Fresno State at Kansas Game Matchup
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Kansas JayhawksKansas logo
Friday, August 22nd 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Kansas -14.5 (0.0) (0)  Open: -14.5
Memorial Stadium - Lawrence, KS

 
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#65)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Kansas -12.5   (SP+ KU -9)
Projected Score: FRES: 21 - KU: 33 (53)
KU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
FRES Travel: 1341 miles, 2 hrs behind
Jayhawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
Fresno State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Fresno State at Kansas+14.50.0
Fri 8/29 Fresno State vs Georgia Southern-1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Fresno State at Oregon State+5.5
Sat 9/13 Fresno State vs Southern-17
Sat 9/20 Fresno State at Hawai'i-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.5
Sat 10/11 Fresno State at Colorado State-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Fresno State vs San Diego State-8.5
Sat 11/1 Fresno State at Boise State+18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Fresno State vs Wyoming-9.5
Sat 11/22 Fresno State vs Utah State-12
Sat 11/29 Fresno State at San José State+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.50.0
Thu 8/28 Kansas vs Wagner-27
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-6.5
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati-2
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-2.5
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State+9
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-7
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+10
Sat 11/29 Kansas vs Utah+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)26.138% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)24.843% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)29.749% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)2646% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1326.121.239.2%3.681.3193431012423.442%57%38%41%14%.11
KU Defense12262644.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1324.831.240.3%3.631.5 - - - - - 49%51%43%38%14%.08
KU Offense1229.729.748.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1327:2918.939%42%6.2551.31.54.41.5230.7
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1342% (115)38% (121)29.2100.73.421 (59).04 (111)2.73 (115)69% (96)8% (34)0.95 (76)
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1349% (49)43% (74) - - - - .08 (48)2.94 (56)71% (56)8% (121)0.81 (7)
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1357% (21)41% (76)2333.1242.17.310.520 (58)14 (115).21 (89)1.6 (65)33% (95)28% (103).24 (100)6% (64)2.1 (63)
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1351% (86)38% (33) - - - - - - 15 (18).09 (14)1.5 (34)30% (94)29% (37).2 (28)6% (65)2 (52)
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -6.32 #85
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 8.21 #102
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 14.53 #65
2025 Talent Rating: 708.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -6.32   Kansas: 6.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -6.2   Kansas: 3.0




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 6.14 #56
Kansas's Offense Rating: 20.60 #34
Kansas's Defense Rating: 16.32 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 730.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #49
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #31
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 33
Fresno State 21


Projected Total Points: 53
Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas000 Overs
Fresno State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#85) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.32 #85
Offense Rating: 8.21 #102
Defense Rating: 14.53 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #77
Talent Rating: 708.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Fresno State Notes
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
(5/11) HC Entz was great at N Dak St (60-11)
(5/11) OC Davis runs combo spread & RPO, QB run
(5/11) Pass D good LY & DBs return some good parts
(5/11) QB1 Warner out of spring, Conklin signed after
(5/11) Final MWC season, join new Pac 12 in '26
(4/30) Portal QB Conklin (Sac St) big portal add
(4/30) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 9 portals, 4 DL help
(4/30) OL returns 4/5, meh LY but could grow up big
(4/7) RB staff high on Donelson. Ramirez can play
Fresno State     Ratings Matchup     Kansas
Power #85
#56
Off #102
#34
Def #65
#79
Talent #71
#67
SP+ #88
#49
SP+ Off #98
#31
SP+ Def #77
#74

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FRES | KU
Depth Chart: FRES | KU
Rosters: FRES | KU
(#56) Kansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.14 #56
Offense Rating: 20.60 #34
Defense Rating: 16.32 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74
Talent Rating: 730.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Kansas Notes
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
(3/21) New OC Zebrowski was Co-OC/QB LY
(3/21) New DC McDonald promoted? Why?
(3/21) Strange '24, 1-5 to 5-7. Underachieved


  
Fresno State's OC Josh Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)27143862%271017136.2
Carson Conklin (Tr)25540663%27592786.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Johnathan Arceneaux2210404.720
Nathan Acevedo21809.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471
Richie Anderson1714708.618
Josiah Freeman895211.934
Bryson Donelson219414.514

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jayden Davis461002
Jadon Pearson (Tr)423012
Kosi Agina382001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Foreman235241
Sione Noa153230
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jadon Pearson (Tr)423012
Jayden Davis461002

Kansas's OC Jim Zebrowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels17130057%245414128.2
Cole Ballard5683%51108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalon Daniels9344764.833
Daniel Hishaw Jr.6537635.832
Cam Pickett (Tr)17170210.034
Cole Ballard54208.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Pickett (Tr)49528210.865
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)482020.534
Daniel Hishaw Jr.333011.017
Leshon Williams (Tr)42606.511

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC D.K. McDonald
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr. (Tr)7912712
Trey Lathan (Tr)799230
D.J. Graham423002
Taylor Davis331001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr. (Tr)7912712
Dean Miller3210543
D.J. Withers214301
Trey Lathan (Tr)799230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dean Miller3210543
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)230003
Joseph Sipp Jr. (Tr)7912712