | 64% | 367 | 2 | 1 | 5.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Sims | 39 | 154 | 0 | 3.9 | 19 |
| Cam Barfield | 21 | 89 | 0 | 4.2 | 13 |
| Luke Weaver | 27 | 73 | 0 | 2.7 | 13 |
| Christian Vaughn | 3 | 22 | 0 | 7.3 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pofele Ashlock | 26 | 235 | 3 | 9.0 | 47 |
| Landon Sims | 18 | 155 | 1 | 8.6 | 28 |
| Karsyn Pupunu | 13 | 114 | 0 | 8.8 | 15 |
| Brandon White (Tr) | 12 | 111 | 0 | 9.3 | 27 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jalen Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Elijah Palmer | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jamih Otis | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Johnson III | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Qwyn Williams (Tr) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Elijah Palmer | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |