Fresno State at UCLA - 2021 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at UCLA BruinsUCLA logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (10:45 PM EDT)
UCLA -11 (64.0)
Fresno State 40 - UCLA: 37

 
Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (6 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (29 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCLA coming off BYE
Our Line: -2  (SP+ FRES -1.5)
Projected Score: FRES: 31 - UCLA: 31 (62)
UCLA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 204 miles
Bruins (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (12 - 22)
Avg Score : 37 - 27 (37 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 Fresno State vs UConn-28.063.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/4 Fresno State at Oregon+18.062.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/11 Fresno State vs Cal Poly-32.559.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/18 Fresno State at UCLA+11.064.0W 40 - 37OY
Fri 9/24 Fresno State vs UNLV-30.059.0W 38 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i-10.564.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Fresno State at Wyoming-3.053.5W 17 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-3.564.5W 34 - 32ON
Sat 10/30 Fresno State at San Diego State-2.043.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 11/6 Fresno State vs Boise State-4.061.5L 14 - 40UN
Sat 11/13 Fresno State vs New Mexico-24.051.0W 34 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25 Fresno State at San José State-7.052.5W 40 - 9UY
Sat 12/18 Fresno State vs UTEP-11.551.5W 31 - 24ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
UCLA's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 UCLA vs Hawai'i-17.567.0W 44 - 10UY
Sat 9/4 UCLA vs LSU+2.064.0W 38 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 UCLA vs Fresno State-11.064.0L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/25 UCLA at Stanford-4.060.5W 35 - 24UY
Sat 10/2 UCLA vs Arizona State-3.056.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 10/9 UCLA at Arizona-16.060.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/16 UCLA at Washington+1.555.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/23 UCLA vs Oregon-1.062.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/30 UCLA at Utah+6.060.5L 24 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 UCLA vs Colorado-18.057.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 11/20 UCLA at USC-4.566.5W 62 - 33OY
Sat 11/27 UCLA vs California-6.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Tue 12/28 UCLA vs NC State+2.060.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2648%33.446%2.8613749%3273.86.1138%20.541%36%3.5471.21.72.2
UCLA.3749%36.552%3.5221545%2263.94.2345%26.848%42%3.6364.51.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)34% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)45% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1333.429.247.6%3.861.7244641373274.140%60%46%49%14%.26
UCLA Defense1226.826.744.7%3.631.8 - - - - - 45%55%48%42%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1320.520.738.5%3.542.2 - - - - - 49%51%41%36%20%.11
UCLA Offense1236.53748.8%3.941.223441215226557%43%52%45%14%.37

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1331:2624.343%53%7.671.21.72.26.92.3030.1
UCLA1229:4523.446%67%7.264.51.21.85.92.3331.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1340%46%33.8137.24.117.062.8664%9%0.85
UCLA Defense1245%48% - - - - .212.972%10%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1349%41% - - - - .062.8168%13%0.96
UCLA Offense1257%52%43.2215.2531.353.5278%9%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1360%49%26.339.5326.78.312.43510.391.528%35%.345%1.9
UCLA Defense1255%42% - - - - - - 12.241.529%33%.426%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1351%36% - - - - - - 12.171.834%28%.297%2.2
UCLA Offense1243%45%17.327.9226.28.113.1238.41.629%35%.525%2.1

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #32
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #49

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    UCLA: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 10.8   UCLA: 9.4




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
UCLA's Offense Rating: NR
UCLA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCLA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCLA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Fresno State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 31
UCLA 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
UCLA 33
Fresno State 32

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 29
UCLA 29

Total Points: 58
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

UCLA's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30UCLA20Fresno State13UCLA -7.5Fresno State46.5Under
202109/18UCLA37Fresno State40UCLA -11Fresno State64.0Over
201809/15UCLA14Fresno State38Fresno State -2.5Fresno State50.5Over
200809/27UCLA31Fresno State36
200312/30Fresno State17UCLA9
200009/08UCLA24Fresno State21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA202 Overs
Fresno State431 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 30 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams3 - 33 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#) FRES at (#) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESUCLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #41
Perf GradeGrade #38 #69
OffenseOff #67 #50
DefenseDef #17 #98
Spec TeamsST #104 #106
TalentTal #81 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffUCLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67 #98
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #51 #108
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #66
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #32 #58
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCLA on Offense
CategoryCatUCLA OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #50 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCLA Run Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #7 #32
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #18
UCLA Pass Game
CategoryCatUCLA OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #57 #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #61 #46
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
UCLA -11.0 (64.0)
Fresno State won at UCLA this year (40-37)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat Fresno State last year (20-13)

  
FRES's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC William Inge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCLA's OC Justin Frye (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Jerry Azzinaro (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD