Fresno State at UNLV - 2022 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 11th 2022 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -9 (61.5)
Fresno State 37 - UNLV: 30 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (26 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ FRES -15)
Projected Score: FRES: 34 - UNLV: 18 (52)
FRES Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
FRES Travel: 2682 miles

Rebels (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (2 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Fresno State vs Cal Poly	-42.5	63.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/10	Fresno State vs Oregon State	-1.0	59.0	L 32 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/17	Fresno State at USC	+11.0	71.0	L 17 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Fresno State at UConn	-23.5	51.0	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/8	Fresno State at Boise State	+9.0	45.0	L 20 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/15	Fresno State vs San José State	+7.0	47.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Fresno State at New Mexico	-9.5	40.0	W 41 - 9	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Fresno State vs San Diego State	-10.0	43.5	W 32 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/5	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	-27.0	62.0	W 55 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/11	Fresno State at UNLV	-9.0	61.5	W 37 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/19	Fresno State at Nevada	-22.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Fresno State vs Wyoming	-15.0	50.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Fresno State at Boise State	+3.0	54.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Fresno State vs Washington State	-5.5	54.0	W 29 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

UNLV's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	UNLV vs Idaho State	-23.0	50.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/10	UNLV at California	+12.0	49.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	UNLV vs North Texas	-2.5	62.5	W 58 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/24	UNLV at Utah State	-3.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Fri 9/30	UNLV vs New Mexico	-14.0	44.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Fri 10/7	UNLV at San José State	+6.5	51.5	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/15	UNLV vs Air Force	+10.0	50.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/22	UNLV at Notre Dame	+26.0	46.5	L 21 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	UNLV at San Diego State	+5.0	47.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/11	UNLV vs Fresno State	+9.0	61.5	L 30 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/19	UNLV at Hawai'i	-11.0	56.5	L 25 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	UNLV vs Nevada	-12.5	49.0	W 27 - 22	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.24	47%	30.6	47%	3.07	133	48%	270	4.22	.15	39%	19.4	42%	37%	3.29	41.1	1	1.6
UNLV	.18	40%	26.3	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	28.5	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)		43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)		40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	30.6	28.3	47.1%	4.22	1	22	403	133	270	4	42%	57%	47%	48%	11%	.24
UNLV Defense	12	28.5	28.2	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	19.4	24.7	39%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	37%	18%	.15
UNLV Offense	12	26.3	34.2	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	31:16	21.9	46%	50%	4.5	41.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.6	3	30.7
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	42%	47%	33.2	133	4	28	.17	3.07	77%	8%	0.86
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.15	69%	9%	1.04
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	57%	48%	23.8	33.7	269.6	8	11.3	22	9	.35	1.3	28%	32%	.36	3%	1.8
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	35%	32%	.32	9%	1.9
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #59
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #64
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #47

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: UNLV: -3.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 3.3 UNLV: -11.9

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -3.45 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2022 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #104
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #96
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #99

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Fresno State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 34
UNLV 18

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 39
UNLV 11

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 29
UNLV 26

Total Points: 55

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 28.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

UNLV's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	UNLV	59	Fresno State	14	UNLV -2.5	UNLV	51.0	Over
2023	10/28	Fresno State	31	UNLV	24	Fresno State -10.5	UNLV	56.0	Under
2022	11/11	UNLV	30	Fresno State	37	Fresno State -9	UNLV	61.5	Over
2021	09/24	Fresno State	38	UNLV	30	Fresno State -30	UNLV	59.0	Over
2020	11/07	UNLV	27	Fresno State	40	Fresno State -11	Fresno State	57.5	Over
2019	10/18	Fresno State	56	UNLV	27	Fresno State -14.5	Fresno State	52.0	Over
2018	11/03	UNLV	3	Fresno State	48	Fresno State -27	Fresno State	58.5	Under
2017	10/28	Fresno State	16	UNLV	26	Fresno State -21.5	UNLV	59.0	Under
2016	10/01	UNLV	45	Fresno State	20	UNLV -11.5	UNLV	56.5	Over
2015	10/16	Fresno State	31	UNLV	28	UNLV -5.5	Fresno State	49.0	Over
2014	10/10	UNLV	30	Fresno State	27	Fresno State -9	UNLV	0
2013	10/19	Fresno State	38	UNLV	14	Fresno State -21	Fresno State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	4	7	7 Overs
Fresno State	8	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	7 - 5	4 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	5 - 7	2 - 3	3 - 4

(#) FRES at (#) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	UNLV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#104
Perf GradeGrade	#44	#71
OffenseOff	#22	#76
DefenseDef	#85	#59
Spec TeamsST	#28	#71
TalentTal	#79	#118
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

UNLV Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNLV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#25	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#68

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#92	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	#81	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#57	#120
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Fresno State 9.0 (61.5)
Fresno State won at UNLV this year (37-30)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Fresno State last year (59-14)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2023 (31-24)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2022 (37-30)

FRES's OC Kirby Moore (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Kevin Coyle (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNLV's OC Nick Holz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Keith Heyward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD