Fresno State at San José State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at San José State Spartans

Thursday, November 25th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -7 (52.5)
Fresno State 40 - San José State: 9 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (6 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (29 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES coming off BYE
SJSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -4 (SP+ FRES -12.5)
Projected Score: FRES: 30 - SJSU: 22 (52)
FRES Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 121 miles

Spartans (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (17 - 31)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Fresno State vs UConn	-28.0	63.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/4	Fresno State at Oregon	+18.0	62.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Fresno State vs Cal Poly	-32.5	59.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Fresno State at UCLA	+11.0	64.0	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Fresno State vs UNLV	-30.0	59.0	W 38 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/2	Fresno State at Hawai'i	-10.5	64.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Fresno State at Wyoming	-3.0	53.5	W 17 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Fresno State vs Nevada	-3.5	64.5	W 34 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/30	Fresno State at San Diego State	-2.0	43.5	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Fresno State vs Boise State	-4.0	61.5	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/13	Fresno State vs New Mexico	-24.0	51.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	Fresno State at San José State	-7.0	52.5	W 40 - 9	U	Y
Sat 12/18	Fresno State vs UTEP	-11.5	51.5	W 31 - 24	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

San José State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	San José State vs Southern Utah	-28.0	57.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/4	San José State at USC	+13.5	61.0	L 7 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sun 9/19	San José State at Hawai'i	-8.0	62.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/25	San José State at Western Michigan	+2.5	61.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/2	San José State vs New Mexico State	-25.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/9	San José State at Colorado State	+3.5	44.0	L 14 - 32	O	N
Fri 10/15	San José State vs San Diego State	+10.0	41.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Thu 10/21	San José State at UNLV	-6.0	44.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/30	San José State vs Wyoming	-3.0	40.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/6	San José State at Nevada	+11.5	55.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/13	San José State vs Utah State	-4.5	58.0	L 17 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	San José State vs Fresno State	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 40	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.26	48%	33.4	46%	2.86	137	49%	327	3.86	.11	38%	20.5	41%	36%	3.54	71.2	1.7	2.2
SJSU	.11	40%	20	44%	2.88	121	36%	220	3.1	.15	42%	26.5	43%	42%	3.76	65.2	2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5
SJSU	#71 (.18)	44% (56)		41% (98)	2.27 (133)	88	46% (28)	322	3.6 (96)	#27 (.1)	41% (57)		42% (66)	39% (47)	3.58 (44)	61.5	2.2	2.2

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	13	33.4	29.2	47.6%	3.86	1.7	24	464	137	327	4.1	40%	60%	46%	49%	14%	.26
SJSU Defense	12	26.5	28.8	42.4%	3.76	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	43%	42%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	13	20.5	20.7	38.5%	3.54	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	41%	36%	20%	.11
SJSU Offense	12	20	24.7	39.7%	3.1	2	17	340	121	220	4.1	46%	54%	44%	36%	23%	.11

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	13	31:26	24.3	43%	53%	7.6	71.2	1.7	2.2	6.9	2.3	0	30.1
San José State	12	26:44	16.8	35%	33%	7.3	65.2	2	1.1	6.7	2.3	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	13	40%	46%	33.8	137.2	4.1	17	.06	2.86	64%	9%	0.85
SJSU Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.1	73%	13%	0.72

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.81	68%	13%	0.96
SJSU Offense	12	46%	44%	29.3	120.5	4.1	12	.06	2.88	56%	14%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	13	60%	49%	26.3	39.5	326.7	8.3	12.4	35	10	.39	1.5	28%	35%	.34	5%	1.9
SJSU Defense	12	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.5	31%	27%	.23	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.17	1.8	34%	28%	.29	7%	2.2
SJSU Offense	12	54%	36%	17.3	33.5	219.7	6.6	12.7	15	10	.15	1.6	34%	31%	.28	9%	2.1

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #32
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #27
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #49

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: San José State: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 10.8 San José State: -1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San José State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #85
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Fresno State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 30
San José State 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 30
San José State 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 30
San José State 21

Total Points: 51

San José State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

San José State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	San José State	14	Fresno State	41	Fresno State -3.5	Fresno State	46.0	Over
2024	10/26	Fresno State	33	San José State	10	Fresno State -6.5	Fresno State	55.0	Under
2023	11/11	San José State	42	Fresno State	18	San José State -2.5	San José State	51.5	Over
2022	10/15	Fresno State	17	San José State	10	San José State -7	Fresno State	47.0	Under
2021	11/25	San José State	9	Fresno State	40	Fresno State -7	Fresno State	52.5	Under
2019	11/30	San José State	17	Fresno State	16	Fresno State -1	San José State	60.5	Under
2018	11/24	Fresno State	31	San José State	13	Fresno State -31.5	San José State	51.0	Under
2017	10/07	San José State	10	Fresno State	27	Fresno State -17	NA	59.5	Under
2016	11/26	Fresno State	14	San José State	16	San José State -4	Fresno State	51.5	Under
2015	09/26	San José State	49	Fresno State	23	San José State -4	San José State	52.0	Over
2014	11/08	Fresno State	38	San José State	24	Fresno State -4	Fresno State	0
2013	11/29	San José State	62	Fresno State	52	Fresno State -10	San José State	0
2011	11/26	Fresno State	24	San José State	27
2010	10/23	San José State	18	Fresno State	33
2009	10/17	Fresno State	41	San José State	21
2008	11/21	San José State	10	Fresno State	24
2007	10/20	Fresno State	30	San José State	0
2006	12/02	San José State	24	Fresno State	14
2005	11/05	Fresno State	45	San José State	7
2004	11/27	San José State	28	Fresno State	62
2003	11/15	Fresno State	41	San José State	7
2001	11/23	Fresno State	40	San José State	21
2000	11/24	San José State	6	Fresno State	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	7	5	3 Overs
Fresno State	16	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	8 - 3	4 - 1	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 14	3 - 8	2 - 4	1 - 4

(#) FRES at (#) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#85
Perf GradeGrade	#38	#103
OffenseOff	#67	#124
DefenseDef	#17	#59
Spec TeamsST	#104	#81
TalentTal	#81	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

San José State Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#51	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#32	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#102	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	#73	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#18

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#15
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#114	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66°

Rematch from Week 13
Fresno State 7.0 (52.5)
Fresno State won at San José State this year (40-9)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat San José State last year (33-10)
San José State beat Fresno State in 2023 (42-18)
Fresno State beat San José State in 2022 (17-10)

FRES's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC William Inge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD