Fresno State at New Mexico - 2022 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at New Mexico Lobos

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (6:30 PM EDT)
Fresno State -9.5 (40.0)
Fresno State 41 - New Mexico: 9 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (26 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 19.9 MPH
UNM is playing their 8th straight game
FRES is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ FRES -30)
Projected Score: FRES: 25 - UNM: 21 (46)
FRES Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
FRES Travel: 744 miles, 1 hrs behind

Lobos (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Danny Gonzales (5 - 14)
Avg Score : 13 - 26 (19 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Fresno State vs Cal Poly	-42.5	63.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/10	Fresno State vs Oregon State	-1.0	59.0	L 32 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/17	Fresno State at USC	+11.0	71.0	L 17 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Fresno State at UConn	-23.5	51.0	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/8	Fresno State at Boise State	+9.0	45.0	L 20 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/15	Fresno State vs San José State	+7.0	47.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Fresno State at New Mexico	-9.5	40.0	W 41 - 9	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Fresno State vs San Diego State	-10.0	43.5	W 32 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/5	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	-27.0	62.0	W 55 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/11	Fresno State at UNLV	-9.0	61.5	W 37 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/19	Fresno State at Nevada	-22.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Fresno State vs Wyoming	-15.0	50.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Fresno State at Boise State	+3.0	54.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Fresno State vs Washington State	-5.5	54.0	W 29 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	New Mexico vs Maine	-6.0	42.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Fri 9/9	New Mexico vs Boise State	+17.0	43.5	L 14 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico vs UTEP	+2.0	38.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	New Mexico at LSU	+31.5	44.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
Fri 9/30	New Mexico at UNLV	+14.0	44.0	L 20 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	New Mexico vs Wyoming	+3.0	37.0	L 14 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	New Mexico at New Mexico State	-7.0	38.5	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	New Mexico vs Fresno State	+9.5	40.0	L 9 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	New Mexico at Utah State	+14.5	42.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	New Mexico at Air Force	+21.0	37.5	L 3 - 35	O	N
Fri 11/18	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+15.0	36.0	L 10 - 34	O	N
Fri 11/25	New Mexico at Colorado State	+7.5	36.0	L 0 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.24	47%	30.6	47%	3.07	133	48%	270	4.22	.15	39%	19.4	42%	37%	3.29	41.1	1	1.6
UNM	-.06	33%	13.1	39%	2.97	121	25%	106	3.04	.17	43%	26	47%	40%	3.55	51.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	30.6	28.3	47.1%	4.22	1	22	403	133	270	4	42%	57%	47%	48%	11%	.24
UNM Defense	12	26	23.8	43.2%	3.55	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	40%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	19.4	24.7	39%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	37%	18%	.15
UNM Offense	12	13.1	19.2	33%	3.04	1.2	13	227	121	106	3.3	57%	41%	39%	25%	24%	-.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	31:16	21.9	46%	50%	4.5	41.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.6	3	30.7
New Mexico	12	28:57	13.1	22%	29%	6.1	51.2	1.2	1.9	5.2	2.1	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	42%	47%	33.2	133	4	28	.17	3.07	77%	8%	0.86
UNM Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.17	77%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.15	69%	9%	1.04
UNM Offense	12	57%	39%	36.5	121.3	3.3	12	.06	2.97	56%	17%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	57%	48%	23.8	33.7	269.6	8	11.3	22	9	.35	1.3	28%	32%	.36	3%	1.8
UNM Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	27%	23%	.1	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	35%	32%	.32	9%	1.9
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.5	21.3	105.5	5	9.2	3	9	-.15	1.2	35%	18%	.01	6%	1.9

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #59
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #64
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #47

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: New Mexico: -10.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 3.3 New Mexico: -26.9

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -10.95 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.9 #132
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 6.0 #133
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Fresno State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 25
New Mexico 21

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 23
New Mexico 22

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 27
New Mexico 19

Total Points: 46

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 13.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.2
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

New Mexico's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	New Mexico	21	Fresno State	38	Fresno State -12	Fresno State	61.0	Under
2023	11/18	Fresno State	17	New Mexico	25	Fresno State -22.5	New Mexico	58.5	Under
2022	10/22	New Mexico	9	Fresno State	41	Fresno State -9.5	Fresno State	40.0	Over
2021	11/13	Fresno State	34	New Mexico	7	Fresno State -24	Fresno State	51.0	Under
2020	12/12	New Mexico	49	Fresno State	39	Fresno State -15	New Mexico	56.5	Over
2018	10/20	New Mexico	7	Fresno State	38	Fresno State -14	Fresno State	52.5	Under
2017	10/14	Fresno State	38	New Mexico	0	New Mexico -2.5	Fresno State	54.5	Under
2014	09/26	New Mexico	24	Fresno State	35	Fresno State -3	Fresno State	0
2013	11/23	Fresno State	69	New Mexico	28	Fresno State -31	Fresno State	0
2012	10/27	New Mexico	32	Fresno State	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	2	2	2 Overs
Fresno State	8	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	4 - 5	2 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	6 - 4	5 - 4	4 - 2	1 - 2

(#) FRES at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#132
Perf GradeGrade	#44	#134
OffenseOff	#22	#136
DefenseDef	#85	#117
Spec TeamsST	#28	#71
TalentTal	#79	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#117
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#25	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#92	#131
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#133	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	#132	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#123	#120
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 20 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Fresno State 9.5 (40.0)
Fresno State won at New Mexico this year (41-9)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat New Mexico last year (38-21)
New Mexico beat Fresno State in 2023 (25-17)
Fresno State beat New Mexico in 2022 (41-9)

FRES's OC Kirby Moore (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Kevin Coyle (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC Derek Warehime (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD