Fresno State at San José State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at San José State Spartans

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (10:30 PM EST)
San José State -2.5 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 42 - Fresno State: 18 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU coming off BYE
Our Line: San José State -0.5 (SP+ FRES -2.5)
Projected Score: FRES: 26 - SJSU: 27 (54)
SJSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 121 miles

Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Fresno State at Purdue	+4.0	47.0	W 39 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Fresno State vs Eastern Washington	-31.5	63.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/16	Fresno State at Arizona State	-4.0	48.0	W 29 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Fresno State vs Kent State	-27.5	47.5	W 53 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Fresno State vs Nevada	-25.5	50.5	W 27 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/7	Fresno State at Wyoming	-5.5	43.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Fresno State at Utah State	-5.5	56.0	W 37 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Fresno State vs UNLV	-10.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Fresno State vs Boise State	-2.5	53.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Fresno State at San José State	+2.5	51.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Fresno State vs New Mexico	-22.5	58.5	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/25	Fresno State at San Diego State	-5.5	47.0	L 18 - 33	O	N
Sat 12/16	Fresno State vs New Mexico State	+3.0	52.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

San José State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San José State at USC	+31.5	66.0	L 28 - 56	O	Y
Sun 9/3	San José State vs Oregon State	+14.0	56.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	San José State vs Cal Poly	-23.5	60.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	San José State at Toledo	+9.0	56.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San José State vs Air Force	+6.0	45.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	San José State at Boise State	+8.0	57.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	San José State at New Mexico	-6.5	55.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San José State vs Utah State	-4.0	65.0	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	San José State at Hawai'i	-10.5	57.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	San José State vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/18	San José State vs San Diego State	-16.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/25	San José State at UNLV	+3.5	58.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/23	San José State vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.24	47%	26.1	47%	3.07	133	48%	270	4.22	.15	39%	24.8	42%	37%	3.29	41.1	1	1.6
SJSU	.18	45%	28.4	48%	3.16	96	43%	272	4.25	.15	40%	27.5	40%	41%	3.42	48.5	0.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	26.1	21.2	47.1%	4.22	1	22	403	133	270	4	42%	57%	47%	48%	11%	.24
SJSU Defense	12	27.5	25.6	39.7%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	41%	19%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	24.8	31.2	39%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	37%	18%	.15
SJSU Offense	12	28.4	29	45%	4.25	0.8	20	368	96	272	3.4	38%	61%	48%	43%	19%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	31:16	21.9	46%	50%	4.5	41.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.6	3	30.7
San José State	12	28:36	20.4	37%	47%	5.8	48.5	0.8	1.8	7	3.3	0	31.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	42%	47%	33.2	133	4	28	.17	3.07	77%	8%	0.86
SJSU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	68%	13%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.15	69%	9%	1.04
SJSU Offense	12	38%	48%	28.6	96.2	3.4	19	.14	3.16	67%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	57%	48%	23.8	33.7	269.6	8	11.3	22	9	.35	1.3	28%	32%	.36	3%	1.8
SJSU Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	35%	32%	.32	9%	1.9
SJSU Offense	12	61%	43%	21.7	35.8	271.8	7.6	12.5	23	7	.25	1.5	30%	36%	.36	8%	1.8

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.07 San José State: 0.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.5 San José State: -1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 0.835 #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
2023 Talent Rating: 410.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 27
Fresno State 26

Projected Total Points: 54

San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Fresno State	33	San José State	10	Fresno State	Fresno State -6.5	Fresno State	55.0	Under
2023	11/11	San José State	42	Fresno State	18	San José State	San José State -2.5	San José State	51.5	Over
2022	10/15	Fresno State	17	San José State	10	Fresno State	San José State -7	Fresno State	47.0	Under
2021	11/25	San José State	9	Fresno State	40	Fresno State	Fresno State -7	Fresno State	52.5	Under
2019	11/30	San José State	17	Fresno State	16	San José State	Fresno State -1	San José State	60.5	Under
2018	11/24	Fresno State	31	San José State	13	Fresno State	Fresno State -31.5	San José State	51.0	Under
2017	10/07	San José State	10	Fresno State	27	Fresno State	Fresno State -17	NA	59.5	Under
2016	11/26	Fresno State	14	San José State	16	San José State	San José State -4	Fresno State	51.5	Under
2015	09/26	San José State	49	Fresno State	23	San José State	San José State -4	San José State	52.0	Over
2014	11/08	Fresno State	38	San José State	24	Fresno State	Fresno State -4	Fresno State	0
2013	11/29	San José State	62	Fresno State	52	San José State	Fresno State -10	San José State	0
2011	11/26	Fresno State	24	San José State	27	San José State
2010	10/23	San José State	18	Fresno State	33	Fresno State
2009	10/17	Fresno State	41	San José State	21	Fresno State
2008	11/21	San José State	10	Fresno State	24	Fresno State
2007	10/20	Fresno State	30	San José State	0	Fresno State
2006	12/02	San José State	24	Fresno State	14	San José State
2005	11/05	Fresno State	45	San José State	7	Fresno State
2004	11/27	San José State	28	Fresno State	62	Fresno State
2003	11/15	Fresno State	41	San José State	7	Fresno State
2001	11/23	Fresno State	40	San José State	21	Fresno State
2000	11/24	San José State	6	Fresno State	37	Fresno State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	7	5	2 Overs
Fresno State	15	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 8	8 - 2	4 - 1	4 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 14	2 - 8	1 - 4	1 - 4

(#59) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Team Profile

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Fresno State Ratings Matchup San José State

Power #59

#71

Off #53

#42

Def #45

#79

Talent #89

#110

SP+ #63

#73

SP+ Off #58

#48

SP+ Def #82

#87

Rematch from Week 11
San José State -2.5 (51.5)
San José State won vs Fresno State this year (42-18)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat San José State last year (33-10)
San José State beat Fresno State in 2023 (42-18)
Fresno State beat San José State in 2022 (17-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 58°

Team Information
Injuries: FRES | SJSU
Depth Chart: FRES | SJSU
Rosters: FRES | SJSU

(#71) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.835 #71
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 410.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50

Team Profile

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Fresno State's OC Pat McCann

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Fife	157	246	64%	1781	13	2	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Logan Fife	52	120	5	2.3	22
Mac Dalena	5	39	0	7.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mac Dalena	60	998	8	16.6	75
Tre Watson	21	280	1	13.3	33
Artis Cole	12	152	1	12.7	30
Jake Boust	4	30	0	7.5	10

View Fresno State's Full Roster

Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tuasivi Nomura (Tr)	102	7	0	0	3
Malachi Langley	73	3	3	7	0
Dean Clark (Tr)	56	3	2	2	4
Devo Bridges	49	7	2	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi Langley	73	3	3	7	0
Dean Clark (Tr)	56	3	2	2	4
Devo Bridges	49	7	2	6	1
Kemari Bailey	5	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Lockridge	37	2	0	0	6
Dean Clark (Tr)	56	3	2	2	4
Tuasivi Nomura (Tr)	102	7	0	0	3

San José State's OC Kevin McGiven

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Nash	2	2	100%	42	2	0	21.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quali Conley (Tr)	150	745	8	5.0	58
Dominick Mazotti	1	3	0	3.0	3
Anthony Garcia	1	1	0	1.0	1
Nick Nash	1	-9	0	-9.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	104	1382	16	13.3	45
Justin Lockhart	53	983	5	18.5	57
Quali Conley (Tr)	39	245	1	6.3	16
Sam Olson	13	196	2	15.1	51

View San José State's Full Roster

San José State's DC Derrick Odum

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
Tre Smith	48	7	5	2	0
Justin Eklund	15	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
Tre Smith	48	7	5	2	0
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Jairus Satele	5	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Bryun Parham	12	0	0	0	1
Elijah Wood	1	0	0	0	1