Nevada Wolf Pack at Fresno State Bulldogs
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Bulldog Stadium - Fresno, CA (Mountain West)
Wolf Pack (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 15 - 26 (11 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Jeff Choate (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 15 - 26 (11 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
NEV coming off BYE
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Fresno State -13.5 (SP+ FRES -14)
Projected Score: NEV: 20 - FRES: 33 (53)
FRES Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
NEV Travel: 189 miles
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Fresno State -13.5 (SP+ FRES -14)
Projected Score: NEV: 20 - FRES: 33 (53)
FRES Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
NEV Travel: 189 miles
Bulldogs (3 - 1) (3 - 1 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (49 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (49 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
| Nevada's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Nevada at Penn State | +45.5 | 58.5 | L 11 - 46 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Nevada vs Sacramento State | -8.0 | 56.0 | W 20 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Nevada vs Middle Tennessee | -9.0 | 50.0 | L 13 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Nevada at Western Kentucky | +10.5 | 54.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Nevada at Fresno State | +13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Nevada vs San Diego State | +9 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Nevada at New Mexico | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Nevada vs Boise State | +19 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Nevada at Utah State | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Nevada vs San José State | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Nevada at Wyoming | +14 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Nevada vs UNLV | +13 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Fresno State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Fresno State at Kansas | +14.0 | 51.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/30 | Fresno State vs Georgia Southern | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Fresno State at Oregon State | +1.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Fresno State vs Southern | -37.5 | 51.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Fresno State at Hawai'i | -3.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Fresno State at Colorado State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Fresno State vs San Diego State | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Fresno State at Boise State | +13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Fresno State vs Wyoming | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Fresno State vs Utah State | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Fresno State at San José State | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | #131 (-.01) | 42% (79) | 14.7 | 44% (75) | 2.41 (116) | 184 | 40% (92) | 145 | 2.3 (127) | #116 (.26) | 49% (124) | 25.7 | 51% (123) | 47% (108) | 4.38 (101) | 43.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| FRES | #51 (.25) | 44% (64) | 35.3 | 44% (70) | 2.7 (97) | 203 | 47% (47) | 190 | 3.58 (90) | #126 (.36) | 50% (125) | 19.8 | 46% (100) | 53% (129) | 4.75 (115) | 45 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | #55 (.21) | 45% (46) | 47% (33) | 3.06 (59) | 164 | 42% (65) | 213 | 3.88 (73) | #110 (.24) | 46% (117) | 49% (121) | 43% (92) | 4.33 (114) | 73.1 | 1.2 | 1 | ||
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 3 | 14.7 | 11 | 42.3% | 2.3 | 2.3 | 17 | 329 | 184 | 145 | 4.9 | 68% | 31% | 44% | 40% | 18% | -.01 |
| FRES Defense | 4 | 19.8 | 10.5 | 49.7% | 4.75 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 46% | 53% | 13% | .36 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 3 | 25.7 | 46 | 49% | 4.38 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 51% | 47% | 13% | .26 |
| FRES Offense | 4 | 35.3 | 49 | 43.9% | 3.58 | 2 | 22 | 393 | 203 | 190 | 5.8 | 55% | 42% | 44% | 47% | 17% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 3 | 29:18 | 17.3 | 31% | 57% | 4.7 | 43.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 27.7 |
| Fresno State | 4 | 30:33 | 22 | 51% | 67% | 4.5 | 45 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 29.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 3 | 68% (6) | 44% (75) | 37.7 | 183.7 | 4.9 | 1 (127) | .13 (72) | 2.41 (116) | 86% (22) | 13% (126) | 1.02 (53) |
| FRES Defense | 4 | 46% (43) | 46% (100) | - | - | - | - | .13 (95) | 3.28 (120) | 100% (127) | 7% (118) | 0.74 (22) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 3 | 56% (110) | 51% (123) | - | - | - | - | .28 (124) | 3.27 (118) | 78% (100) | 11% (52) | 0.87 (54) |
| FRES Offense | 4 | 55% (45) | 44% (70) | 35.3 | 203 | 5.8 | 12 (3) | .13 (70) | 2.7 (97) | 75% (52) | 11% (107) | 1.25 (22) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Offense | 3 | 31% (131) | 40% (92) | 12.3 | 22.3 | 145 | 6.5 | 11.8 | 2 (102) | 5 (129) | -.21 (135) | 1 (134) | 32% (86) | 29% (89) | -.19 (136) | 4% (45) | 1.4 (127) |
| FRES Defense | 4 | 53% (89) | 53% (129) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .55 (126) | 1.5 (71) | 32% (78) | 38% (120) | .45 (108) | 7% (45) | 1.8 (50) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV Defense | 3 | 44% (30) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .24 (77) | 1.4 (43) | 30% (93) | 26% (44) | .32 (84) | 2% (134) | 1.8 (49) |
| FRES Offense | 4 | 42% (109) | 47% (47) | 19 | 26 | 189.5 | 7.3 | 10 | 4 (72) | 5 (129) | .55 (19) | 1.7 (27) | 30% (63) | 45% (15) | .77 (12) | 6% (92) | 2.3 (22) |
Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -19.51 #128
Nevada's Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Nevada's Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Nevada's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Nevada's Power Rating: -19.51 #128
Nevada's Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Nevada's Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Nevada's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -19.51 Fresno State: -3.56
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -14.3 Fresno State: -0.3
Nevada: -19.51 Fresno State: -3.56
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -14.3 Fresno State: -0.3
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -3.56 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State's Power Rating: -3.56 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 46
Nevada's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 46
Nevada's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 33
Nevada 20
Total Points: 53
Fresno State 33
Nevada 20
Total Points: 53
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/18 | Nevada | 21 | Fresno State | 24 | Fresno State | Fresno State -3 | NA | 50.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Fresno State | 27 | Nevada | 9 | Fresno State | Fresno State -25.5 | Nevada | 50.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/19 | Nevada | 14 | Fresno State | 41 | Fresno State | Fresno State -22.5 | Fresno State | 54.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/23 | Fresno State | 34 | Nevada | 32 | Fresno State | Fresno State -3.5 | Nevada | 64.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/05 | Nevada | 37 | Fresno State | 26 | Nevada | Nevada -6.5 | Nevada | 59.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/23 | Fresno State | 28 | Nevada | 35 | Nevada | Fresno State -13.5 | Nevada | 51.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Nevada | 3 | Fresno State | 21 | Fresno State | Fresno State -15 | Fresno State | 59.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/30 | Fresno State | 41 | Nevada | 21 | Fresno State | Fresno State -7.5 | Fresno State | 59.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Nevada | 27 | Fresno State | 22 | Nevada | Nevada -11.5 | Fresno State | 54.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/05 | Fresno State | 16 | Nevada | 30 | Nevada | Nevada -3.5 | Nevada | 54.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/22 | Nevada | 20 | Fresno State | 40 | Fresno State | Nevada -6.5 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Fresno State | 41 | Nevada | 23 | Fresno State | Fresno State -23 | Nevada | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | Nevada | 36 | Fresno State | 52 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/22 | Nevada | 45 | Fresno State | 38 | Nevada | ||||
| 2010 | 11/13 | Fresno State | 34 | Nevada | 35 | Nevada | ||||
| 2009 | 11/14 | Nevada | 52 | Fresno State | 14 | Nevada | ||||
| 2008 | 11/07 | Fresno State | 28 | Nevada | 41 | Nevada | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | Nevada | 41 | Fresno State | 49 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2006 | 09/01 | Fresno State | 28 | Nevada | 19 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2005 | 11/26 | Nevada | 38 | Fresno State | 35 | Nevada | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Fresno State | 54 | Nevada | 17 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Nevada | 10 | Fresno State | 27 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | Nevada | 14 | Fresno State | 61 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2000 | 10/13 | Fresno State | 58 | Nevada | 21 | Fresno State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 15 | 5 | 5 Overs |
| Nevada | 9 | 6 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 12 | 2 - 9 | 2 - 6 | 0 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 12 | 9 - 2 | 3 - 0 | 6 - 2 |
(#128) Nevada Info
Power Rating: -19.51 #128
Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 68%, Pass: 31%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Nevada has lost 2 straight
Nevada has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Nevada Notes
(8/1) Def ugly LY, return 1 starter. 14 portals. Yikes
(8/1) 0-6 finish, Def abysmal esp vs run. Bad vibes
(8/1) One of most penalized teams LY, 950+ yds
(4/9) RBs meh. Some options, Turner (USU) added
(4/9) WR Smith/Bellon good. 3 portal adds. Impressive
(4/9) OL 3/5 back, avg LY. Only 1 portal (FCS)
(4/9) Choate got year 0. New OC, pass game better TY
(3/29) QB Purdy vs Blanco, not much playing exp
Nevada Highlights
Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada has a really bad Offense
Nevada has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Nevada throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Nevada offense is not Explosive (#126)
Nevada Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#121)
Nevada offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#127)
Nevada offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Nevada has a bad defense (#124)
Nevada Does Not Stuff Runs (#128)
Nevada has a bad defensive line (#118)
Nevada has a bad red zone defense (#101)
Power Rating: -19.51 #128
Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 68%, Pass: 31%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Nevada has lost 2 straight
Nevada has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Nevada Notes
(8/1) Def ugly LY, return 1 starter. 14 portals. Yikes
(8/1) 0-6 finish, Def abysmal esp vs run. Bad vibes
(8/1) One of most penalized teams LY, 950+ yds
(4/9) RBs meh. Some options, Turner (USU) added
(4/9) WR Smith/Bellon good. 3 portal adds. Impressive
(4/9) OL 3/5 back, avg LY. Only 1 portal (FCS)
(4/9) Choate got year 0. New OC, pass game better TY
(3/29) QB Purdy vs Blanco, not much playing exp
Nevada Highlights
Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada has a really bad Offense
Nevada has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Nevada throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Nevada offense is not Explosive (#126)
Nevada Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#121)
Nevada offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#127)
Nevada offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Nevada has a bad defense (#124)
Nevada Does Not Stuff Runs (#128)
Nevada has a bad defensive line (#118)
Nevada has a bad red zone defense (#101)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FRES | NEV |
| OverallOver | #64 | #69 |
| OffenseOff | #30 | #87 |
| DefenseDef | #105 | #51 |
| Special TeamsST | #26 | #99 |
| PassingPass | #58 | #97 |
| RushingRush | #11 | #79 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #34 | #34 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #24 | #85 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #54 | #99 |
| TacklingTkl | #71 | #75 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #99 | #64 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #98 | #12 |
| Coverage DefCov | #109 | #73 |
(#109) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: -3.56 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has lost 1 straight
Fresno State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State is Undefeated at Home
Fresno State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
Power Rating: -3.56 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has lost 1 straight
Fresno State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State is Undefeated at Home
Fresno State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chubba Purdy | 24 | 43 | 56% | 329 | 1 | 4 | 7.7 |
| AJ Bianco | 13 | 23 | 57% | 106 | 1 | 1 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chubba Purdy | 44 | 216 | 1 | 4.9 | 30 |
| Herschel Turner (Tr) | 31 | 153 | 0 | 4.9 | 64 |
| Caleb Ramseur | 23 | 93 | 0 | 4.0 | 26 |
| Ky Woods | 4 | 50 | 0 | 12.5 | 28 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bellon | 11 | 153 | 1 | 13.9 | 43 |
| Jordan Brown (Tr) | 11 | 145 | 0 | 13.2 | 28 |
| Ky Woods | 1 | 47 | 1 | 47.0 | 47 |
| Jett Carpenter | 6 | 41 | 0 | 6.8 | 12 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stone Combs | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Labarbera | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Murvin Kenion III (Tr) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Harnetiaux | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Labarbera | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Maldonado | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Cook (Tr) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nelson Ropati | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Rhambo (Tr) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Bishop Turner | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Austin Harnetiaux | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 71 | 98 | 72% | 716 | 4 | 5 | 7.3 |
| Carson Conklin (Tr) | 5 | 6 | 83% | 42 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Donelson | 50 | 325 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 36 | 224 | 5 | 6.2 | 44 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 17 | 101 | 2 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Johnathan Arceneaux | 10 | 54 | 1 | 5.4 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Freeman | 11 | 149 | 0 | 13.5 | 30 |
| Ezekiel Avit (Tr) | 13 | 110 | 0 | 8.5 | 17 |
| Bryson Donelson | 8 | 87 | 0 | 10.9 | 39 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 12 | 80 | 1 | 6.7 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Pearson (Tr) | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Camryn Bracha | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Alzillion Hamilton | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Korey Foreman | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Davis | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jahzon Jacks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Embry | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |